China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Fake]

3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

So around 30-35% drop today. That is really good. So somewhere in 80's for Mermaid.

Actually..... closer to 40% drop. :)

[keysersoze123]

4 minutes ago, Fake said:

Actually..... closer to 40% drop.

 

its already at 65m+. Think it could get to 80m+ before end of day.

[Fake]

7 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

its already at 65m+. Think it could get to 80m+ before end of day.

Could happen.... although I was referring to the post by efialtes76, which showed 57.92/94.72 = 38.85% drop. From 122M Sunday, that amounts to 74-75M Monday.

[keysersoze123]

53 minutes ago, Fake said:

Could happen.... although I was referring to the post by efialtes76, which showed 57.92/94.72 = 38.85% drop. From 122M Sunday, that amounts to 74-75M Monday.

 

its already at 74m. should go over 80m for sure.

[POTUS 2020]

Looking like 30-33% drop across the board now.

Total pre-sales were 29m at midight. MM 13m. PS at 15.5m, MM 6.5 right now for tomorrow.

 

[keysersoze123]

So looking at another 40% drop tomorrow? Anything above 50m should be good.

[efialtes76]

On 21/2/2016 at 2:35 PM, efialtes76 said:

 

Sunday 21:30

 

Mermaid:120.53M(-10.8%)

CTHD2:34.3M(-21.8%)

TMK2:30.91M(-6%)

Macau 3:20.98M(-8%)

KFP3:14.99(+7.6%)

Naruto:13.21M(-12.1%)

Monday 21:30

 

Mermaid:83.18M(-31.9%)

CHTD2:23.46M(-31,6%)

TMK2:23.28M(-24.7%)

Macau 3:17.11M(-18,5%)

KFP3:8.99M(-40%)

Naruto:7.19M(-45.6%)

Edited February 22, 2016 by efialtes76

[keysersoze123]

Excellent. If actuals end up higher around 85m that would mean around 30% drop. Amazing that Macau 3 held the best. Panda continues to stagnate in the evening.

[POTUS 2020]

W/O/W  drops monday

MM -52%

TMK2 -54%

M3 - 60%

KFP3 -38% legs baby legs. 

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

So looking at another 40% drop tomorrow? Anything above 50m should be good.

Much smaller.  Pre-sales rolling up decent with 2 hours til midnight. MM at 7.7m, total 18m. Should be -25% or better

[efialtes76]

Monday est

 

Mermaid:85.16M

TMK2:24.11M

CHTD2:23.53M

Macau 3:17M

KFP3:8.79M

Naruto:7.18M

[druv10]

Early estimate

 

Mermaid 84M/2,817M

TMK2 24M

CTHD 23.7M

Macau3 17.6M

KFP3 8.35M

[sgchn40]

Looks like Friday is the earliest MM can hit 3 billion rmb now.

 

I hope Ip Man 3 can at least make 1 billion...

[a2k]

KFP3 needs 74m for 1b. Should surely happen considering it's gonna play for what..30 days more? That's a daily average of just 2.5m.

If it gets 155-160m USD in China, KFP3's combined gross in US and China will touch 300m USD.

Edited February 22, 2016 by a2knet

[efialtes76]

Tuesday presales 00:00

 

Mermaid:7.99M

CHTD2:2.97M

TMK2:2.43M

Macau 3:1.55M

Naruto:1.16M

KFP3:1.07M

[Fake]

Mermaid should get ~55M today..... pretty good!

 

Hopefully it stays over 40M on Friday.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

1 hour ago, Fake said:

Mermaid should get ~55M today..... pretty good!

 

Hopefully it stays over 40M on Friday.

It should.

 

17 hours ago, sgchn40 said:

Looks like Friday is the earliest MM can hit 3 billion rmb now.

 

I hope Ip Man 3 can at least make 1 billion...

1B is a stretch... but the market needs a breakout for March.

 

Next week the workdays before IM3 hits will be very bad.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

On Saturday, February 20, 2016 at 9:15 PM, Lihongkim said:

I remember summer last year no one expected Monster Hunt, JBM & TMK : Hero is Back to breakout (even never heard about TMK) . I won't say this will happen again in summer 2016. But many local blockbusters target summer this year.

True but still, so far no sign of another MH, JBM & TMK trio at all. I wont bet on LORD, Feng Shen and The Lost Tomb to save the summer. All three films are fanboy-driven, and terrible in quality guaranteed. I say they have one thing in common: big opening, dropping like a rock afterward. dont see any reach 1B.

 

Last summer was 12.5B, a number unlikely to be matched, unless ...(If SARFT wants to save the summer, they need to allow major HLW releases into the summer, at least 'give' August to HLW; but in that case, September will become shallow ...)

 

Cold War 2, etc should be good but action thrillers have limited potential.

 

Maybe 2016 would be lucky to reach 55B with a weak slate. But 2017 could jump to 90B, with so many Chinese audience friendly blockbusters. So dont panic (concluding hey the China market is slowing down) if 2016 turns out to have a modest increase over 2015. The yearly box office very much depends on the content of the year.

 

 

Edited February 23, 2016 by firedeep

[Polaroids]

19 minutes ago, firedeep said:

True but still, so far no sign of another MH, JBM & TMK trio at all. I wont bet on LORD, Feng Shen and The Lost Tomb to save the summer. All three films are fanboy-driven, and terrible in quality guaranteed. I say they have one thing in common: big opening, dropping like a rock afterward. dont see any reach 1B.

 

Last summer was 12.5B, a number unlikely to be matched, unless ...(If SARFT wants to save the summer, they need to allow major HLW releases into the summer, at least 'give' August to HLW; but in that case, September will become shallow ...)

 

Cold War 2, etc should be good but action thrillers have limited potential.

 

Maybe 2016 would be lucky to reach 55B with a weak slate. But 2017 could jump to 90B, with so many Chinese audience friendly blockbusters. So dont panic (concluding hey the China market is slowing down) if 2016 turns out to have a modest increase over 2015. The yearly box office very much depends on the content of the year.

 

 

The Lost Tomb might be fan-driven but it's still a well-known book series (like Harry Potter in the West) and the director is not bad, he's directed some pretty good wuxia films in the past. I think the quality will be okay. It might do well. Jing Boran rose in popularity because of Monster Hunt and Luhan is still a popular teen idol. There's also the chance of some surprise breakout from a low-budget youth film. And then later on in the year there's Railroad Tigers.

[efialtes76]

Maoyan 18:30

 

Mermaid:39.58M

TMK2:11.53M

CTHD2:10.17M

Macau 3:7.74M

KFP3:5.03M

Naruto:4.59M

 

Big drops.