China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[a2k]

5 minutes ago, UserHN said:

What's the current Maoyan rating for AMATW?

8.9 after 30k ratings. homecoming was 8.1 and meg is 8.8.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Maoyan stable at 8.9

[UserHN]

34 minutes ago, fmpro said:

8,9

Oh wow. That's good. Hope it crosses 9.0. I think IW was 8.6?

[fmpro]

23 minutes ago, UserHN said:

Oh wow. That's good. Hope it crosses 9.0. I think IW was 8.6?

 

Perhaps. Should land in the 8,8-9,0 area

[fmpro]

Ant2 crosses 140 mill yuan

[ZeeSoh]

AM2 has already exceeded SMH and now has the biggest OD for a solo superhero movie. 

[fmpro]

23 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

AM2 has already exceeded SMH and now has the biggest OD for a solo superhero movie. 

Its has slowed down a bit so looks to hit around maybe 155-160 mill. A couple of hours ago i was thinking 165-170

Edited August 24, 2018 by fmpro

[fmpro]

Its reeealy slowing down tonight where a movie like Meg continues to shine.

152-154 mill OD

 

Still fantastic though

[Joyous Legion]

3 hours ago, UserHN said:

Oh wow. That's good. Hope it crosses 9.0. I think IW was 8.6?

IW was a bit review bombed early, but ended up at 8.9 as well.        

 

Over 155 would have been cool, but 150-155 is still great. With 1009m it would be closer to Civil War than to any of the non team-up movies, though I’m still a little concerned about upcoming competition.

[Daxtreme]

I think most of the themes in Ant-Man 2 resonate well with Chinese audiences. The ex-convict looking once again for salvation (along with protecting his daughter), the elderly husband who wants to save his wife, and a bitter villain fighting mostly for survival. I've seen most of those tropes in various Chinese movies, especially the bitter villain one.

 

Not surprised over the good reception!

 

Edited August 24, 2018 by Daxtreme

[POTUS 2020]

AM2 Sat PS at 36, it could easily be over 5x PS for 180m+.  

at least 500m/$73.4 OW

545m/$80m a reach but possible. it will have to clear 190m tomorrow and hold close to flat on Sun

 

Edited August 24, 2018 by POTUS

[ZeeSoh]

As I expected the internal multi is closer to the frontloaded BP and SMH than Thor 3

 

PS to OD multi of recent SH movies

Thor 3 - 4.38x

Justice League - 3.875x

Spiderman - 3.74x

Guardians 2 - 3.46x

Ant Man 2 - 3.3x

Black Panther - 2.89x

 

PS for tomorrow is down about 23% right now compared to BP whose Sat PS was up by about 10%. BP eventually went on to increase 31% on Saturday. AM2 will probably manage something like 15-20%

[HouseOfTheSun]

150m overall is the target now 

[Firepower]

So how is The Meg doing on Friday? What's the final prediction?

[Joyous Legion]

27 minutes ago, Firepower said:

So how is The Meg doing on Friday? What's the final prediction?

Looks like 11-12M for Meg on Fri, -60% from Thursday and minus -85% from last Friday, getting hit hard by AM2.     

 

Not sure how much it will rebound Saturday, but maybe a weekend around 30-40? That would be $4M-6M or so USD. And with MI6 coming up, the run seems to really be winding down.

 

Edited August 24, 2018 by Thanos Legion

[Firepower]

1 hour ago, Thanos Legion said:

Looks like 11-12M for Meg on Fri, -60% from Thursday and minus -85% from last Friday, getting hit hard by AM2.     

 

Not sure how much it will rebound Saturday, but maybe a weekend around 30-40? That would be $4M-6M or so USD. And with MI6 coming up, the run seems to really be winding down.

 

Will it cross 150$ mln when all said and done?

[Joyous Legion]

1 hour ago, Firepower said:

Will it cross 150$ mln when all said and done?

I think it’s a bit above 930m yuan now (now meaning before I the Fri number is added), and $150m would take about 1020m. I’m expecting 990m+ before MI shows up, maybe past 1B, so I think it should still be able to pass $150m but it could be really close. I’ll let a more experienced CBO analyst correct any of this if need be. 

Edited August 24, 2018 by Thanos Legion

[Olive]

Friday Estimates

Ant-man 2 153M/163.3M, 4th biggest SH OD behind IW, AOU and CW

Big Brother 34.5M including previews

The Island  11.65M/1248.3m, -52%

The Meg 11.3M/945.6m, -58%
Go Brother! 10.6M/228.6M, -48%

Hotel Transylvania 3 3.2M/161.6m, -65%
Hello Mr. Billionaire 2.66M/2493M ,-67%

Huge drops for holdovers.

Maoyan predicts 200M Sat for AM2, I think 180M more likely

[Joyous Legion]

180+173 would suffice to beat the US OW

[ZeeSoh]

Final Saturday PS is about 37.9m which is down about 18.7% from Friday's final PS. For comparison BP had a final Saturday PS of about 50m (up about 10% from Friday's PS). But thanks to AM2's higher rating and summer, Ant Man will have a better multi although it wont jump as much as BP did today (31%).

 

200m will be about 30.7% jump

180m will be about 1.6% jump. I'll go with the second option which will take Ant Man to an opening in the vicinity of 70-71m usd.