China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[keysersoze123]

I was thinking something like this for TF4 OW.

 

OD including midnights 150M RMB

Sat 135M

Sun 115M

 

~ 400M OW

 

3x multi for 1200 RMB finish. 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Despite the attempt to have the first three weeks of June have Hollywood cannibalize each other, arguably each fared well...

True. On the other, those June releases still did/do much stronger business than Feb/Mar/Apr ones.  Robocop barely crossed 300m two weeks without competition, NFS 400m three weeks without competition, Hobbit 2 463m two weeks without competition. They made June a very strong month and benifited from it. 

 

Does that effect TF4 being in theaters?

It's basically Paramount breaking agreements. But it shouldnt affect TF4 release a bit. 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

I was thinking something like this for TF4 OW.

 

OD including midnights 150M RMB

Sat 135M

Sun 115M

 

~ 400M OW

 

3x multi for 1200 RMB finish. 

I am not brave enough to predict TF4 so early. But Sat should increase ..... 

 

Plus I highly doubt it can hits 3x.

Edited June 20, 2014 by firedeep

[reddevil18]

I was thinking something like this for TF4 OW.

 

OD including midnights 150M RMB

Sat 135M

Sun 115M

 

~ 400M OW

 

3x multi for 1200 RMB finish. 

Around 200 million USD is what I would expect too, but I would not be shocked with more.

[keysersoze123]

What is the ceiling for single day. 200RMB !!!

 

How about

 

150

180

160

490M OW

 

1300M RMB finish.

[Archerdude]

True. On the other, those June releases still did/do much stronger business than Feb/Mar/Apr ones.  Robocop barely crossed 300m two weeks without competition, NFS 400m three weeks without competition, Hobbit 2 463m two weeks without competition. They made June a very strong month and benifited from it. 

 

It's basically Paramount breaking agreements. But it shouldnt affect TF4 release a bit. 

 

Don't think Paramount at fault here, I'm pretty sure the Pangu tie-in was pursued and completed by their Chinese partners, the lugheads at M1905 and Jiaflix.  It's as relevant as the "reality show" they staged for roles in the movie, ones that I'm sure will be comical to see, if seen at all, yet they made all those claims in Hollywood and Wall Street that it was a weekly seen by hundreds of millions...nuts.

[Archerdude]

True. On the other, those June releases still did/do much stronger business than Feb/Mar/Apr ones.  Robocop barely crossed 300m two weeks without competition, NFS 400m three weeks without competition, Hobbit 2 463m two weeks without competition. They made June a very strong month and benifited from it. 

 

It's basically Paramount breaking agreements. But it shouldnt affect TF4 release a bit. 

 

Don't think Paramount at fault here, I'm pretty sure the Pangu tie-in was pursued and completed by their Chinese partners, the lugheads at M1905 and Jiaflix.  It's as relevant as the "reality show" they staged for roles in the movie, ones that I'm sure will be comical to see, if seen at all, yet they made all those claims in Hollywood and Wall Street that it was a weekly seen by hundreds of millions...nuts.

[picores]

So how's the summer looking so far?

 

Captain America 2 : +115m

The Amazing Spiderman 2 : +90m

X-Men:DOFP : +115m

Edge of Tomorrow : +65m

Godzilla : +80m

Maleficent : +55m

 

Is this accurate?

[Olive]

Based on early presales, I think TF4 midnights may hit $4-5M.

Usually Midnights-OD ratio is less than 1:10.

 

[John Marston]

Based on early presales, I think TF4 midnights may hit $4-5M.

Usually Midnights-OD ratio is less than 1:10.

 

 

 

TF4 is opening today?

[alee7915]

TF4 is opening today?

[keysersoze123]

Based on early presales, I think TF4 midnights may hit $4-5M.

Usually Midnights-OD ratio is less than 1:10.

 

 

So somewhere between 40-55M OD and 140-180M OW and around 350-450M China run. 

[Hilderic]

That 1.3 billion population is really starting to show.

[Blackout]

1.3M for DOFP on friday

 

Oh actually it was 0.72m for DOFP on Friday. The 1.3m est was for another movie.

 

Maleficent 35.1m

Godzilla 22.55m  total: 362m

Edge of Tomorrow 7.36m  total: 362m

DOFP 0.72m  total: 718m

Edited June 21, 2014 by Skybreaker™

[juni78ukr]

Firedeep, could you tell us, please, best OD and best single day gross in China?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Based on early presales, I think TF4 midnights may hit $4-5M.

Usually Midnights-OD ratio is less than 1:10.

 

 

So somewhere between 40-55M OD and 140-180M OW and around 350-450M China run. 

Nope. Of course no 1:10 this time.

 

Remember one screen can only screen TF4 4~5 times on average one day. Plus midnight PSA will be much higher (easily 2x+) than day shows. Ticket price will be higher too.

[keysersoze123]

I was kidding. Realistically what is the ceiling for TF4. IM3 did 121M OD. So I am thinking this should do at least 150M. 400M OW is also on the cards I assume and at least 1B run. if there is no competition I assume it can do 1.2B or even beat Avatar.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Firedeep, could you tell us, please, best OD and best single day gross in China?

Biggest OD (over 100m+):

 

IM3 ---- 124M ------ 2013.5.1 (Holiday)

The Moneky King ---- 122M ------ 2014.1.31 (Holiday)

TF3 ---- 102M ------ 2011.7.11 (Thursday) 

 

Biggest Day (over 100m+):

 

Journey to the West ---- 126M ------ 2013.2.14 (Holiday)

IM3 ---- 124M ------ 2013.5.1 (Holiday)

The Moneky King ---- 122M ------ 2014.1.31 (Holiday)

TF3 ---- 112M ------ 2011.7.23 (Saturday) 

Titanic3D ---- 107M ------ 2012.4.14 (Saturday) 

TF3 ---- 102M ------ 2011.7.21 (Thursday) 

 

Biggest MD (over 10m+):

 

IM3 ---- 12.4M ------ 2013.5.1

Titanic3D  ---- 12M ------ 2014.4.10

TF3 ---- 12M ------ 2011.7.21

 

Biggest Day (over 200m+, all movies combined):

 

258m  ------- 2014.1.31 (Holiday)

253m -------- 2014.2.1 (Holiday)

205 ------- 2014.2.2 (Holiday)

202 ------- 2013.2.14 (Holiday)

 

Top 3 OW:

 

Titanic3D ---- 467M ------ 6 days

TF3 ---- 401M ------ 4 days

IM3 ---- 400M ------ 5 days

 

Top 3 Week:

 

Journey to the West ---- 575M ------ 7 days

Journey to the West ---- 450M ------ 7 days

Titanic3D ---- 467M ------ 6 days

[Noctis]

DH2 did $70m in China. If it had been released today, it would have probably surpassed $100m. Interesting.

[juni78ukr]

So after three years and so many screens added in the market biggest non-holiday OD still belongs to T3. That's impressive.

Biggest working day too.