China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[jiangsen]

BoxOffice.com Weekend Actuals

 

 

Jurassic World is winding down its China run, but held strong with $9.41 million (-40%) from ~47,000 screenings on its fourth and final weekend. That brings the total for Universal's global blockbuster to $221.7 million and places Jurassic as the fourth highest grossing film of all-time in China behind Avengers: Age of Ultron ($235M), Transformers 4 ($319M), and Furious 7 ($390M). Despite the great hold, Jurassic's 30-day imported film license will expire on Thursday, preventing it from passing Ultron. Universal must be disappointed that the run will be cut short with gas still left in the tank and one can only imagine how much longer Hollywood studios will put up with this treatment. 

[JennaJ]

BoxOffice.com Weekend Actuals

 

 

Jurassic World is winding down its China run, but held strong with $9.41 million (-40%) from ~47,000 screenings on its fourth and final weekend. That brings the total for Universal's global blockbuster to $221.7 million and places Jurassic as the fourth highest grossing film of all-time in China behind Avengers: Age of Ultron ($235M), Transformers 4 ($319M), and Furious 7 ($390M). Despite the great hold, Jurassic's 30-day imported film license will expire on Thursday, preventing it from passing Ultron. Universal must be disappointed that the run will be cut short with gas still left in the tank and one can only imagine how much longer Hollywood studios will put up with this treatment. 

 

This sums it up perfectly. Thanks!

[jiangsen]

BoxOffice.com Weekly Preview

 

 

According to EntGroup's EFMT Index for this weekend's new releases, box office expectations are highest for Tiny Times 4.0 (小时代4：灵魂尽头), the final chapter in novelist/screenwriter/director Guo Jingming's Tiny Times series. Despite heavy criticism condemning the young protagonists as materialistic and vain, the Tiny Times series has proven very popular with the Post-90s female demographic, grossing a combined $211 million since summer 2013. Last summer's third installment alone grossed ($84.77 million) and we think this fourth and final film will bring out even more young fans (and the boyfriends they drag along).

 

Aimed at a similar demographic and receiving just as much buzz as Tiny Times is the youthful romance pic Forever Young (栀子花开2015) based on a hit song by He Jiong (何炅) from 2004. He Jiong, the congenial host of China's hippest variety show Happy Camp, also takes the reins as first time director, and producers are hoping his rabid fans will come out to support the film.

 

Weekend predictions: Tiny Times 4.0 - $35M, Forever Young - $18M, Monkey King: Hero is Back - $15M, Monk Comes Down The Mountain - $8M, I Am Somebody - $2.5M

Edited July 7, 2015 by jiangsen

[A Marvel Fanboy]

 

BoxOffice.com Weekend Actuals

 

 

Jurassic World is winding down its China run, but held strong with $9.41 million (-40%) from ~47,000 screenings on its fourth and final weekend. That brings the total for Universal's global blockbuster to $221.7 million and places Jurassic as the fourth highest grossing film of all-time in China behind Avengers: Age of Ultron ($235M), Transformers 4 ($319M), and Furious 7 ($390M). Despite the great hold, Jurassic's 30-day imported film license will expire on Thursday, preventing it from passing Ultron. Universal must be disappointed that the run will be cut short with gas still left in the tank and one can only imagine how much longer Hollywood studios will put up with this treatment. 

I can imagine, 2017   

 

Things that hopefully could happen when China and Hollywood sit down for the next round of negotiation supposedly in 2017:

 

• Annual quota expands to a higher number like 50 than the current 34. It seems impossible for the quota system to become fully invalid in the foreseeable future. Although, even if it does, SARFT can always easily come up with more tricks to limit the total number of imports screened, like strengthening the censorship. In fact, if there is not no limit to the number of the quota, Hollywood may find even less than 34 imports screened, as SARFT could always say to Hollywood, "look, we are open to release a broad cross-section of international pictures but many of the films you submit simply don't meet our standards of censorship.” So, if Hollywood is smart enough, they should put up with an exact number of quota like 50 or 100, instead of can we get rid of the quota system ?
•  
•  Hollywood's revenue-sharing taking raises to a higher number like 30% than the current 25%.
•  
• Name a third company as the authorized distributor of imported revenue-sharing films after CFGC and Hua Xia. Contenders include Wu Zhou 五洲 (Wanda) and Si Hai 四海 that's recently put up by SFG with four other state running theater chains. But some say this situation won't change.
•  
• Make the co-producing and co-operating items more favorable to foreign studios.
•  
• Lift the rule of one month run.

 

It seems impossible to name a second authorized importer after CFGC.

 

Btw, good opening for Monk but it's soon going to be destroyed by Tiny Times 4.

Edited July 7, 2015 by firedeep

[jiangsen]

#TinyTimes4 est $1M from midnight shows is 4th highest midnight total for a Chinese film behind Tiny Times 1, 3, and Gone With The Bullets
— China Box Office (@ChinaBoxOffice) July 8, 2015

#TinyTimes4 will open tmrw with ~66K showtimes on 48% of China's screens, a record for a Chinese film on opening day pic.twitter.com/egTV8WNHPE
— China Box Office (@ChinaBoxOffice) July 8, 2015

Edited July 8, 2015 by jiangsen

[POTUS 2020]

looks like a big OD for TT. 75m+

maybe 100m,

[Godzilla]

When is Terminator Genesys getting released? And can it do $100M+?

 

[Bishop54]

Updated total for Jurassic World? What will it finish with after tomorrow?

[keysersoze123]

I think JW will drop hard today as TT has taken away most of its showtimes. I would say 1415m yuan finish. Based on today's ER that is around $228m.

[Bishop54]

I think JW will drop hard today as TT has taken away most of its showtimes. I would say 1415m yuan finish. Based on today's ER that is around $228m.

Very respectable result.

[Olive]

Today is JW's last day, it had a very leggy run for big blockbusters, 14x its OD, while AOU made barely 7x.

[Bishop54]

Today is JW's last day, it had a very leggy run for big blockbusters, 14x its OD, while AOU made barely 7x.

So $228M Olive?

[Olive]

So $228M Olive?

Yeah

[Asyulus]

When is Terminator Genesys getting released? And can it do $100M+?

Probably.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

If we define an A-list Chinese movie star as the following:

 

• has had at least one 100m+ grossing film at the Chinese box office that sold on his/her name or saw him/her star in leading role in the last three years (since 2012)
•  
• has had at least three 100m+ grossing films at the Chinese box office in total to date
•  
• has been starring in movies for at least five years

 

Then we end up with the following list:

 

A-list Chinese Movie Stars
Actor	Age	Actress	Age
Wang Xueqi 王学圻	69	Carina Lau 刘嘉玲	50
Jackie Chan 成龙	61	Sammi Cheng 郑秀文	43
Chou Yun-fat 周润发	60	Li Bingbing 李冰冰	42
Chen Daoming 陈道明	60	Xu Jinglei 徐静蕾	41
Ge You 葛优	58	Zhou Xun 周迅	41
Tony Leung 梁家辉	57	Lin Chi-ling 林志玲	41
Andy Lau 刘德华	54	Zhao Wei 赵薇	39
Tony Leung Chiu Wai 梁朝伟	53	Shu Qi 舒淇	39
Jet Li 李连杰	52	Yao Chen 姚晨	36
Donnie Yen 甄子丹	52	Gao Yuanyuan 高圆圆	36
Jiang Wen 姜文	52	Tang Wei 汤唯	36
Zhang Hanyu 张涵予	51	Zhang Ziyi 章子怡	36
Ching Wan Lau 刘青云	51	Fan Bingbing 范冰冰	34
Aaron Kwok 郭富城	50	Bai Baihe 白百合	31
Nick Cheung 张家辉	48	Yang Mi 杨幂	29
Louis Koo 古天乐	45	Liu Yifei 刘亦菲	28
Sun Honglei 孙红雷	45	Ni Ni 倪妮	27
Xu Zheng 徐峥	43	Angelababy 杨颖	26
Huang Bo 黄渤	41
Jacky Wu 吴京	41
Daniel Wu 吴彦祖	41
Chen Kun 陈坤	39
Leehom Wang 王力宏	39
Huang Xiaoming 黄晓明	38
Liu Ye 刘烨	37
William Feng 冯绍峰	37
Deng Chao 邓超	36
Tong Dawei 佟大为	36
Nicholas Tse 谢霆锋	35
Shawn Yue 余文乐	34
Eddie Peng 彭于晏	33
Mark Zhao 赵又廷	31
Wen Zhang 文章	31
Wang Baoqiang 王宝强	31
Kenny Lin 林更新	27

 

These are all we have as A-list Chinese movie stars: 35 actors and 18 actresses.

 

However, this year nearly 60 Chinese homegrown films are expected to cross the magic 100m mark. And the number will soon surpass 100 within three years. Let's be conservative, say one major release boast two A-list stars on average, meaning China will soon need more than 200 A-list movie stars, also meaning an A-list movie star has to headline 3~4 movies each year ... in other words, A-list movie stars are in very short supply in China, especially considering the age of many A-list actors/actresses on the list.

 

This is causing:

 

Chinese movie star salaries skyrocketing (along with the market quickly expanding)

Rushed film productions and low-quality acting performance

 

Celebrity obsessed China desperately needs to produce dozens of new A-list movie stars in the next few years

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Meanwhile in Hollywood, one like Tom Cruise or Brad Pitt continuing producing movies at a rate of one title per year would be considered very hard working.

Edited July 9, 2015 by firedeep

[POTUS 2020]

Hollywood stars used to put out 3-4 films a year in the 30s and 40s. A lot of them were B movies, quickly shot and poorly produced, but the tickets were selling cause it was the only game in town. Then TV came along and the quality had to go up. Pitt or Cruise can spend months preparing for a role, 3 or more months to shoot and then post production. So yes 1 per year is about what it takes to get it done right. I enjoy a lot of foreign films but the voices, sound and lighting can often be off. I understand they have much smaller budgets but sometimes quickly rolling them out can cause poor quality and a bad reaction from audiences.

 

christian bale, amazing physical transformations for the fighter and then American hustle, had to take 6 months for those opposite physiques, then there is the accents to learn that were authentic and yet coming from a british actor. quality over quantity

 

Tiny times will break 100m today, maybe 110. May beat JW OD, will it hold up OW and beat JW OW or be front loaded?

 

JW will close very close to $228m, depending upon precise XR

 

Monk getting hit 40% from yesterday

[Polaroids]

If we define an A-list Chinese movie star as the following:

 

• has had at least one 100m+ grossing film at the Chinese box office that sold on his/her name or saw him/her star in leading role in the last three years (since 2012)
•  
• has had at least three 100m+ grossing films at the Chinese box office in total to date
•  
• has been starring in movies for at least five years

 

Then we end up with the following list:

 

A-list Chinese Movie Stars Actor Age Actress Age Wang Xueqi

王学圻 69 Carina Lau

刘嘉玲 50 Jackie Chan

成龙 61 Sammi Cheng

郑秀文 43 Chou Yun-fat

周润发 60 Li Bingbing

李冰冰 42 Chen Daoming

陈道明 60 Xu Jinglei

徐静蕾 41 Ge You

葛优 58 Zhou Xun

周迅 41 Tony Leung

梁家辉 57 Lin Chi-ling

林志玲 41 Andy Lau

刘德华 54 Zhao Wei

赵薇 39 Tony Leung Chiu Wai

梁朝伟 53 Shu Qi

舒淇 39 Jet Li

李连杰 52 Yao Chen

姚晨 36 Donnie Yen

甄子丹 52 Gao Yuanyuan

高圆圆 36 Jiang Wen

姜文 52 Tang Wei

汤唯 36 Zhang Hanyu

张涵予 51 Zhang Ziyi

章子怡 36 Ching Wan Lau

刘青云 51 Fan Bingbing

范冰冰 34 Aaron Kwok

郭富城 50 Bai Baihe

白百合 31 Nick Cheung

张家辉 48 Yang Mi

杨幂 29 Louis Koo

古天乐 45 Liu Yifei

刘亦菲 28 Sun Honglei

孙红雷 45 Ni Ni

倪妮 27 Xu Zheng

徐峥 43 Angelababy

杨颖 26 Huang Bo

黄渤 41 　 　 Jacky Wu

吴京 41 　 　 Daniel Wu

吴彦祖 41 　 　 Chen Kun

陈坤 39 　 　 Leehom Wang

王力宏 39 　 　 Huang Xiaoming

黄晓明 38 　 　 Liu Ye

刘烨 37 　 　 William Feng

冯绍峰 37 　 　 Deng Chao

邓超 36 　 　 Tong Dawei

佟大为 36 　 　 Nicholas Tse

谢霆锋 35 　 　 Shawn Yue

余文乐 34 　 　 Eddie Peng

彭于晏 33 　 　 Mark Zhao

赵又廷 31 　 　 Wen Zhang

文章 31 　 　 Wang Baoqiang

王宝强 31 　 　 Kenny Lin

林更新 27 　 　

 

These are all we have as A-list Chinese movie stars: 35 actors and 18 actresses.

 

However, this year nearly 60 Chinese homegrown films are expected to cross the magic 100m mark. And the number will soon surpass 100 within three years. Let's be conservative, say one major release boast two A-list stars on average, meaning China will soon need more than 200 A-list movie stars, also meaning an A-list movie star has to headline 3~4 movies each year ... in other words, A-list movie stars are in very short supply in China, especially considering the age of many A-list actors/actresses on the list.

 

This is causing:

 

Chinese movie star salaries skyrocketing (along with the market quickly expanding)

Rushed film productions and low-quality acting performance

 

Celebrity obsessed China desperately needs to produce dozens of new A-list movie stars in the next few years

I don't think this is much of a problem as I've noticed they've been introducing fresh, young faces in films now and giving them lead or prominent roles. A lot of young TV actors are also transitioning to become lead film actors like Li Yifeng (Forever Young), Tang Yan (The Three Body Problem), Yang Yang (The Left Ear) and several others. Not to mention China's current craze for fresh meats and idols becoming film actors too like Kris Wu (Somewhere Only We Know, Fading Wave, So Young 2, Guo Jingming's L.O.R.D.), Lu Han (20 Once Again, I Am A Witness, Great Wall). Unknowns like Lin Yun (Stephen Chow's Mermaid, L.O.R.D) are also being pushed right now. I don't think it's going to be a problem since China itself is ready for the young generation to take over in films.

[Fantaboy]

Thursday Estimates

1). Tiny Times 4  ￥101M/cume: 101M($16.2M)#include midnight showtimes

2). JMonk Comes Down The Mountain ￥16.5M/cume: 332M($53.4M)

3). Jurassic Park ￥7.8M/cume: 1420M($228.7M)

4). Hollywood Adventure￥3.5M/cume: 316M($50.9M)

5). SPL2 ￥2.8M/cume: 554M($89.2M)

...

7). Forever Young ￥1.7M/cume: 1.7M($274k)#Friday Midnight showtimes

...

10). Begin Again ￥0.6M/cume: 16.5M($2.6M)

[Asyulus]

So, JW run finished?