China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[fmpro]

Looks like a pretty okay 10% drop today

[jiangsen]

Thursday Estimates

Captain America: Civil War - 13.7M/1.084B (-12% DoD, -58% WoW)

Criminal - 5.45M/77M

Book of Love - 5.18M/744M

Song of the Phoenix - 4.85M/48.17M

Self/less - 1.65M/33.97M

Angry Birds - 320K Midnights

Allegiant - 280K Midnights

 

Previous two days at the BO were 36.3M total and 33.2M total, two lowest days of the year even worse than CNY eve.

 

Tomorrow's Screenings

Angry Birds - 32%

Allegiant - 21.8%

Cap3 - 13.2%

 

Edited May 19, 2016 by jiangsen

[peludo]

I guess that if an animated film has better midnights figures than a fan film, then Angry birds figure is very good or Allegiant figure is very bad, isn't it?

[MrFanaticGuy34]

For Allegiant in China?.....tsk, tsk, tsk, tsk, tsk, tsk, tsk, tsk...........let's just say that the Divergent-franchise was forgotten a long time ago.

[Olive]

35-40m OD for Birds and 13-15M for Allegiant, we may see some 5.20 boost.

[POTUS 2020]

18 hours ago, peludo said:

I have noticed that Yuan is dropping more than usual during last days. Must we expect this trend to follow or is it something conjunctural?

Probably continue and test the 6.60 low made a few months ago. Some say it could go to 7 by years end. Like last year I'm looking for a 5% move into the 6.80's.  The economy is still weakening causing the government to throw more yuan into it.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/china-challenged-to-keep-yuan-stable-as-dollar-rises-1463393737

Edited May 20, 2016 by No Prisoners

[POTUS 2020]

8 hours ago, Olive said:

35-40m OD for Birds and 13-15M for Allegiant, we may see some 5.20 boost.

I remember AoU bumping 20% last year on a weekday. Explains the last minute rush on PS. 

Detergent(21% shows)and Cap(13%) going to battle for second today, cap will win 2nd for the weekend. They should have given 17% each.

With today's valentine's bump tomorrow's PS don't look so good. 

A2 PS showing on Maoyan now. 30k. 

Edited May 20, 2016 by No Prisoners

[peludo]

6 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

Probably continue and test the 6.60 low made a few months ago. Some say it could go to 7 by years end. Like last year I'm looking for a 5% move into the 6.80's.  The economy is still weakening causing the government to throw more yuan into it.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/china-challenged-to-keep-yuan-stable-as-dollar-rises-1463393737

Thank you for the explanation.

 

With a 6.8-7.0 ER range, The Mermaid, for instance, would had done 484-498, talking in dollars. That means 20-35 million less than the real gross. It is better to keep talking about yuans instead dollars before talking about possible hits/disappointments.

[POTUS 2020]

33 minutes ago, peludo said:

Thank you for the explanation.

 

With a 6.8-7.0 ER range, The Mermaid, for instance, would had done 484-498, talking in dollars. That means 20-35 million less than the real gross. It is better to keep talking about yuans instead dollars before talking about possible hits/disappointments.

Yes, dollar gross is really just to see where the year is internationally or what goes back to the studio for a HLWD film. Olive always reports in yuan for the most part. 

Proper adjustments were made when it was announced that MH beat Ff7 in dollars internationally by a hair, but beat in yuan by a wider margin.  Otherwise locals,should just be yuan.

[peludo]

33 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

Yes, dollar gross is really just to see where the year is internationally or what goes back to the studio for a HLWD film. Olive always reports in yuan for the most part. 

Proper adjustments were made when it was announced that MH beat Ff7 in dollars internationally by a hair, but beat in yuan by a wider margin.  Otherwise locals,should just be yuan.

Sure. I say it because there are some people who tend to use ALWAYS dollars when they talk about international figures and I think it has to be remembered sometimes. That's all.

Edited May 20, 2016 by peludo

[fmpro]

19 hours ago, Olive said:

35-40m OD for Birds and 13-15M for Allegiant, we may see some 5.20 boost.

 

Looks like numbers will be higher than that. 

Birds over 50 mill

Alle over 20 mill

CW looks to increase around 50%

[Lihongkim]

12 minutes ago, fmpro said:

 

Looks like numbers will be higher than that. 

Birds over 50 mill

Alle over 20 mill

CW looks to increase around 50%

It's 520, "love confession day" in China. 

 

Spoiler

Congrats to new big c-celebrity couple. Heart-throb Wallac Huo just confessed to ageless actress Ruby Lin today 520. 

 

Btw, feel sorry for Liu Yifei accident )-:

 

[keysersoze123]

does that mean the saturday increase will be subdued? Pre-sales look weak so far.

 

Edit: Looked at last year when it fell on a wednesday. Next day Ultron dropped like 40%+ on a thursday. So we have to expect around 50-60%% increase for CW instead of 90%.

Edited May 20, 2016 by keysersoze123

[fmpro]

41 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

does that mean the saturday increase will be subdued? Pre-sales look weak so far.

 

Edit: Looked at last year when it fell on a wednesday. Next day Ultron dropped like 40%+ on a thursday. So we have to expect around 50-60%% increase for CW instead of 90%.

 

Something like 23+37+27= 87 mill

 

looks like a 55 mill OD for AB

[Olive]

Friday Estimates

Angry Birds - 53.3M incl. 400K Midnights

Allegiant - 25M incl. 410K Midnights (+50% over Insurgent)

Captain America: Civil War - 24.3M/1.108B  

 

[Olive]

3 minutes ago, fmpro said:

 

Something like 23+37+27= 87 mill

 

looks like a 55 mill OD for AB

Based on presales, it will barely increase from today.

[keysersoze123]

51 minutes ago, Olive said:

Based on presales, it will barely increase from today.

 

which means CW would have stayed flat had it been a normal friday/

[fmpro]

1 hour ago, Olive said:

Based on presales, it will barely increase from today.

 

So more 24/30/24

[Quigley]

So it's a 50% drop for Cap despite the holidays — and even worse for the weekend.œ

[keysersoze123]

8 hours ago, Quigley said:

So it's a 50% drop for Cap despite the holidays — and even worse for the weekend.œ

 

its looking like 60%+ drop for Cap. week to week drops have been hovering at that levels. Plus it lost almost 2/3 of show times(probably including PLF).