China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[TigerPaw]

1.5bn yuan crossed! Another milestone!

 

[fmpro]

19 hours ago, fmpro said:

Aqua is really strong tonight and will bump a bit today from a weak thursday like @POTUS predicted but still in my 30-35mill prediction range i did a few days ago

 

Aqua and Spidey will battle hard for first this weekend

 

17 hours ago, POTUS said:

Spidey PS going to be flat for Sat.  PSm should bump from 3.5 to 4.5.  Just a 30% bump tomorrow. Playing like SH not a toon. 

     SV                      AQ

F     44.5                 33.5

S     58                    67

S     44                    50

Tot 146.5/$21.2    150.5/$21.8

        Rev%      Show%    Ratio

SV    29.5         19.4         1.52

Aq    22.2         13.9         1.59

AQ has highest PTA for the day and will for the weekend.  All other movies are <1

 

Still think Aquaman will win the weekend😉

[POTUS 2020]

44 minutes ago, fmpro said:

 

Still think Aquaman will win the weekend😉

See how evening goes.  Both are stronger than I expected. 70m+ maybe

 

@Olive or anyone else, is Saturday a workday because of NYE and NYD on mon/tue?  I see 2 medium sized openers on Saturday.  Friday wont bump much in that case

Edited December 22, 2018 by POTUS

[efialtes76]

Aquaman is making 0.6m-0.7m more than Spiderman every 30min.

[fmpro]

I will be very surprised if Spiderverse did not win the weekend. That would require a huge sunday for Aquaman.

Spiderverse seems to bennefit from WOM 

[fmpro]

I will be very surprised if Spiderverse did not win the weekend. That would require a huge sunday for Aquaman.

Spiderverse seems to bennefit from WOM 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Great Saturday for Spiderverse

[boyamama]

AQM gain 100% from friday...WOM...legs.....

[Olive]

5 hours ago, POTUS said:

See how evening goes.  Both are stronger than I expected. 70m+ maybe

 

@Olive or anyone else, is Saturday a workday because of NYE and NYD on mon/tue?  I see 2 medium sized openers on Saturday.  Friday wont bump much in that case

holiday will begin on Sunday, end on Tues

[Olive]

Saturday estimates Dec.22
Spider-Verse - 74.5M / 119.3M, 3nd biggest daily for 2018 animated movies

Aquaman - 70M / 1551M, +111%

Airpocalypse - 26.9m/65.03%,-29%
When Robbers Meet The Monster - 20.6m/37.1m,+25%
Master Z: Ip Man Legacy - 15M/25.1M,+51%

Totoro 9.5m/127.6M

Padman 2.1m/58.34m

[stephanos13]

#aquaman 3rd Super Saturday In China. 3rd Saturday Collection In China Is $10.13M.
Total China $224.62M.
@creepypuppet @aquamanmovie @AquamanShrine @AmberHeardIT @JASONMOMOA_TH @AmberHeardIT @AmberHeardBRA pic.twitter.com/mIIx61aKsM

— China Box Office (@Manvendra_CBO) December 22, 2018

[MrPink]

What kind of weekend totals would we be looking at for Aquaman and Spider-Man ?

[Olive]

2 hours ago, MrPink said:

What kind of weekend totals would we be looking at for Aquaman and Spider-Man ?

Spideys - 180M yuan

Aquaman 160M/1608M

[POTUS 2020]

Its looking close again

Vm could win in yuan, Aq in dollars

Aq					XR 6.88	Vm				XR 6.94	IW				XR 6.35	Aq vs	Aq vs
Day	Yn	DoD	WoW	Tot	$Tot	Yn	DoD	WoW	Tot	$Tot	Yn	DoD	WoW	Tot	$Tot	Vm	IW
Fri	157			165	24	223			239	34	387			447	70	-74	-282
Sat	266	69.6%		431	63	303	35.9%		542	78	493	27.5%		940	148	-112	-510
Sun	220	-17.0%		651	95	224	-26.1%		766	110	332	-32.8%		1272	200	-115	-621
Mon	89	-59.5%		740	108	90	-59.8%		856	123	109	-67.1%		1381	217	-116	-640
Tues	74	-17.5%		814	118	80	-11.1%		936	135	81	-25.7%		1462	230	-122	-648
Wed	62	-15.9%		876	127	69	-13.8%		1005	145	65	-20.0%		1526	240	-129	-651
Thur	55	-11.5%		930	135	62	-10.1%		1067	154	53	-19.0%		1579	249	-137	-648
Fri	86	57.5%	-44.9%	1017	148	85	37.1%	-61.9%	1152	166	72	36.4%	-81.5%	1650	260	-135	-634
Sat	164	89.8%	-38.3%	1181	172	162	90.6%	-46.5%	1314	189	142	98.2%	-71.2%	1792	282	-134	-612
Sun	124	-24.6%	-44.0%	1304	190	109	-32.7%	-51.3%	1423	205	132	-7.0%	-60.2%	1924	303	-119	-620
Mon	41.5	-66.4%	-53.5%	1346	196	35.6	-67.3%	-60.4%	1459	210	31.6	-76.1%	-71.0%	1956	308	-113	-610
Tue	36.5	-12.0%	-50.4%	1382	200.6	30.5	-14.3%	-61.9%	1489	215	25.2	-20.3%	-68.9%	1981	312	-107	-599
Wed	33	-9.6%	-46.7%	1415	205.4	26.6	-12.8%	-61.4%	1516	218	21.1	-16.3%	-67.4%	2002	315	-101	-587
Thu	30	-9.1%	-45.3%	1445	209.7	23.7	-10.9%	-61.8%	1539	222	18.6	-11.8%	-64.6%	2021	318	-94	-576
Fri	33.2	10.7%	-61.5%	1478	215	31.1	31.2%	-63.4%	1571	226	23.1	24.2%	-67.7%	2044	322	-92	-566
Sat	70	110.8%	-57.3%	1548	225	61.5	97.7%	-62.0%	1632	235	50.8	119.9%	-64.2%	2095	330	-84	-547
Sun	54	-22.9%	-56.3%	1602	233	43.2	-29.8%	-60.4%	1675	241	39.9	-21.5%	-69.8%	2135	336	-73	-532
Xeve	24	-55.6%	-42.2%	1626	236	14.4	-66.7%	-59.6%	1690	243	12.0	-69.9%	-62.0%	2147	338	-63	-520
Xday	24	0.0%	-34.2%	1650	240	13.0	-9.7%	-57.4%	1703	245	11.1	-7.5%	-56.0%	2158	340	-52	-508
Wed	15	-37.5%	-54.5%	1665	242	12.0	-7.7%	-54.9%	1715	247	10.5	-5.9%	-50.5%	2168	341	-49	-503
Thu	13.5	-10.0%	-55.0%	1679	244	11.3	-5.8%	-52.3%	1726	249	12.1	15.8%	-34.9%	2180	343	-47	-502
Fri	13.5	0.0%	-59.3%	1692	246	18.1	60.2%	-41.8%	1744	251	35.2	190.9%	52.4%	2215	349	-52	-523
Sat	19	40.7%	-72.9%	1711	248	40.0	121.0%	-35.0%	1784	257	31.6	-10.2%	-37.8%	2247	354	-73	-536
Sun	40	110.5%	-25.9%	1751	254	27.5	-31.3%	-36.3%	1812	261	23.2	-26.6%	-41.9%	2270	358	-60	-519
NYE	20	-50.0%	-16.7%	1771	257	9.3	-66.2%	-35.4%	1821	262	7.8	-66.4%	-35.0%	2278	359	-50	-507
NYD	30	50.0%	25.0%	1801	261	8.2	-11.8%	-36.9%	1829	264	8.5	9.0%	-23.4%	2287	360	-28	-485
Wed	9	-70.0%	-40.0%	1810	263	7.8	-4.9%	-35.0%	1837	265	8.9	4.1%	-15.3%	2295	361	-27	-485
Thu	8.1	-10.0%	-40.0%	1818	264	7.3	-6.4%	-35.4%	1844	266	7.8	-11.9%	-35.5%	2303	363	-26	-485
BB od	6	-25.9%	-55.6%	1824	265	2.1	-71.2%	-88.4%	1846	266	8.5	9.5%	-75.7%	2312	364	-22	-487
Sat	12	100.0%	-36.8%	1836	267	4.7	123.8%	-88.3%	1851	267	18.4	115.5%	-41.8%	2330	367	-15	-494
Sun	9	-25.0%	-77.5%	1845	268	3.7	-21.3%	-86.5%	1855	267	15.5	-15.8%	-33.2%	2346	369	-9	-500
				1865	271				1870	269.5				2390	376	-5	-525

[POTUS 2020]

Weekend Est

 

Spidey     178m/$25.8m   Could do at 2.5x or more   $64m+

 

Aqua      161m/$23.3m   1609m/$234m      on course  for $270m at 6.89 XR

$280m possible if holiday play out well, and with ext and BBee bombs(Mon/Xmas Eve going to hold -50% or better)

Low 260s if it doesn't get holiday bump, no extension or BBee does well

 

 

Vm 560k/$80k   1868m/$269.3m at a 6.94 XR average.  Its over $270m if they use the current 6.91 XR as Mojo has used

 

Edited December 23, 2018 by POTUS

[boyamama]

what's next week big released in CHINA ???

[POTUS 2020]

11 minutes ago, boyamama said:

what's next week big released in CHINA ???

Saturday is a workday with the holiday from Sunday to Tues

Two middling releases on Saturday

 

The big one is on NYE/Monday.  The long Day' Journey into the Night.  Google translate calls it at "The last night of the earth"

Its PS are already at 89m/$13m for NYE.  Its going to be over 230m/$40m.  However PS for the 1st is 130k/$20k😂. It will be an interesting result to see

[fmpro]

53 minutes ago, POTUS said:

Weekend Est

 

Spidey     178m/$23.2m   Could do at 2.5x or more   $56m

 

Aqua      161m/$23.3m   1609m/$234m      on course  for $270m at 6.89 XR

$280m possible if holiday play out well, and with extention and BBee bombs

Low 260s if it doesn't get holiday bump, no extension or BBee does well

 

 

Vm 560k/$80k   1868m/$269.3m at a 6.94 XR average.  Its over $270m if they use the current 6.91 XR as Mojo has used

 

178 mill for Spiderverse is 25,8. Not 23,2

 

I think 180 mill is realistic around 26 mill$ and 65-70mill$ finish

[Olive]

Top Animated Movies in China
Rank	Movie Ttitle	Gross(￥)	Adm（M）	Gross($)	Date
#1	Zootopia	￥1,530.3	45.48	$234.0	2016/3/4
#2	Coco	￥1,211.0	35.90	$183.8	2017/11/24
#3	Despicable Me 3	￥1,037.8	30.47	$152.6	2017/7/7
#4	Kung Fu Panda 3	￥1,002.0	28.14	$154.4	2016/1/29
#5	The Monkey King: Hero is Back	￥956.4	27.59	$154.0	2015/7/10
#6	Kung Fu Panda 2	￥612.1	16.20	$94.2	2011/5/28
#7	Bonnie Bears 5	￥605.5	16.91	$95.5	2018/2/16
#8	Your Name	￥576.8	16.89	$85.1	2016/12/2
#9	Big Fish & Begonia	￥565.1	20.72	$84.5	2016/7/8
#10	Doraemon: Stand by Me	￥530.3	15.29	$85.4	2015/5/28
#11	Big Hero 6	￥526.7	14.33	$84.1	2015/2/28
#12	Bonnie Bears 4	￥522.6	15.22	$76.1	2017/1/28
#13	Angry Birds	￥513.8	16.18	$78.4	2016/5/20
#14	Ice Age 4	￥449.0	11,75	$73.4	2012/7/27
#15	Ice Age 5	￥447.2	14.17	$67.3	2016/8/23
#16	Minions	￥435.7	12.81	$68.6	2015/9/13
#17	How to Train Your Dragon 2	￥406.0	10.84	$65.5	2014/8/14
#18	The Croods	￥393.9	10.71	$63.4	2013/4/20
#19	THE Secret Life of Pets	￥389.1	12.12	$58.6	2016/8/2
#20	L.O.R.D	￥382.6	8.72	$57.4	2016/9/30
#21	Incredibles 2	￥354.4	10.22	$53.7	2018/6/22
#22	Despicable Me 2	￥323.8	8.09	$53.3	2014/1/10
#23	Frozen	￥299.0	8.09	$48.6	2014/2/25
#24	Bonnie Bears 2	￥295.4	8.59	$47.3	2015/1/30
#25	Bonnie Bears 3	￥287.4	9.14	$43.9	2016/1/16
#26	Ralph Breaks the Internet	￥271.2	10.14	$39.1	2018/11/23
#27	Smurfs	￥252.5	6.62	$39.5	2011/8/10
#28	Finding Dory	￥254.1	7.87	$38.6	2016/6/17
#29	Peguins of Madagascar	￥253.1	7.25	$41.2	2014/11/14
#30	Bonnie Bears	￥247.8	7.18	$40.6	2014/1/17

[fmpro]

Spiderverse could take that #14 spot^