China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Issac Newton]

2023 Spring Festival 2nd Day/Final Forecast

1. Full Red River - ¥384M / ¥3710M
2. Wandering Earth 2 - ¥383M / ¥3405M
3. Bonnie Bear: The Guardian Code - ¥126M / ¥1043M
4. Hidden Blade - ¥82M / ¥459M
5. Five Hundred Miles - ¥63M / ¥550M
6. Deep Sea - ¥62M / ¥603M

[Issac Newton]

On 1/21/2023 at 9:43 PM, Issac Newton said:

2023 Spring Festival OD/Final Forecast

1. Wandering Earth 2 - ¥451M / ¥3396M
2. Full Red River - ¥406M / ¥3234M
3. Hidden Blade - ¥161M / ¥542M
4. Five Hundred Miles - ¥132M / ¥804M
5. Boonie Bear: The Guardian Code - ¥118M / ¥952M
6. Deep Sea - ¥79M / ¥657M

%Change with Final Forecast

1. Wandering Earth 2 ~ +0.27%
2. Full Red River ~ +14.72%
3. Hidden Blade ~ -15.31%
4. Five Hundred Miles ~ -31.59%
5. Boonie Bear: The Guardian Code ~ +9.56%
6. Deep Sea ~ -8.22%

[Issac Newton]

Spring Festival OD

 

2023 - ¥1358M / 435K shows *estimate*

2022 - ¥1454M / 565K shows

2021 - ¥1693M / 500K shows

2020 - ¥0000M / 000K shows *CoVid-19*

2019 - ¥1458M / 520K shows

2018 - ¥1277M / 393K shows

[Issac Newton]

%Session Change 

1. Wandering Earth 2 ~ 26.8% → 27.4%
2. Full Red River ~ 25.7% → 28.0%
3. Hidden Blade ~ 12.7% → 11.5%
4. Five Hundred Miles ~ 17.1% → 10.6%
5. Boonie Bear: The Guardian Code ~ 8.6% → 12.8%
6. Deep Sea ~ 8.8% → 8.7%

[Issac Newton]

Douban Score

1. Wandering Earth 2 - 8.3
2. Full Red River - 8.0
3. Deep Sea - 7.6
4. Bonnie Bear: The Guardian Code - 7.0
5. Five Hundred Miles - 5.7
6. Hidden Blade - N/A

[todos]

33 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

2023 Spring Festival 2nd Day/Final Forecast

1. Full Red River - ¥384M / ¥3710M
2. Wandering Earth 2 - ¥383M / ¥3405M
3. Bonnie Bear: The Guardian Code - ¥126M / ¥1043M
4. Hidden Blade - ¥82M / ¥459M
5. Five Hundred Miles - ¥63M / ¥550M
6. Deep Sea - ¥62M / ¥603M

Hypothetically where could Avatar have ranked if foreign titles were all allowed into Spring Festival? 

[Issac Newton]

4 minutes ago, todos said:

Hypothetically where could Avatar have ranked if foreign titles were all allowed into Spring Festival? 

01/22 &01/23 - 7th. From 01/23-02/06 - 8th.

 

After WF release at Feb 7 at 9th...

[Issac Newton]

Monday Forecast for Avatar - ¥6.5M 

[Sophia Jane]

The Wandering Earth second will lost the daily champion…really shocked to the result…

Not a good hold,when I view Social media I see the comment of TWE are decent,but …never know how this happened

Edited January 23, 2023 by Sophia Jane

[titanic2187]

1 hour ago, Sophia Jane said:

The Wandering Earth second will lost the daily champion…really shocked to the result…

Not a good hold,when I view Social media I see the comment of TWE are decent,but …never know how this happened

People not really in mood for a lengthy serious drama-like movie. A comedy is exactly what a new year crowd need. 

[shruth]

tracking chinese new year is always the most fun box office time of the year. All real time data and mammoth grosses that are not possible in any other region including US. So fun

[Sophia Jane]

1 minute ago, shruth said:

tracking chinese new year is always the most fun box office time of the year. All real time data and mammoth grosses that are not possible in any other region including US. So fun

Vietnam have the real time data too

[Sophia Jane]

The Wandering Earth 2 need 3.5B to break-even,so,it’s really hard for this one to make profit，The wandering earth 3 maybe dead(maybe,not certainly)

Edited January 23, 2023 by Sophia Jane

[NCsoft]

TWE2 is really not trending that great from day 1 to day 2, will see if it stabilizes in later days.

Making an Epic Sci-fi saga with large budget but relying on mostly a single market is... Risky.

[Sophia Jane]

Terrible drop for the wandering earth today

Even DC3 doing better than TWE 2

Edited January 23, 2023 by Sophia Jane

[Sophia Jane]

The Wandering Earth 2(¥1200m budget)($175m)

Need ¥3600m to get break-even

Now TWE2 At max ¥3000m,if things goes worse ,then maybe even ¥2700m,that’s big failed compare with the budget

The Wandering Earth 3 maybe dead

 

Edited January 23, 2023 by Sophia Jane

[Issac Newton]

Every Time I think about Chinese Box Office..

 

I pray for two things -

 

Wolf Warrior 3

 

Detective Chinatown 4

[BadOlCatSylvester]

Could the underperformance of Wandering Earth 2 lead to Avatar 2 regaining at least some screens in China?

[Issac Newton]

3 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

Could the underperformance of Wandering Earth 2 lead to Avatar 2 regaining at least some screens in China?

Avatar won't gain any shows from WE2. It's gain will be coming from either Hidden Blade or 500 miles

[titanic2187]

13 minutes ago, Sophia Jane said:

The Wandering Earth 2(¥1200m budget)($175m)

Need ¥3600m to get break-even

Now TWE2 At max ¥3000m,if things goes worse ,then maybe even ¥2700m,that’s big failed compare with the budget

The Wandering Earth 3 maybe dead

 

Is this confirmed by the studio? Most of article I came across noting 500m RMB budget.