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Internet went down for a couple of days hence the lack of updates.

I don't post BOM numbers because of their inaccuracy sometimes but this week looks mostly correct...

May 2 Weekend Actuals
1 1 Iron Man 3 Disney $2,619,201 -44.4% 160 -2 $16,370 $9,980,028 2
2 N Trance Fox $205,783 - 64 - $3,215 $290,715 1
3 N The Big Wedding n/a $149,498 - 54 - $2,768 $149,498 1
4 N Platinum Data Panasia $65,289 - 22 - $2,968 $71,867 1
5 6 Finding Mr. Right EDKO $26,686 -35.8% 12 -5 $2,224 $1,293,014 6
6 2 Evangelion Shin Gekijôban: Kyu (Evangelion 3.0) n/a $18,141 -86.1% 9 -4 $2,016 $181,629 2
7 3 Du zhan (Drug War) Lark $16,136 -80.4% 8 -31 $2,017 $629,568 3
8 N No (Chile - 2012) Golden Scene $15,749 - 5 - $3,150 $15,749 1
9 4 The Detective 3 Gala $15,608 -79.7% 11 -23 $1,419 $1,244,676 4
10 7 Tokyo Family Golden Scene $11,132 -46.6% 4 -2 $2,783 $81,963 3

11 5 Oblivion EDKO $8,844 -79.9% 8 -17 $1,106 $1,974,882 4
12 9 The Croods Fox $6,963 -39.4% 4 -1 $1,741 $2,684,426 6
13 8 I Give It a Year Intercontinental $6,387 -62.4% 5 -4 $1,277 $232,082 4
14 11 Ni guang fei xiang (Touch of the Light) EDKO $4,852 -32.7% 3 -2 $1,617 $173,100 5
15 N Bokura Ga Ita: Part 2 (We Were Here: Part 2) EDKO $4,835 - 2 - $2,418 $48,353 1
16 16 English Vinglish n/a $2,895 -4.7% 3 - $965 $211,906 8
17 18 Go Grandriders n/a $2,025 -16.0% 3 +2 $675 $147,979 14
18 12 The Host (2013) Intercontinental $1,655 -75.3% 1 -3 $1,655 $187,854 3
19 13 Bokura ga ita (We Were Here Part 1) EDKO $1,585 -74.7% 2 - $793 $11,867 2
20 14 Jagten (The Hunt) EDKO $1,268 -64.4% 1 -1 $1,268 $45,445 4

Full list: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/hongk ... =18&p=.htm

Iron Man 3 2nd weekend is a little bit overestimated. Exact 2nd weekend is 2.54m.

Iron Man 3 Achievements

OD - #3 (behind Spider-Man 3, Pirates 3)
Non-holiday OD - #1 ($851,192)
OW Admissions - #3 (behind Harry Potter 7-2, Transformers 3)
OW - #1 ($4,709,819)
Single Day - #1 ($1,491,612)
Sunday ($1,491,612)
Non-holiday 2nd weekend
2nd weekend - #2 (behind Avatar)
Fastest to 10m (in 12 days)
___________________________________________________
What's coming up this week?

Star Trek 2 previews roll out on Friday night into the weekend. Iron Man 3 will three-peat.

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100M hkd locked?

 

 

April 2 Actuals1. Iron Man 3 - $375,032 ($2.91m HK)/$7,811,240 ($60.61m HK)2. Trance - $32,219/$114,700 (opening day actual)3. The Big Wedding - $21,909 (opening day actual)4. Platinum Data - $9,408/$18,042 (opening day actual)5. Finding Mr. Right - $3,737/$1,266,861 (opening day actual)6. Drug War - $3,479/$617,3217. Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo - $3,350/$166,251Other totalsConspirators - $1,234,642Tokyo Family - $72,171Huge 2nd Thursday for Iron Man 3. 100m HK is locked. It'll beat The Avengers for 3rd. 2nd will be harder since Titanic grossed over 15m back in 1997.Trance had a surprising Wednesday. Thursday was very good as well.Disappointing for The Big Wedding. Iron Man 3 ate into its gross.

 

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Posting this before internet craps out.

  Thursday adm. (so far)   May 9
Rank Title LW TW % chg
1 Iron Man 3 15,309 6,579 -57.0%
2 The Call -- 515 --
3 Snitch -- 508 --
4 Promised Land -- 488 --
5 Trance 1,244 396 -68.2%
6 The Last Exorcism 2 -- 391 --
7 The Big Wedding 1,009 329 -67.4%
8 Dark Skies -- 198 --
9 Platinum Data 532 111 -79.1%
10 Barbara -- 110 --

  Thursday adm.     May 9
Rank Title LW TW % chg
1 Iron Man 3 35,951 13,388 -62.8%
2 The Call -- 2,158 --
3 Snitch -- 1,529 --
4 The Last Exorcism 2 -- 1,525 --
5 Trance 5,050 1,354 -73.2%
6 The Big Wedding 3,190 884 -72.3%
7 Promised Land -- 833 --
8 Dark Skies -- 537 --
9 Platinum Data 1,352 356 -73.7%
10 The Incredible Truth -- 169 --

Iron Man 3 Thursday actual - $176,521/$10,846,406.

Iron Man 3 will pass The Avengers and HK 100m next week.

  Friday adm. (so far)     May 10
Rank Title LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg
1 Iron Man 3 23,884 8,566 -64.1% +30.2%
2 Star Trek Into Darkness -- 1,305 -- --
3 The Call -- 553 -- +7.4%
4 Snitch -- 516 -- +1.6%
5 The Last Exorcism 2 -- 433 -- +10.7%
6 Promised Land -- 393 -- -19.5%
7 The Big Wedding 1,517 358 -76.4% +8.8%
8 Trance 1,992 328 -83.5% -17.2%
9 Dark Skies -- 204 -- +3.0%
10 Searching for Sugar Man 103 195 +89.3% --

  Friday adm.       May 10
Rank Title LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg
1 Iron Man 3 45,709 16,414 -64.1% +22.6%
2 Star Trek Into Darkness -- 3,435 -- --
3 The Call -- 2,903 -- +34.5%
4 Snitch -- 1,528 -- -0.1%
5 The Last Exorcism 2 -- 1,295 -- -15.1%
6 Trance 6,908 1,258 -81.8% -7.1%
7 The Big Wedding 4,462 1,043 -76.6% +18.0%
8 Promised Land -- 860 -- +3.2%
9 Dark Skies -- 502 -- -6.5%
10 Platinum Data 1,473 430 -70.8% +20.8%

  Saturday adm. (so far)     May 11
Rank Title LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg
1 Iron Man 3 45,103 14,593 -67.6% +70.4%
2 Star Trek Into Darkness -- 2,057 -- +57.6%
3 The Call -- 901 -- +62.9%
4 Snitch -- 476 -- -7.8%
5 Trance 2,452 458 -81.3% +39.6%
6 The Big Wedding 2,155 449 -79.2% +25.4%
7 The Last Exorcism 2 -- 417 -- -3.7%
8 Promised Land -- 413 -- +5.1%
9 The Hammer -- 326 -- --
10 Platinum Data 1,423 248 -82.6% --

 

I think comparisons with JC/Battleship in Asian markets will tell us better where it is headed.....

So how does ST2 compare against those two?

Will open higher than both and should finish higher than both even with Fast 6 out the week after.

 

 

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Bluebomb, how high can IM3 reach? Is 14M possible?

 

I don't think it will get there. It is starting to drop quite a bit this weekend. Next weekend, it will decrease more...14m doesn't sound reachable. It will get to 13m though.

 

May 9 Actuals

1. Iron Man 3 - $176,521/$10,846,406

2. The Call - $20,615

3. The Last Exorcism 2 - $16,750

4. Snitch - $14,173

5. Trance - $12,884/$376,235

6. The Big Wedding - $10,307/$215,175

7. Promised Land - $6,700

8. Dark Skies - $4,509

9. Platinum Data - $2,963/$96,635

  Saturday adm.       May 11
Rank Title LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg
1 Iron Man 3 82,918 28,102 -66.1% +71.2%
2 Star Trek Into Darkness -- 6,760 -- +96.8%
3 The Call -- 4,708 -- +62.2%
4 Snitch -- 1,911 -- +25.1%
5 The Last Exorcism 2 -- 1,804 -- +39.3%
6 Trance 9,500 1,564 -83.5% +24.3%
7 The Big Wedding 6,493 1,298 -80.0% +24.4%
8 Promised Land -- 1,126 -- +30.9%
9 Platinum Data 2,752 702 -74.5% +63.3%
10 Dark Skies -- 700 -- +39.4%

Iron Man 3's is falling heavier with Star Trek 2 out. Star Trek 2 is looking really good ahead of next week's drop date. Good increase for The Call but none of the openers did well. The Call is scoring great with audiences, however, with 100% approval. Conversely, The Last Exorcism holds just a 4% rating but has only half of The Call's screens. Snitch is doing pretty awful. It will be The Rock's lowest opener in 8 years. Even though Trance is doing a tailspin this weekend, it had a very good opening weekend so its performance isn't too shabby.

  Sunday adm. (so far)     May 12
Rank Title LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg
1 Iron Man 3 46,219 13,990 -69.7% -4.1%
2 Star Trek Into Darkness -- 2,019 -- -1.8%
3 The Call -- 1,049 -- +16.4%
4 Snitch -- 572 -- +20.2%
5 The Big Wedding 2,512 493 -80.4% +9.8%
6 Promised Land -- 418 -- +1.2%
7 The Last Exorcism 2 -- 333 -- -20.1%
8 Trance 2,539 306 -87.9% -33.2%
9 Pee Mak Phra Khanong -- 278 -- --
10 Platinum Data 1,212 215 -82.3% -13.3%
Edited by Bluebomb
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  Sunday adm.       May 12
Rank Title LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg
1 Iron Man 3 77,207 25,405 -67.1% -9.6%
2 Star Trek Into Darkness -- 5,934 -- -12.2%
3 The Call -- 4,158 -- -11.7%
4 Snitch -- 1,692 -- -11.5%
5 The Big Wedding 6,096 1,378 -77.4% +6.2%
6 The Last Exorcism 2 -- 1,261 -- -30.1%
7 Trance 7,720 963 -87.5% -38.4%
8 Promised Land -- 845 -- -25.0%
9 Pee Mak Phra Khanong -- 636 -- --
10 Platinum Data 2,415 600 -75.2% -14.5%

  Weekend adm.     May 9-12
Rank Title LW TW % chg
1 Iron Man 3 241,785 83,309 -65.5%
2 Star Trek Into Darkness -- 16,129 --
3 The Call -- 13,927 --
4 Snitch -- 6,660 --
5 The Last Exorcism 2 -- 5,885 --
6 Trance 29,178 5,139 -82.4%
7 The Big Wedding 20,241 4,603 -77.3%
8 Promised Land -- 3,664 --
9 Dark Skies -- 2,317 --
10 Platinum Data 7,992 2,088 -73.9%

  Weekend Estimates     May 9
Rank Movie TW % chg Total
1 Iron Man 3 $1,090,000 -58.4% $11,760,000
2 Star Trek Into Darkness $175,000 -- $175,000
3 The Call $130,000 -- $130,000
4 The Last Exorcism 2 $63,000 -- $63,000
5 Snitch $62,000 -- $62,000
Iron Man 3 saw a bigger drop with Star Trek 2 unloading Friday. If it makes that estimate, it will still be ahead of The Avengers' 3rd weekend by $20,000. Yes, The Avengers will start gaining ground week-to-week next weekend but it does not matter since Iron Man 3 will pass it next weekend. Iron Man 3 has had one hell of a run. 13m will happen. Star Trek 2 had very strong sneaks. This is a good sign for next weekend when it opens. WOM is at a ROBUST 83% (Veep, anyone?). Next Friday is also a holiday so if WOM continues in a similar fashion, Star Trek 2 could do some damage. The Call was the biggest opener but it had more screens than the rest of the newbies. This is nothing home to write about. The Last Exorcism 2 looks to barely nudge by Snitch despite losing the admissions battle. WOM for The Last Exorcism 2 is deplorable. It sits at only 3.85%, one of the worst approval ratings for a major movie this year. Last Exorcism 2 had its best day on Saturday and its worst day on Sunday. Its Thursday-Saturday bump was only 18% but its Sunday decrease from Saturday was a whopping 30%. Ponder on that. Meanwhile, Snitch fared worse than TLE2 because it was playing in more screens. Overall, Snitch will be The Rock's lowest opener in 8 years.
_________________________________________
Next week's predictions

1. Star Trek 2 - 1.5m
2. The Great Gatsby - $650,000
3. Iron Man 3 - $450,000 (-59%)

Star Trek 2 looks poised to break out with the holiday providing perfect cover. Who said anything about it not doing well in Asia?

 

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