China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[alee7915]

China Box Office(Weekend)

15th-17th May 2015

http://pro.boxoffice.com/statistics/news/2015-05-18-china-box-office-weekend-actuals-avengers-age-of-ultron-steamrolls-competition-on-1st-weekend-of-release-grabs-85m-for-2nd-highest-grossing-weekend-of-all-time

[vc2002]

Avatar made 13.5% of 2010 yearly box office, that would be 4B yuan in 2014...

So Avatar 2 making anything under 5B in 2018 would be flop.

 

It will be really interesting to see if A2 in China will out-gross the DOM. $550-600m would be a reasonable range for A2's DOM, and it doesn't look like a tough target at all considering the fact that we almost have a $400m grosser in China this year, and this market still has 3 more years of expansion before A2 hits.

Edited May 19, 2015 by vc2002

[keysersoze123]

cbooo is now saying 44.27m for monday. I think it will go up a bit but definitely its going below 50m. Its a big drop. I guess the "weekend" tag is played to extreme here.

[POTUS 2020]

The weekend reflects the opening day number. Its playing like a family film on the weekdays in DOM. They would've been better off with a summer release. Its really looking to be around 1.6x OW with these weekdays, maybe less. Pretty certain the range is now $240-260m and at the lower end likely.

 

Looking for one more bet in BO Casino that it does less than 250m, any takers for the over?

[Olive]

Monday AOU only 45M... 1.5b is in trouble.

[Archerdude]

oh boy...

 

Monday AOU only 45M... 1.5b is in trouble.

[Mojoguy]

Monday AOU only 45M... 1.5b is in trouble.

I want FF7 to win WW this year so badly...

[POTUS 2020]

Monday AOU only 45M... 1.5b is in trouble.

 

 

I want FF7 to win WW this year so badly...

He meant 1.5B Yuan

1.5B ww is dead.

1.4B is in question now

[eXtacy]

He meant 1.5B Yuan

1.5B ww is dead.

1.4B is in question now

 

Nearly every post I see from you is something negative

[peludo]

Nearly every post I see from you is something negative

...or positive in relation to F7 over AoU

[keysersoze123]

Nearly every post I see from you is something negative

 

Visit F7 thread and his posts will be uber positive

[keysersoze123]

Olive,

how is tuesday looking. I think real time BO these presales sites are useless as they either under report(like on saturday) or over report(for most days). Can AOU stay flat?

[Olive]

Tuesday est.

Age of Ultron: 41.2M/$6.6M, 1047M/$168.6M.

 

Movie is just doing poorly on Weekdays.

[keysersoze123]

That is not bad. So almost flat from monday. The problem is monday drop was big.

[POTUS 2020]

Nearly every post I see from you is something negative

1.5 dead ,1.4 in question, is just the plain ole truth

the expectation keep falling steadily, what can I say

FD did tell me to chill down if I recall

[Olive]

Yeah, the target demo are young people and students, so it's weekday performance is bound to be weak.

[James]

 

Tuesday est.

Age of Ultron: 41.2M/$6.6M, 1047M/$168.6M.

 

Movie is just doing poorly on Weekdays.

 

 

That is not bad. So almost flat from monday. The problem is monday drop was big.

That is an 80% drop from OD. I'd say its pretty bad.

[keysersoze123]

They key thing is weekend drop. if it drops just 50-55% it wont be bad. Not sure how openers will impact in terms of screens but I am assuming it will still keep close to 50%. I assume its next tuesday when screen count will go below 35%? But I think this can hold screens better than Furious 7 if there are not lots of big domestic openers.

[eXtacy]

1.5 dead ,1.4 in question, is just the plain ole truth

the expectation keep falling steadily, what can I say

FD did tell me to chill down if I recall

 

It wont miss 1.4B

[keysersoze123]

Yes. I dont see it miss 1.4B. I think around 1.45B total at this point. it had good hold minus china last week(as expected). So I think it will do ok.