China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[fmpro]

Hate it. But still good. Hope it stays over 130 today

[POTUS 2020]

doomed!!

TF4							FF7						AOU
Day	Yuan	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Total	$ Tot		Yuan	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Total	$ Tot		Yuan	Daily % +/-	Total	$ Tot	Trails TF4	Trails FF7
Fri	195			195	32
Sat	223	14.4%		418	69		51	- MN
Sun	213	-4.6%		631	103		347			398	64
Mon	123	-42.1%		754	124		185	-46.7%		583	94
Tues	112	-8.9%		866	142		167	-9.7%		750	121		212		212	34	107.8	86.8
Wed	95	-15.7%		961	157		137	-18.0%		887	143		130	-38.7%	342	55	102.3	87.9
Thur	84	-11.0%		1045	171		115	-16.1%		1002	162
Fri	87	3.4%	-55.3%	1132	186		142	23.8%		1144	185
Sat	130	48.8%	-41.9%	1262	207		226	59.0%		1371	221
Sun	118	-9.0%	-44.6%	1379	226		185	-18.1%	-46.6%	1556	251
Mon	54	-58.33%	-56.1%	1433	235		73	-60.6%	-60.5%	1629	263
Tue	53	-1.85%	-52.8%	1486	244		65	-11.0%	-61.1%	1694	273
Wed	43	-18.87%	-54.5%	1529	251		52	-19.4%	-61.8%	1747	282
Thu	39	-9.30%	-53.7%	1568	257		45	-14.1%	-60.9%	1792	289
Fri	42	7.69%	-51.8%	1610	264		59	31.1%	-58.6%	1851	298
Sat	62	47.62%	-52.2%	1672	274		92	55.1%	-59.6%	1942	313
Sun	58	-6.45%	-50.8%	1730	284		69	-24.2%	-62.6%	2012	324

 
 
That actual and the 130 estimate not sounding good
TA2 has the disadvantage of 1 less weekend,
TF4 had summer weekdays and 50% holds
FF7 kept a large amount of showtimes for its second and 3rd weekends and had a holiday boost.
Its a lot to overcome to have a 300m run and try to at least beat TF4
I put a trail column in to monitor how much ground it can gain(or not) in the next 10 days which are the most crucial.

Edited May 13, 2015 by M F Lawrence

[sfran43]

$34.2m

 

So it's just off by $2M. But the big drop you mentioned is worrying for it's legs.

[Fake]

Bye Bye 300m.......

Tue 210

Wed 130

Thur 110

Fri 140

Sat 210

Sun 180

Might even miss 1B by Sunday. Probably will finish with 1.6B (250-260m)

[Silentknifezz]

Bye Bye 300m.......

Tue 210

Wed 130

Thur 110

Fri 140

Sat 210

Sun 180

Might even miss 1B by Sunday. Probably will finish with 1.6B (250-260m)

that is the projection everyone talk about,you guys put your hope too high and just make it like a let down  

[keysersoze123]

It looked like that. Real time BO is just over 75m and I assume that includes presales for rest of the day. I think its behaving like IM3 rather than Furious 7. its too early to compute where it will end but I am liking Furious 7 winning WW battle at this point.

[Olive]

On douban.com, 7.4/10 average rating (-0.3)

On gewara.com, 8.0/10 (-0.1)

 

I wonder will it performer like TASM2, which dropped 37% on 2nd day but rebounded nicely on weekend.It got 10x multiplier from OD.

[sfran43]

Thanks M F Lawrence. Your trail column is very helpful in monitoring/comparing AOU's potential gross. 

[POTUS 2020]

that is the projection everyone talk about,you guys put your hope too high and just make it like a let down  

Johnny and I were saying mid 200m from the beginning, no let down around these parts, unless it really drops tomorrow and no weekend recovery

[Fake]

Current real-time update is 80m. It was at 110m at this point yesterday (excluding midnights). It finished with ~180m for the day yesterday. Going with the same ratio, it should finish with ~130m for today.

[keysersoze123]

On douban.com, 7.4/10 average rating (-0.3)

On gewara.com, 8.0/10 (-0.1)

 

I wonder will it performer like TASM2, which dropped 37% on 2nd day but rebounded nicely on weekend.It got 10x multiplier from OD.

 

10x for such is big opener would be crazy. what are the ratings for TASM2 at doubon?

[Ball Lightning]

Should have more walk ups though today than yesterday as there would be less presales after opening day?

[keysersoze123]

Current real-time update is 80m. It was at 110m at this point yesterday (excluding midnights). It finished with ~180m for the day yesterday. Going with the same ratio, it should finish with ~130m for today.

 

Are you looking at CBOO or other site. Olive said CBOO is more accurate. Othersite update at 330PM yesterday was 148m yuan(post below).

 

http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/678-china-box-office-avengers-aou-34m-od/?p=2020263

[Olive]

It looked like that. Real time BO is just over 75m and I assume that includes presales for rest of the day. I think its behaving like IM3 rather than Furious 7. its too early to compute where it will end but I am liking Furious 7 winning WW battle at this point.

Yes, and currently it's tracking behind FF7 first Wednsday(138M)

[Olive]

10x for such is big opener would be crazy. what are the ratings for TASM2 at doubon?

7.3

[Mojoguy]

Doesn't China love robots in their Hollywood movies? I thought AoU would be bigger.

[fmpro]

On douban.com, 7.4/10 average rating (-0.3)

On gewara.com, 8.0/10 (-0.1)

 

I wonder will it performer like TASM2, which dropped 37% on 2nd day but rebounded nicely on weekend.It got 10x multiplier from OD.

That would be 340 mill total?

[Olive]

That would be 340 mill total?

It's definitely  more frontloaded than TASM2, if it doesn't totally collapse next week, 1.5-1.7B yuan is where it's heading.

[fmpro]

It's definitely  more frontloaded than TASM2, if it doesn't totally collapse next week, 1.5-1.7B yuan is where it's heading.

250-300 mill is still a mindblowing number

Problem WW is that FF7 numbers has fucked with our minds and perception of whats a great number

FF7 is a abnormality like Avatar,TA1 and TDK and should be treatet as such..

Avatar sequels will face the same problems

[abra]

I'm tired of hearing about F7.. If it weren't for Walkers death, this movie wouldn't have done any better than the other 6 movies.. That power of Death, that eulogy... The makers of that franchise will milk the shit out of his death to for the next movie..

 

in my opinion, too much is entitled to myself the death of Paul the results Movie