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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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early numbers

JBM 55m. Same as MH at this time yesterday. 145-165m projected

MH 35. Down 40% from yesterday. 100-110m

TMK 12.1m. Down just 5% with 33% showtime cut. 45-50m

Shaun the sheep 3m. 8-10m projected

These two will be down 90%+ this weekend

TT 4-6m projected

FY 4-6m

Could be a 350m total

Incredible! So we might have 2 local films with 100m opening on the same weekend. Edited by sgchn40
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This is the first time three quality (in terms of public praise and word of mouth) commercial Chinese language films have been in theaters at the same time...should be an exciting weekend for the Chinese BO and proof that the market can stand on its own without Hollywood.

Edited by jiangsen
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This is the first time three quality (in terms of public praise and word of mouth) commercial Chinese language films have been in theaters at the same time...should be an exciting weekend for the Chinese BO and proof that the market can stand on its own without Hollywood.

This is true but the thing is three (or even two) quality wide local releases releasing at the same time doesn't happen often.

 

HLW movies can support the market on their own for maybe a couple of weeks. Similarly, local movies can support the market on their own for maybe a couple of weeks too, sometimes. But at the end, the market is so large that it needs movies from both continents to run at a healthy rate consistently. In a long term, cinemas will be in hungry without any of them.

 

I know this might sound idiotic of me to ask but are you guys referring to a $100 million opening or yuan? Sorry if this has already been addressed.

PS: I know China BO = Yuan but roughly rounded to $26 million OW doesn't seem that large but $100 does.

I think  sgchn40 meant $100m. But 2 local films with $100m opening on the same weekend is not happening this round. It's the summer, Saturday will be muted, plus both MH and BJM are heavily pre-sold.

 

It's a new case so only Saturday grosses can give us a clear picture. Right now I think MH is heading to 550m+ / $88m 4days, JBM 350m+ / $56m 3days, waiting for Friday and Sat to revise.

Edited by firedeep
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Fridayday Estimates
1). Monster Hunt ¥131M/cume: 303M($48.8M) 
2). JianBing Man ¥130M/cume: 138M($22.2M) 
3). TMK : Hero is back ¥36M/cume: 343M($55.2M) 
4). Shaun the sheep ¥6.2M/cume: 6.2M($1M) 
5). Tiny Times 4 ¥5.2M/cume: 463M($74.5M) 
6). Forever Young ¥4.1M/cume: 361M($58.1M) 
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Exceptional hold for MH. AOU is going down.

 

Sat should set all time biggest single day gross. This Friday is already the third biggest (excluding midnight):

 

1. Apr 12, 2015 ---------- 383m

2. Feb 19, 2015 ---------- 373m

3. Jul 17, 2015 ------------ 314m (estimated)

4. Feb 21, 2015 ---------- 301m

5. Feb 20, 2015 ---------- 293m

Edited by firedeep
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Fridayday Estimates
1). Monster Hunt ¥131M/cume: 303M($48.8M) 
2). JianBing Man ¥130M/cume: 138M($22.2M) 
3). TMK : Hero is back ¥36M/cume: 343M($55.2M) 
4). Shaun the sheep ¥6.2M/cume: 6.2M($1M) 
5). Tiny Times 4 ¥5.2M/cume: 463M($74.5M) 
6). Forever Young ¥4.1M/cume: 361M($58.1M) 

 

Munster Hunt  :)  :P  :D

TV host Da Peng (Jian Bing Man) did good on his first directorial debut. He wills beat Zhao Wei (So Young) as biggest box office for first time as director.

TMK still did good despite facing 2 blockbusters.

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noon update

midpoint on the day is hard to pin down with local movies. HLW movies are consistently around 1430 on sat. local midpoint is earlier.

they should all at least double from 12pm and perhaps 10-20% more.

12pm

MH 76m  150-180m

JB 65m    130-150m

TMK 36m   70-85m

Total 191m  380-440m

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102m at 1pm. has a shot. midpoint was 2:30pm yesterday, Saturday mispoints are usually 1-2 hours earler

That will be FANTASTIC! By the way, I continue to be impressed by TMK's performance! It is making huge money with less than 20% of the screen times.

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