China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Ash Skywalker]

I second that...Spidey would have never thought it would lag behind Cap and X in China...where the former's previous installment was a non-starter and the latter's wasn't even released (First Class). 

well it all depends on the quality

[Alex Bennett]

Hey do you have more infos on this festival ? Is it open for everybody etc ?

 

I would happily go there.

Starts from June 14th and ends at 22th. It opens for everybody but limited cinemas. So come here in middle June and meet me

[Archerdude]

well it all depends on the quality

Meaning you didn't think the quality on Spidey helped? 

[Ash Skywalker]

Meaning you didn't think the quality on Spidey helped? 

if it would have helped it will not be behind cap & now Godzilla 

Edited May 18, 2014 by Ash

[Olive]

Sunday est

TASM2 30.2M 501M

Coming Home 28.4M 82.4M

[Archerdude]

My guess too, for now. People's expectations for TF4 are really huge, like 1.5B+ or even 2B huge. But there is a chance that it could disappoint compared with expectations. I.E. It could actually show a small increase from TF3. After all, TF3 was already big enough. The marketing of TF4 so far is still quiet. Seems like they are quite confident that all people will automatically show up as long as it opens.

 

Summer schedule looks to be atm (only major releases, of course):

 

6.6 ---- Edge of Tomorrow ----- 2D/3D/IMAX

6.13 ----- Godzilla ------ 3D/IMAX

6.17 ---- Maleficent ------ 3D/IMAX

6.27 ---- TF4 ----- 2D/3D/IMAX

6.27 ---- The Breakup Guru----- 2D

 

7.10 ---- Seer 3 ----- 2D

7.17 ---- Tiny Times 3 ----- 2D

7.17 ---- Bunshinsaba 3 ----- 2D

7.18 ---- The House That Never Dies ----- 2D/IMAX

7.25 ---- The White Haired Witch of Lunar Kingdom ----- 3D

7.25 ---- Don't Go Breaking My Heart 2 ----- 2D

 

8.15 ---- The Expendables 3 ----- 2D

8.22 ---- How to Train your Dragons 2 ----- 3D

8.xx ----- Jupiter Ascending ---- 3D/IMAX

8.xx ----- Guardians of the Galaxy ---- 3D/IMAX

 

Fanbingbing and Johnnie To (Don't Go Breaking My Heart 2) will battle for the Chinese Valentine Day slot, which falls on 8.2 this year.

 

Apes and Turtles however seem will go to September. Then 2014 is pretty much over for Hollywood big movies. Interstellar wont be released this year. 

 

June has the strongest line up of all months. It's a critical month for the whole year. 28B probably wont happen if June doesnot hit 3B. TF4 has little competition within 20 days after OD. But it does have a sea of powerful competitors pre-release. Plus the Deng Chao-Yang Mi ROM-COM The Breakup Guru is not to be underestimated.

 

April was flat with last year, causing the first four months of 2014 (8.52B) just running 23.2% ahead of 2013. First half of May is even behind 2013 ....

 

Without Interstellar, all hope relys on Godzilla, TF4 and Bullets. Rest are all fillers, even The Crossing 1/2.

So going by this, no 3D entries til Bride in end of July, this is good for TF4.  One thing to consider, when TF3 happened the one month in cinemas rule hasn't been implemented, I think, so it must have ran for up to 6 to 8 weeks, whilst the market has grown a lot, one also have to factor in the fact that it will be forcibly pulled some 30 days after it debuts.  Yes I think 240-250 is now possible, depending if the movie underwhelms or overwhelms, it will be monster big at opening.  

[nVIDIADriver]

Actuals for TASM2(milllion yuan)
4/5：61.14
5/5：36.33
6/5：34.32
7/5：28.32
8/5：23.95
9/5：38.90（+62.4%）
10/5：75.02（+92.9%）
11/5: 51.91（-30.4%）
12/5：16.41

13/5：16.66
14/5：14.28
15/5：13.23
16/5：19.30（+45.9%）
17/5：38.85（+101.3%）
18/5：30.97（-20.3%)

----------------------------------------------

Some little increases still on the way. Not bad for spidey  .

Edited May 19, 2014 by nVIDIADriver

[nVIDIADriver]

Extremely crowded……

 

X-men (3D)   5/23

Overheard III (2D)  5/29

Edge of Tomorrow (2D/3D/IMAX 3D)   6/6

Godzilla (3D/IMAX 3D)   6/13

Z Storm (2D)  6/13

Maleficent (3D) 6/17

Grace of Monaco (2D) 6/20

Transformers (3D/IMAX 3D)   6/27

[Olive]

Monday est

Coming Home 16M  99M

TASM2  10M  512m

[John Marston]

Edge of Tomorrow is fucked

[fmpro]

Monday estComing Home 16M 99MTASM2 10M 512m

Get that money while you can Spidey..Can anyone give an estimated week for TASM2Nothing new opens before friday right?So could it look like this?:Tue 10,5Wed 9Thu 8Friday 9Sat 18Sun 12578 total Edited May 19, 2014 by fmpro

[Fake]

Get that money while you can Spidey..Can anyone give an estimated week for TASM2Nothing new opens before friday right?So could it look like this?:Tue 10,5Wed 9Thu 8Friday 9Sat 18Sun 12578 total

Seems right upto Thursday. But I see a smaller number for Friday and accordingly for the weekend.

[ecstasy]

Will Spidey make it to 100m USD?

[fmpro]

Will Spidey make it to 100m USD?

Nope. Less than 1% for that to happen IMObut 95 ish should happen

[fmpro]

Seems right upto Thursday. But I see a smaller number for Friday and accordingly for the weekend.

Maybe. Lets see how many screens it looses

[Olive]

Maybe. Lets see how many screens it looses

2/3 or more.

[fmpro]

2/3 or more.

Okey. Then it will most likely die on friday.

[BobbyJohn]

Gimme a breakdown how good/bad is Maleficent's relese date plox. I don't think T4 week later is good no? ;_;

[ecstasy]

Nope. Less than 1% for that to happen IMObut 95 ish should happen

 

thanks FMpro.

[nVIDIADriver]

Monday 

Coming home ---------- 15.30M

Spidey ---------- 9.32M

 

Not bad, friday is really crucial for spidey.

And there are a few change about some upcoming films:

 

X-men (3D)   5/23

Overheard III (2D)  5/29

Edge of Tomorrow (2D/3D/IMAX 3D)   6/6

Godzilla (3D/IMAX 3D)   6/13

Z Storm (2D)  6/13

Maleficent (3D/IMAX 3D) 6/17

Grace of Monaco (2D) 6/20

Transformers (3D/IMAX 3D)   6/26

 

so crowded and too much competition.