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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

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Nice

5 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

 

Nice, makes sense considering the big game following. Now we have to see how it does tomorrow and over the next 5 days. Wonder if 300M OD without midnights and 1Bil over the 5 days is possible?

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Just now, tesjkg44 said:

Nice

 

Nice, makes sense considering the big game following. Now we have to see how it does tomorrow and over the next 5 days. Wonder if 300M OD without midnights and 1Bil over the 5 days is possible?

Not sure, If F7 did 343M OD, then I think 300M is certainly achievable. What was F7's 5 day total? (When did it reach 1 billion?)

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13 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

Not sure, If F7 did 343M OD, then I think 300M is certainly achievable. What was F7's 5 day total? (When did it reach 1 billion?)

It had a Sunday open and took 5 days for 1B

15 minutes ago, tesjkg44 said:

Nice

 

Nice, makes sense considering the big game following. Now we have to see how it does tomorrow and over the next 5 days. Wonder if 300M OD without midnights and 1Bil over the 5 days is possible?

PS at 92m for OD. 300m doubtful

Holiday from Thu to sat, with a 225-250m OD and a bump and hold for Thu- sat it could get to 1B in 4 days. Up to WoM.

14 minutes ago, Blackout said:

wonder how will the WOM for Warcraft be. I'm a WoW player and honestly the film doesn't look that appealing to me personally.

They have their own taste. What's universally rejected in domestic and OS can pop here and vice versa.

Edited by No Prisoners
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                          CA3                  XMA                 WC                  

Days out    MN        OD               OD              MN     OD

0000 13                                                                       15m

0000 12                                                                       16

0000  11                                                                      17

0000  10                                                                      18

0000.   9     0.1m   0.3m              0.0m         18        20

0000    8     0.8       2.4                 2.3             19        23+15%

0000    7     1.2       3.6 +50%      3.2 +39%   20       27 +18%

0000    6     1.8       6.2 +72%      4.2 +31%   21.9    31.5 +17%

0000    5     2.1       8.1 +31%      4.9 +16%   23.5    35.9 +14%

0000    4     2.8.    11.9 +47%      6.2 +27%   24.8   40.8 +14%

0000    3     3.5     16.3 +37%      9.0 +45%   25.8   44.8 +10%

0000    2     4.8     25.4 +56%    11.1 +23%   27.0   50.9 +14%

0000    1     6.4     37.9 +50%    17.8 +60%   30.5   64.2 +26%

0000  OD  18.1     65.8 +75%    31.6 +78%   55.0   95.0 +49%

                                                    

CA3 OD Fri 5/6

OD Total  181m           x PS   2.75        
OW Total 625m           Total  1245m

OD  Multi 6.88              OW Multi  1.99

2.75 PS multi is in line with the norm for tentpoles

 

XMA OD Fri 6/3

OD Total   110m           x PS   3.48
OW Total  384m           Total

OD  Multi.                      OW Multi

3.48 PS multi is high due to weak PS, VG WOM and strong walk ups

 

WC OD Wed 6/8

OD Total                        x PS   ???
OW Total                       Total

OD  Multi.                      OW Multi

 

PS will add a few million in the early hours. 

It was PS heavy at the start. It may not have 2.75 x PS like CA3

I think it will do 2.25-2.50 x PS.

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3 hours ago, Mrstickball said:

How reliable/informative are Gewara's user review scores for movies? Warcraft just jumped up to 9.4 from 7.0 in reviews prior to release.

That's a good start, it usually drops after initial pop. @Olive said Douban is a better indicator though

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5 hours ago, Mrstickball said:

How reliable/informative are Gewara's user review scores for movies? Warcraft just jumped up to 9.4 from 7.0 in reviews prior to release.

I think every film starts at 7.0 as a pre release default score and go from there. Warcraft is having an initial fanboy rush, at 8.8 douban score now, will probably drop very soon.

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WC has a run rate of 11.5m per hour. That will take the total to 245m. The rate usually increase after 1800 by 50%, but could fade due to presale sellouts. 230m - 270m for OD.

PS indicating a bump for tomorrow. Not sure how much just yet, but 30% would be a big target since many are off from school today.  TF4 bumped 27% after a summer Friday open.

 

XMA running at 1.6m per hour and will increase after 1800.  Looking at 25m+ and PS indicating a bump for tomorrow, could be a typical SH sat bump of 80%. 657m/ $100m locked. Beating DoFP looking good.

 

Run rate increased. Updated 1430 Beijing time

Edited by No Prisoners
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1 hour ago, Mojoguy said:

Do Chinese fanboys care about Starcraft or Diablo? Would those movies do well in China?

all three Blizzard franchises has been popular at some point in China, so there will be a nostalgia factor for all.of them, maybe not quite as much as Warcraft, but I think they could all do well.

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