TigerPaw Posted August 24, 2020 Share Posted August 24, 2020 Liu Yifei’s birthday today, will Disney be smart enough to finally announce a theatrical release date in China? At this stage going head to head with tenet is better than anything else IMO. If 11 Sep (or beyond), piracy will be rampant. And it’s also too late to set for 28 August. 4th Sep makes sense... let’s see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted August 24, 2020 Share Posted August 24, 2020 2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said: More like pre-sale loaded night. Holy shit ¥53mn PS for tomorrow. But even with 40% occupancy, won't be more than ¥160mn. Because of tomorrow. Call it what you want Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 (edited) From early look at capacity, I will shoot Love You Forever - ¥235mn 800 - ¥145mn Wild Grass - ¥45mn Little Women - ¥18mn Potter - ¥3mn Onward - ¥2.5mn Overall - ¥450mn If any film overperform this, that will be great. 12mn admits on 270k shows Approx (45 per show). The biggest day had 32.28mn admits on 530k shows (61 per show). Edited August 25, 2020 by charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 800 try ¥175M-plus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 19 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: 800 try ¥175M-plus That will need 45% occupancy, will be very surprised if that happen. Or they plan on adding late night shows. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 (edited) Pre-sales for tomorrow seems good. Even for Love You Forever, will perhaps do ¥50mn Tomorrow. Edited August 25, 2020 by charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 only ¥5M increase in recent one hour. Theaters largely cut 800's screenings in evening for the rom title even though the war pic is doing better in terms of admissions per showtime. HY Brother really pissed theaters off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 1 hour ago, Gavin Feng said: only ¥5M increase in recent one hour. Theaters largely cut 800's screenings in evening for the rom title even though the war pic is doing better in terms of admissions per showtime. HY Brother really pissed theaters off. it has 153 million so far right ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 (edited) I think 800 Wednesday will be better than Monday. Pre-sales will be ¥23-25mn, that will give ¥175mn Approx in usual part. I get 175mn Wednesday but the a weird part is I don't get why will a pre box office holiday Monday with more shows be less than a post holiday Wednesday. Edited August 25, 2020 by charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 (edited) Be ready for Maoyan's $400-450mn prediction today in full run, if they work as I think they do, and considering Wednesday PS, that ain't really crazy. Edited August 25, 2020 by charlie Jatinder 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 Holy Shit. 800 actually is going for 175mn. CBO App is currently at 169mn with 47.5% occupancy. Love You Forever on app is 245mn, means actual should be easy 255mn. Overall BO on App is 465mn. Final should be around 500mn perhaps. Crazy numbers. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 With this kind of trend, I don’t even know if TENET can win the next weekend or even a day. All we can expect is god level WOM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 1 minute ago, Gavin Feng said: With this kind of trend, I don’t even know if TENET can win the next weekend or even a day. All we can expect is god level WOM. TENET is next to next weekend no? I am so pissed with CBO App being this shitty. Wish it get sorted soon. Why was Monday weak? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 The August last 9 days I am expecting will gross $350mn. +33% last year. I think September can beat last year too. It will be upto October to match last year, if NeZha sequel (?) breakout, may be $4Bn is possible. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 48 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: With this kind of trend, I don’t even know if TENET can win the next weekend or even a day. All we can expect is god level WOM. tenet is sept 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 9 minutes ago, john2000 said: tenet is sept 4 That's what I mean, the third weekend of 800. And I'm not sure if TENET could be No.1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 3 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: That's what I mean, the third weekend of 800. And I'm not sure if TENET could be No.1 oh ok , well lets hope that tenet will have a good/great ow, but yeah 800 is a monster and also is it really as good as they say ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 2 minutes ago, john2000 said: oh ok , well lets hope that tenet will have a good/great ow, but yeah 800 is a monster and also is it really as good as they say ? audience scores on any movie site/platform are just fine, but legs is quite good like a 9.6/10 Maoyan film. So I don't know the real level general audience think. The problem is not that 800 is too strong, it's TENET is really weak according to current buzz...even the reviews and reactions have come in recent days, still very low attentions. If the trend keeps up, more like Dunkirk level OD with ¥40-50M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 That weak Monday is still not letting me go crazy. Will talk after next Monday, unless Wednesday is way way way way way pre-sale loaded than OD. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Horror of Lucas Films Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 Those numbers are unreal, I never thought the Chinese market would recover so fast. I can only hope that Tenet will have a $50m/$100m kind of run, which will be enough to it cross $400m WW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...