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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

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Sunday Estimates [Dragon Boat Festival]

 

#1 My Blue Summer : ¥12.5M / ¥56.9M

#2 Bad Guys : ¥10M / ¥264.4M

#3 Doraemon 2021 : ¥5.7M / ¥67.6M

#4 Octonauts 2021 : ¥3.0M / ¥16.7M (+1)

#5 Man On The Edge : ¥2.2M / ¥159.2M (+1)

 

Others (Total)

Fantastic Beasts 3 (¥188.3M), The Batman (¥162.8M), Moonfall (¥156.7M), Uncharted (¥149.4M), Hotel Transylvania 4 (¥111.1M), We Made A Beautiful Bouquet (¥95.4M) Escape Room 2 (¥71.8M) &Downton Abbey 2 (¥11.3M)

 

Before Next Weekend, Universal's "Bad Guys" will probably take down Toho's "Stand By Me 2: Doraemon" (¥277.56M) &Disney's "Mulan" (¥278.07M). "Bad Guys" currently needs to reach ¥312M to defeat Pixar's "Soul" Multipler of 10.4x but is that feasible as another Universal film's "Jurassic World: Dominion" is set to debut on Friday (06/10). Whatever, considering how CoVid-19 has impacted the Life-line of Cinemas, I would say that Universal's "Bad Guys" had a better run than Pixar's "Soul". (!!) — All thanks to WOM.

 

Last Sunday

 

#1 Doraemon 2021 : ¥8.24M

#2 Bad Guys : ¥7.19M

#3 Man On The Edge : ¥2.48M

 

Cinema Opened : 9660 / 11822 (79.8%)

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Monday Estimates

 

#1 My Blue Summer : ¥6.9M / ¥63.2M

#2 Bad Guys : ¥3M / ¥267.3M

#3 Doraemon 2021 : ¥1.3M / ¥68.7M

#4 Man On The Edge : ¥1.1M / ¥160.2M (+1)

#5 The Italian Recipe : ¥0.9M / ¥13.4M (+1)

 

Others (Total)

Fantastic Beasts 3 (¥188.7M), The Batman (¥162.8M), Moonfall (¥157M), Uncharted (¥149.8M), Hotel Transylvania 4 (¥111.4M), We Made A Beautiful Bouquet (¥95.4M) Escape Room 2 (¥72.2M) &Downton Abbey 2 (¥11.4M)

 

Last Monday

 

#1 Bad Guys : ¥1.71M

#2 Doraemon 2021 : ¥1.44M

#3 Man On The Edge : ¥1.28M

 

Cinema Opened : 9580 / 11822 (79.2%)

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Tuesday Estimates

 

#1 My Blue Summer : ¥6.5M / ¥69.8M

#2 Bad Guys : ¥3.0M / ¥270.3M

#3 Doraemon 2021 : ¥1.3M / ¥70M

#4 Man On The Edge : ¥1.2M / ¥161.4M 

#5 The Italian Recipe : ¥0.7M / ¥14.1M 

 

Others (Total)

Fantastic Beasts 3 (¥189.1M), The Batman (¥162.9M), Moonfall (¥157.2M), Uncharted (¥150.3M), Hotel Transylvania 4 (¥111.6M), We Made A Beautiful Bouquet (¥95.5M) Escape Room 2 (¥72.6M) &Downton Abbey 2 (¥11.5M)

 

Sony's "Uncharted" crossed ¥150M.

 

Last Tuesday

 

#1 Bad Guys : ¥2.37M

#2 Doraemon 2021 : ¥2.09M

#3 Man On The Edge : ¥1.37M

 

Cinema Opened : 9221 / 11822 (76.2%)

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3 hours ago, Bruce said:

Prediction of JW3 OD in China is ¥121m+($17-18m)

 

3 hours ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

 

That would be great.

If it makes120m OD, 400M OW will be likely.

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2 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

That should be enough for 800m finish right. Competition is light and so even with average WOM it will hit 2x legs. 

 

This China gross could be crucial for its 1 Billion chances should it get mediocre legs in most markets.

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Wednesday Estimates

 

#1 My Blue Summer : ¥5.4M / ¥75.3M

#2 Bad Guys : ¥2.7M / ¥272.8M

#3 Man On The Edge : ¥1.1M / ¥162.5M (+1)

#4 Doraemon 2021 : ¥1.0M / ¥70.8M (-1)

#5 The Italian Recipe : ¥0.7M / ¥14.8M 

 

Others (Total)

Fantastic Beasts 3 (¥189.5M), The Batman (¥163M), Moonfall (¥157.5M), Uncharted (¥150.8M), Hotel Transylvania 4 (¥111.9M), We Made A Beautiful Bouquet (¥95.5M) Escape Room 2 (¥72.9M) &Downton Abbey 2 (¥11.7M)

 

With "~411K : Want To See", Universal's "Jurassic World: Dominion" is now the most Anticipated Imported Title of The Year. [excl. Cameron's "Avatar: The Way Of Water"]

 

Last Wednesday

 

#1 Doraemon 2021 : ¥16.85M

#2 Bad Guys : ¥16.25M

 

Last Wednesday was "Children's Day", so COMPS will be unfair.

 

Cinema Opened : 9218 / 11822 (76.2%)

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People on social media noticed that Marvel included Moon Knight in their newest intro for the Ms Marvel show but they also removed Shang Chi and Eternals main team. Wasn't there a rumor that the Chinese local film office requested them to remove Shang Chi from the intro months ago?

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Thursday Estimates

 

#1 My Blue Summer : ¥5.5M / ¥81.0M

#2 Jurassic World: Dominion ¥3.9M [Previews]

#3 Bad Guys : ¥2.5M / ¥275.2M (-1)

#4 Man On The Edge : ¥1.0M / ¥163.5M (-1)

#5 Doraemon 2021 : ¥0.8M / ¥71.6M (-1)

 

Others (Total)

Fantastic Beasts 3 (¥189.9M), The Batman (¥163.1M), Moonfall (¥157.7M), Uncharted (¥151.1M), Hotel Transylvania 4 (¥112.1M), We Made A Beautiful Bouquet (¥95.6M) Escape Room 2 (¥73.3M) &Downton Abbey 2 (¥11.8M)

 

Universal's "Bad Guys" will take down Toho's "Stand By Me 2: Doraemon" (¥277.56M) &Disney's "Mulan" (¥278.07M) tomorrow, making it the third highest grossing animated title [Post-CoVid-19], just below another Universal Distribution's "The Croods: A New Age" (¥352.99M) &Pixar's "Soul" (¥376.18M). Because of it's crazy legs, I think it will do at-least "2x"of what's the present gross of Warner Bros's "The Batman" is...

 

On the hand, Universal's "Jurassic World: Dominion" banked with an est. ¥3.9M previews from ~5200 shows, pulling some ~91K visitors across the country. WOM will ultimately decides it's future. Maoyan's "Want To See" score has reached ~432K.

 

Last Thursday

 

#1 My Blue Summer ¥8.58M (OD)

#2 Bad Guys : ¥3.74M

#3 Doraemon 2021 : ¥2.62M

#4 Man On The Edge ¥1.47M

 

Cinema Opened : 9176 / 11822 (75.8%)

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Just now, Gavin Feng said:

¥4.5M midnight for JWD.

 

¥8.5M & ¥13.6M for previous two movies.

 

Both JW and FK grossed 200M+ in China. I think the absolute best case scenario for Dominion is something like 80M. Worst case if it has toxic WOM in China, probably more like 40 - 50M i guess.

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24 minutes ago, Olive said:

Maoyan predicts ¥101M OD and ¥1006M final.

 

Woudnt that mean a prediction for a $150M total gross? That seems very optimistic to me. Not that i would ever complain though.

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