Fantastic start for Neighbors. Should definitely clear $150 million with ease, even with the upcoming competition. I'm expecting it to fall somewhere in the $190-205 million range.
ASM2 took a hard hit, and it's actuals will probably be even lower. I can't see this doing more than $215 million at the most now. It will probably make it to $200 million, but will probably finish with less than, say, Batman Begins.
Cap should make it past The Lego Movie sometime in the next couple of weeks to claim the highest grossing film of 2014.