POTUS 2020 Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 48 minutes ago, Arlo245 said: Awesome! $10.5-11.25 million Friday! Looking at a $40 million second weekend minimum in my opinion! Could be close to $50m. Getting a nice showtime bump tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arlo245 Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 (edited) 4 hours ago, No Prisoners said: ZOO 350m through Thursday 450m looks like will happen today thru next thursday. If it can hold like MH, -38%, for a couple of weeks after that it should do another 600m. 1.4b total. If it can hold like TMK, -33%, then 1.6B possible. Man, if this does finish at $240 million, $1 billion WW is possible for Zootopia assuming it opens huge and has phenomenal legs in Japan. $285 million DOM + $240 million China + $130 million Japan + $345 million in other markets ($40 million France, $50 million UK, $30 million Germany, $20 million Mexico, $25 million Australia, $15 million Spain, $15 million Italy, $15 million South Korea, $10 million Venezuela, $30 million Russia, $20 million Brazil and $90 million in other markets)! Not likely by all means but possible! (Edit: I think that $900 million is likely and) <rem.> $800 million is <rem.> (locked) <rem.> Removed (<rem.>): I think, very likely, though Edited March 11, 2016 by Arlo245 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 13 hours ago, druv10 said: Wouldn't the negative effect OD? Which you're predicting as a minimum 35M. We don’t need worry about OD because many fans still would go cinema,and you know IM3 created the OD record and TA2 was just behind F7. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Holy shit, new trailer of CA3 generates great buzz on Weibo. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 28 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: We don’t need worry about OD because many fans still would go cinema,and you know IM3 created the OD record and TA2 was just behind F7. Ok, I'm expecting a great movie anyway so legs should stronger than AoU. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 28 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: We don’t need worry about OD because many fans still would go cinema,and you know IM3 created the OD record and TA2 was just behind F7. Ok, I'm expecting a great movie anyway so legs should stronger than AoU. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted March 11, 2016 Author Share Posted March 11, 2016 2 hours ago, Arlo245 said: Man, if this does finish at $240 million, $1 billion WW is possible for Zootopia assuming it opens huge and has phenomenal legs in Japan. $285 million DOM + $240 million China + $130 million Japan + $345 million in other markets ($40 million France, $50 million UK, $30 million Germany, $20 million Mexico, $25 million Australia, $15 million Spain, $15 million Italy, $15 million South Korea, $10 million Venezuela, $30 million Russia, $20 million Brazil and $90 million in other markets)! Not likely by all means but possible! I think $800 million is very likely though $800m ww is always locked, 1B ww is possible 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Zoo around 34.5M at 2pm. Should be able to double up and more. My projection for today 75-80M and Saturday presales are crazy high already. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arlo245 Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 12 minutes ago, firedeep said: $800m ww is always locked, 1B ww is possible Haha I know I meant to say $900 million is likely. After doing some calculations, I also realized that $800 million is so very locked Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 11 hours ago, Infernus said: Factored for the yearly market growth plus the fact that these are at the top of their genre, yes this would seem to be the correct, albeit conservative (and looking at the recent Hollywood movies, that is needed), range. Infact 150m would be somewhat of a pretty low predict keeping in mind that Ant-Man made around 110m last year. Yes DC is not that popular here but one has to keep in mind the level of its genre this film is at. This is an outlier. Its Batman vs Superman with Wonder Woman! Its superheroes like Ant Man that need built up brand recognition, not these! so yeah 150-180 would be a correct and conservative range and if it turns out to be good, passing the 200m mark is a possibility. Of course we just had KFP3 not being able to even come close to 200m when it should have made 350m going by this. But, as@MinaTakla often said, we should have kept in mind the fact that animations simply hadn't been able to compete with the other genres in the many years following KFP2 and there were of course many other factors contributing to that disaster (it would still have made atleast 250m in given a better market time), while superhero movies have been continuously proving themselves to be increasingly loved by the GA. I do not think Ant-Man is a good reference for BvS. The references should be TDKR and MOS. Being conscious that it had a horrible date, TDKR just did 350m Yuan. And in 2013, MOS did not reach 400m, when IM3 reached 750m the same year. Both CA2 and DOFP did about the same than IM3's number one year later. And for the sequels (CA3 and Apoaclypse) we are expecting maybe 1.3-1.5b. It seems that DC is a step behind Marvel in China and we should not have so high expectations. IMHO, SW7 numbers (800-900m range, maybe 1b) would already be a nice target. I think that anything over that would be an extra. Said this, I wish I am wrong and DC can break the gap with Marvel. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gokai Red Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 The Marvel/DC (and SW) gap will be bridged in China soon enough. DC just needs more brand exposure there, just as Marvel had to go through. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted March 11, 2016 Author Share Posted March 11, 2016 The hype for CW is so crazed ... I am going to make a bold prediction: Fri 270m (40m+230m), Sat 310m, Sun 250m; 2100m total, 2.5x OW. 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 There is a premiere for BvS in beijing tomorrow. Is anyone from beijing going for it? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted March 11, 2016 Author Share Posted March 11, 2016 20 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: There is a premiere for BvS in beijing tomorrow. Is anyone from beijing going for it? Not me. But I know some who will go to the screening. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 27 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: There is a premiere for BvS in beijing tomorrow. Is anyone from beijing going for it? I know someone who will,but he has told the whole movie would’t be shown tomorrow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Zoo may earn ￥70M+ Fri. and have a great chance to beat ￥150M Sat. … God of Egypt could gross ￥40M OD.I hope The Revenant would do better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 2 hours ago, firedeep said: The hype for CW is so crazed ... I am going to make a bold prediction: Fri 270m (40m+230m), Sat 310m, Sun 250m; 2100m total, 2.5x OW. Wow. That would mean 830m OW, more or less what I am expecting for BvS total Mermaid, Zootopia, maybe CW... China BO seems to be on fire again. By the way, what is the biggest 3-day OW ever? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 48 minutes ago, peludo said: Wow. That would mean 830m OW, more or less what I am expecting for BvS total Mermaid, Zootopia, maybe CW... China BO seems to be on fire again. By the way, what is the biggest 3-day OW ever? Calm down, Firedeep sometimes can be crazy.. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Friday-->Saturday showtimes Zootopia 25.2%---32.3% GOE 27.3%---26.2% IPM3 20.2%---18.6% 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 1 hour ago, Olive said: Friday--chin>Saturday showtimes Zootopia 25.2%---32.3% GOE 27.3%---26.2% IPM3 20.2%---18.6% Saturday presales are almost 30M, 2.5 times higher than Friday at the same time! We're in for a massive day. 1 hour ago, Olive said: Calm down, Firedeep sometimes can be crazy.. But he did say, it was a bold prediction. After the latest trailer, did your prediction change or are you still sticking with.1.4-1.5B? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
