keysersoze123

I think overall this opening is solid. it exceeded my expectations(130M). It should make 260M based on the sunday number. if the monday to thursday drop is better it might make even more.

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How about 50K deduction :-)On a serious note, its your game. Dont make it too democratic. Get a committee(may be Shawn/Admin/Mods/few key folks) and make the decision.

This means it will crash this weekend with IA4 opening. We could see sub 2x multiplier for ASM.

how about numbers in admissions?

That is a hefty drop(almost 40%). I know it will have good holds but I am skeptical about 50M. What is its total at this point.

I disagree with underperforming tag. It looks like beating SM3 OS with china. Obviously europe numbers aren't great. But with dollar being so strong plus bad economic conditions on top of this being a reboot(which is a factor in developed markets), its not a bad number at all.Neither is IA4 underperforming. Anything above 600M OS is good and it will get there for sure.

what did Mad3 make in raw numbers. That might be a better comparison that % increase.

That I feel is too much. Why will IA4 be that big. KFP2 had local flavor. This has nothing. Plus last one had 3D as well.

what did IA3 make in china. I dont see any number in BOM. I dont think it will be in KFP2 ball park. What is good for IA4 in china.So it will definitely make 650M but I see it finishing below IA3 even with china.

IA4 has following markets. Some big markets like Russia, UK, South Korea and Italy. it grossed around 150M in those markets. I think it will increase in Russia but will probably decrease in UK/Italy(SK might not make much). Rest around 20M. Assume it breaks out one of the big markets and makes 200M in new markets, it still needs to hit 500M from holdovers. Possible but not easy. I think unless it breaks out crazy in some market it will drop slightly from IA3. I am thinking 650M OS.Iceland 11 July 2012 Azerbaijan 12 July 2012 Belarus 12 July 2012 Hong Kong 12 July 2012 Kazakhstan 12 July 2012 Puerto Rico 12 July 2012 Russia 12 July 2012 Singapore 12 July 2012 Thailand 12 July 2012 Ukraine 12 July 2012 Bulgaria 13 July 2012 Taiwan 13 July 2012 UK 13 July 2012 Armenia 16 July 2012 Cambodia 19 July 2012 Vietnam 20 July 2012 South Korea 26 July 2012 Italy 28 September 2012 Switzerland 28 September 2012 (Italian speaking region)

Generally OS numbers are underestimated big time. Plus there is a while to go for sunday to be over in many markets. Looking at IMDB outside china following markets are left. Not too many big markets. I dont see more than 500M outside china. Norway 11 July 2012 Cambodia 12 July 2012 Croatia 12 July 2012 Czech Republic 12 July 2012 Greece 12 July 2012 Hungary 12 July 2012 Serbia 12 July 2012 Slovenia 12 July 2012 Bulgaria 13 July 2012 Estonia 13 July 2012 Latvia 13 July 2012 Lithuania 13 July 2012 Romania 13 July 2012 South Africa 13 July 2012

LOL this is funny.

Any comparisons to SM3/Avengers/IA4 etc.

All his films are great and have a lot of heart. Difficult to compare them as they are so diverse. Lupin III was the 1st one I saw and it was really entertaining and top notch. My Neighbour Totoro,Porco Rosso, Princess Moononoke, Spirited Away and Howls moving castle also deserve special mention.

22M total after a 5M weekend. Can it even make 50M. I know movies are leggy plus summer weekdays would kick in but it has competition? SM3 was also not so leggy after a huge start.

Thank you Baumer. That is good enough for me. I know for sure this is not like Saun Salisbury days back in BOM.

hmm. Is it a policy to ban immediately even for one infraction. How about Mod just deleting the post and give him a warning. Repeated infractions should lead to ban. Anyway its upto Shawn/Admin/Mods.

You are a MOD and should tell us how to do that.

Thank you Shawn. This is much better.

what happened. I thought he was entertaining unlike BKB. What did he do so bad to be banned.

YEP. Dont like it. PLEASE ROLLBACK.

No offense but notfabio actually works at a big megaplex in LA area. So he is in perfect position to judge the audience for a movie and relate it to similar films. So its not about plain assumptions but reflection based on actual data.

That basically means ASM will have not as good an OW or legs as TF1. That is not surprising. Calling out that a movie is playing out weaker with a critical community is not being racist. This is not about grosses in LA countries but about Latinos in stateside. They are a major factor especially in Los Angeles and suburbs(I believe notfabio's usual megaplex is in that area).

Notfabio made an interesting comment comparing ASM to TF1. tfrm had an especially larger than usual latino audience that may be weaker with spid4 {nm}