China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[bangbingchan]

13 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

After the opening weekend of sws people were predicting 3bil WW and over 300m from China, loonies.

Sorry,Chinese love Disney now,but no Star Wars,No Pixar.Disney is at the golden age everywhere,including China.Disneyland Shanghai makes it even crazy.Star Wars Zone in Shanghai will promote Rouge one.Chinese more needs a Zootopia in Disneyland IMO.

Edited March 11, 2016 by bangbingchan

[bangbingchan]

7 minutes ago, #ED said:

When do pre-sales start for BvS?

Some places already started.very small scale now.

http://piaofang.maoyan.com/movie/78439

Edited March 11, 2016 by bangbingchan

[bangbingchan]

4 hours ago, Olive said:

Good luck if it gets a Sunday opening date...

I don't think a Sun OD again for potential blockbuster this year after what FF7 did last year.even CA don't release on Friday,Mon,Tues,Weds,Thursday,who knows.No Sunday for sure.

Edited March 11, 2016 by bangbingchan

[Olive]

Yeah, I'm also worried about BVS, it has some buzz on certain forums, but not much on social networks.

Even the cast's visiting didn't cause much attention.

Even though its 2nd weekend will be boosted by holidays, but Revenant seems to be breaking out, and Zootopia won't die down soon,and some local movies.

So competitions will be quite fierce for it, if the movie is not very good, it may be in trouble..

[bangbingchan]

6 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

GOE going to beat domestic OD/OW

ZOO going to beat domestic second weekend.

ZOO pre-sales already double for tomorrow. 150m+ likely. 350m+ weekend

 

Good For GoE.

Zootopia,Revenant,BvS.Definitely,A Hot March.even GoE is better than expectation.

[fmpro]

15 minutes ago, Olive said:

Yeah, I'm also worried about BVS, it has some buzz on certain forums, but not much on social networks.

Even the cast's visiting didn't cause much attention.

Even though its 2nd weekend will be boosted by holidays, but Revenant seems to be breaking out, and Zootopia won't die down soon,and some local movies.

So competitions will be quite fierce for it, if the movie is not very good, it may be in trouble..

 

I think were looking at a Mission impossible rouge og SW7 run~ish

[efialtes76]

34 minutes ago, Olive said:

Yeah, I'm also worried about BVS, it has some buzz on certain forums, but not much on social networks.

Even the cast's visiting didn't cause much attention.

Even though its 2nd weekend will be boosted by holidays, but Revenant seems to be breaking out, and Zootopia won't die down soon,and some local movies.

So competitions will be quite fierce for it, if the movie is not very good, it may be in trouble..

Revenant will fall like a rock.

Good movie but too "artistic".

[MinaTakla]

Wow if REVENANT overperfoms here it will have a shot at 500m WW. Wishful thinking a bit by me, but I love it so much so I hope so!

[seduh]

wow at Zootropia, i can´t believe it already made 20 times it's opening day

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, seduh said:

wow at Zootropia, i can´t believe it already made 20 times it's opening day

Good bye Mr loser opened at 23.5m and did 62x OD for 1.45B. ZOO has a shot at 70x 22.4m OD

[POTUS 2020]

7 hours ago, EVANGELyang said:

Sat 200M no way

Way

[POTUS 2020]

6 hours ago, #ED said:

When do pre-sales start for BvS?

Generally we don't see anything discernable until 7 days out

[A Marvel Fanboy]

still thinking 150m Sat, if it does hit 200m Sat, then 1.5B is likely no need extension ...

[POTUS 2020]

Already at 55m. Going up at 3m per 30m. That rate will increase now that it's 10am. 230 was the midpoint yesterday. 2pm should be midpoint today. We'll have a better idea then.

[POTUS 2020]

The run rate is 6m per 30 minutes now at 12pm. That should increase a little in the afternoon, decrease after 8 pm but essentially hold that pace thru 10pm. 194m total if that happens 

72m total now at 1200.  It was at 34m total yesterday at 2pm.  Should get to 96m by 2pm and be close to the midpoint. If so 192m. 

So 190-200m looking likely.

2pm should confirm this if run rate continues. 

 

ZOO gettng 10% increase in shows tomorrow from 32% to 35%. With the wave building maybe we see it close to flat

 

Will edit below as updates happen

 

1000.   54m

1030.   57

1100.   61

1130.   66.5

1200.   72.4

1230.   78.5

1300.   84.6                                          Range

1330.   90.6      Earliest midpoint        181 Total

1400.   97.5      Likely midpoint           195

1430. 103.6      Latest midpoint.         207

 

 

Edited March 12, 2016 by No Prisoners

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Yeah, the WOM effetc is like rolling a snowball, getting bigger and bigger, until no more potential audience to be reached. From what I see, ZOO has fully exploded in first-tier cities (aka 北上广深) and second-tier cities but third/fourth/fifth-tier cities remain muted, as adult cinema goers there generally simply don't go to animations.

 

I think ZOO reaches its peak point this weekend. From this wkn on, it will run on inertia, having better than average weekly drops. If it follows LOP (three equally peak weekends in a row) or TMK (two peak weekends in a row), then 2B could happen, which is just too crazy to think about.

 

 

Anyway, ZOO looks to break GML's total/opening-day multiplier with possibly 70x+.

 

Edited March 12, 2016 by firedeep

[druv10]

Zoo at 97.5M around 2 pm, it should double from this point so we're looking at 195M+ Saturday!!!

[Olive]

Fast 7 7th day(Saturday) was 228M, biggest non-opening  Saturday.

 

Zootopia is the third animated movie with a single day over 100M yuan. 

Edited March 12, 2016 by Olive

[POTUS 2020]

Going to be close to 200m

Next thing to watch is how close it holds to flat tomorrow. With more shows and WOM spreading it could be close. Then Mondays number compared Thursday will be interesting.

 

Was thinking 450m Friday to thursday. Now it looks like weekend could be close to that. Nearly 600m for the week.  950m total on thursday. That locks 1.6b.

 

2B a possibility, let's see how the week plays out. Will need to hold -33% next weekend for that to happen

[TigerPaw]

Shi Jian Xiang miscalculated 3 things while setting a date for Ip Man 3.
1) Apparent Box Office Frauds by haters (He still claims there was no fraud, and is taking legal actions against people accusing the company).

2) Impact of Bluray release, search Weibo Ye Wen 3 and everyone is talking about watching the movie online. =.=
3) Zootopia's Explosion. Shi wanted the whole of March to be dominated by Ip Man 3 but Disney and Warner Bros had other plans, with Zootopia and BvS both in March, Ip Man 3 was caught in the cross fire and Zootopia's popularity causes showtime slashes for IpM3.

 

Ip Man 3 would have done at least 1.2billion if released on Feb 8th. Same as Kung Fu Panda 3, both killed by release date.
MK2 or Macau 3 would have scored at most 600m Yuan if released on March 4th with Zootopia. Release date is still a key criteria in China's market...