Incredibly unlikely. Not impossible, but not probable.
Still, can you imagine how apeshit this place would go if CF and Frozen both managed to get to $30 million today?
Catching Fire should make around $26-28 million today and Frozen should do around $24-26 million if both films follow the usual trends. That would put both films well over $60 million with off chances at $70 million. Very nice.
The Wednesday before thanksgiving is typically the first day a lot of people get off work/ out of class for the holiday. While it's normally not the biggest day of the week (that will probably go to Black Friday) it is a great indicator of how films will play. There is normally a drop on Thursday (around 25-35% for most films) followed by huge spikes on Friday.
It is very possible as long as this $22 million Wednesday isn't a crazy fluke and it drops 50% tomorrow for some fucked up reason.
Honestly, I'm just really happy Frozen looks to be crushing everyone's expectations. Looks to be coexisting very nicely with CF and will most definitely play greatly over December.
If Catching Fire ends up holding better this weekend than THG did for its second weekend that would be really something.
And if Frozen comes anywhere near $60 million for the 3-day that would just be fantastic.
God, remember how much of a beast The Dark Knight was? I remember people all over the internet in absolute awe with that 9% Sunday drop after doing major work over Friday and Saturday.
The way I see it as long as this does $300- 350 million here, overseas will take care of another $400 million and it will actually top THG's worldwide gross. No loss plus it didn't hold bad for the sequel to a film that has most of it's success to thank from ungodly uncommon hype.