spizzer Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 (edited) BD2 on pace for just under 290M Edited November 19, 2012 by spizzer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 BD2 on pace for just under 290MNot imo. I don't see why it would get the same multiplier as BD1. I think it will get closer to and possibly exceed NM's 2.08. I think it is currently on pace for 292 mill with a good chance at 300. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLK Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 My guess is that they over-estimated its previews/midnights. This makes sense if you look at its Saturday and Sunday numbers. Monday drop is going to tell the story and anything over 10.5 million means it has a shot at 300 million. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 10.8-11 mill would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Predictions for Monday:BD2: 10.7MSkyfall: 4.0M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 (edited) Last Monday was an observed holiday which helped Skyfall. So BD2 will have a huge drop compared to Skyfall last week. Edited November 19, 2012 by iTz ReaLLy ED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RthDeadWov Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Top 12 theatres engagement (gets published in Variety)wkend 16-18/111-Regal E-walk 13, New York City NY 285,087 (BD2)2-Cobb Dolphin 24, Miami FL 234,222 (BD2)3-CMK Tinseltown 20, El Paso TX 228,593 (BD2)4-Regal LA Live Stadium 14, Los Angeles CA 222,804 (BD2)5-LMT Megaplex Theatres , South Jordan UT 221,447 (BD2)6-CMK Alburquerque Rio 24 , Alburquerque NM 214,068 (BD2)7-AMC Orange 30, Orange CA 213,402 (BD2)8-AMC Garden State 16, Paramus NJ 212,456 (BD2)9-Pacific Arclight Sherman Oaks CA 207,493 (BD2)10-KER Showplace Icon, Chicago IL 207,114 (BD2)11-CMK Egyptian 24, Hanover MD 205,105 (BD2)12-AMC Gulf Pointe 30 Houston TX 203,113 (BD2)#1-2 Skyfall Scotiabank Toronto, Toronto ON 185k , AMC Empire 25 NYC 172k 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Top 12 theatres engagement (gets published in Variety)wkend 16-18/111-Regal E-walk 13, New York City NY 285,087 (BD2)2-Cobb Dolphin 24, Miami FL 234,222 (BD2)3-CMK Tinseltown 20, El Paso TX 228,593 (BD2)4-Regal LA Live Stadium 14, Los Angeles CA 222,804 (BD2)5-LMT Megaplex Theatres , South Jordan UT 221,447 (BD2)6-CMK Alburquerque Rio 24 , Alburquerque NM 214,068 (BD2)7-AMC Orange 30, Orange CA 213,402 (BD2)8-AMC Garden State 16, Paramus NJ 212,456 (BD2)9-Pacific Arclight Sherman Oaks CA 207,493 (BD2)10-KER Showplace Icon, Chicago IL 207,114 (BD2)11-CMK Egyptian 24, Hanover MD 205,105 (BD2)12-AMC Gulf Pointe 30 Houston TX 203,113 (BD2)#1-2 Skyfall Scotiabank Toronto, Toronto ON 185k , AMC Empire 25 NYC 172kEmpire 25 didn't make the Top 10 because it didn't play BD2... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 I think BD2 and Skyfall are going to end up with very similar totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 I think BD2 and Skyfall are going to end up with very similar totals.I really believe that BD2 will get to 300 and it looks like Bond will get to at least 270....pretty incredible that a 23rd film is still kicking this much butt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 Yes.... BD2 should win but Skyfall came a lot closer than any of us thought.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
achooo Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 Which means that 300m is out as I highly doubt it will have CR legs. I think breaking up the Spider-Man party at the top of Sony's all time list would be a hell of an accomplishment. Right now, here is Sony's top 5: 1. Spider-Man 403.7m 2. Spider-Man 2 373.6m 3. Spider-Man 3 336.5m 4. The Amazing Spider-Man 262m 5. Men in Black 250.7m Top five is pretty much locked. It just needs to get past 262 to break up the Spidey party at the top. And another way to look at it is take this weekend as CR's OW since the amounts are basically the same(40.8m vs 41.1m) and it just happens to be the weekend before Thanksgiving. Add what CR made from its first weekend on and SF makes just over 287m. Top 10 Sony Spider-Man 3 $890.9 Spider-Man $821.7 Spider-Man 2 $783.8 2012 $769.7 The Da Vinci Code $758.2 The Amazing Spider-Man $752.2 Skyfall $668.8 Hancock $624.4 MIB 3 $624.0 Casino Royale $599.0 With Skyfall pretty much a lock for $1b, it'll be sitting pretty right at the top of this list Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 Top 10 SonySpider-Man 3 $890.9Spider-Man $821.7Spider-Man 2 $783.82012 $769.7The Da Vinci Code $758.2The Amazing Spider-Man $752.2Skyfall $668.8Hancock $624.4MIB 3 $624.0Casino Royale $599.0With Skyfall pretty much a lock for $1b, it'll be sitting pretty right at the top of this listWelcome to the forums. Skyfall is not a lock for a billion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 Welcome to the forums. Skyfall is not a lock for a billion.Not a lock.... but I'd say 75% probable.....Still better than your 'not a chance' from a week ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
achooo Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 Thanks for the welcomeSkyfall $1bIt pretty much is. 700 foreigh, 260 ish Domestic and then China.Don't forget opens Aus/Nz this week, then Japan weekend after and no way China won't add $40m 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Gary Scott Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 So bd2 will win domestic and skyfall WW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 I'm with Spizzer on this one: I don't think BD2 reaches 300. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RthDeadWov Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 quick note mondayBD2 9.5-10.5m, Sky 3.5-4.5m, Lin 2-2.5m, WIR 1.7-8m,Flt 900k, Argo 500k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 (edited) quick note mondayBD2 9.5-10.5m, Sky 3.5-4.5m, Lin 2-2.5m, WIR 1.7-8m,Flt 900k, Argo 500kThat would be quite a significant fall for BD2 compared to NM and BD1 (66.6% vs 62.3% and 62.7% respectively) if it only gets 9.5m. Even the 10.5m would be a bigger drop. Edited November 20, 2012 by lab276 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 I think BD2 and Skyfall are going to end up with very similar totals.It will be close. but BD2 should be the winner in the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
