SM3 released around the time dollar was very weak. So I doubt the adjusted number will be that high. Only currency that is lot stronger is Japan. I think TDKR can beat SM3 adjusted to 2012 exchange rates with a STRONG CHINA RUN.
Not good comparison considering TDK itself was a sequel and increased a lot. Plus there is data. NRG did say 25% of BO was impacted. Plus based on RTH data it did better in certain regions than TDK(Like NYC) while doing significantly worse in other markets.We can never say for sure but unfortunate truth it Aurora nuked the domestic BO.
Japan is actually lot worse when you look at exchange rate. i think Yen appreciated like 35%. But that market is shrinking for hollywood films and so its not limited to ASM.
Isn't Jack missing the important point. After its 4th weekend its gross were similar but it made just 28M weekend. TDKR is making 67M. Olympics this time has been depressing markets. I am sure Boxoffice will pick up big time after next weekend. European markets are very leggy and in some markets post summer BO is better than summer. For some reason they dont want to go to multiplex if the weather is warm.
I think it will do well. if Japan likes Spidey no reason they wont like Avengers. Plus TF3 did great in 3D and so I think this can do better than ASM.But Corpse will have the correct perspective.
That will be an average run considering summer weekdays, obon week etc. Plus the ratings are all great. Is that the average prediction or best case scenario.
I think there is almost 5 months to go. My feeling is dollar will get weaker by Christmas. It cannot sustain at this level.big question is can hobbit get all the LOTR audience. Then 1B is possible considering how big LOTR movies were everywhere. Even 1.2b os is possible.
Close but no cigar. :POn a serious note does it matter. it will anyway open in china late next month. I think TDKR release date is more important that where it ends up without China.