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Everything posted by MattW
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
MattW replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeah, after that Monday I think 85-95. BOPro's 100m prediction looks a bit too bullish tho -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
MattW replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Interesting. I've wondered for a while how precise preview numbers actually are. Do you have access to see more accurately for past movies or just the current numbers? What were IW and EG's true Thurs/Fri split? -
Before this year it was just a commercial for popcorn and coke after the trailers. Earlier this year it became one commercial in the middle of the trailers, and the last few movies I've been to there were 3 or 4 commercials with 4 or 5 trailers. This is at the local chain and Cinemark theaters I go to.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
MattW replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
38-39 seems like where it's at to me. -
So disney ends the year with 3.75-3.80b dom and 7.20-7.25b os $11billies worldwide for a single studio. August 2015 Universal surpassed the record single year gross that Fox set the previous year of $5.5 billion. https://variety.com/2015/film/news/universal-box-office-jurassic-world-record-1201557246/ Four Five years later it has doubled.
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Wednesday higher than Monday I'll guess, schools starting to get out for the holidays. 4m Wed, 3m Thurs?
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
MattW replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Here's a rough guess at what level star wars will be at through the holidays. -
Dec 19 vs Dec 12. I think lining them up by the exact day would be better. Friday $66,498 $42,205,262 Saturday $92,698 $50,041,031 Sunday $84,194 $38,017,065 Monday $47,725 $12,771,012 Tuesday $51,724 $20,791,974 Wednesday $15,161,249 $24,080,546 Thursday $11,037,812 $14,960,468 Friday $26,840,236 $34,130,914 Saturday $25,343,182 $32,363,967 Sunday $15,207,908 $19,482,892 Monday $2,504,648 $3,187,895 Tuesday $2,500,537 $5,336,770 Wednesday $1,831,849 $2,824,699 Thursday $1,867,176 $2,730,406 Friday $6,723,820 $7,816,954 Saturday $15,063,237 $16,050,532 Sunday $9,829,173 $11,298,128 Monday $2,051,152 $1,890,910 Tuesday $2,463,619 $3,585,256 Wednesday $1,720,122 $2,034,899 Thursday $1,715,514 $1,760,000 Friday $5,097,211 Saturday $10,144,815 Sunday $7,326,112 Not that I think F2 will have as big of a holiday, but F2 is ahead every day except Monday the 9th despite opening earlier. This weekend will probably be lower, but it's still doing impressively well.
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Since this used to be the franchise wars thread here's a little franchise of a different sort: - Inside Job (2010) - Too Big to Fail (2011) - Margin Call (2011) - The Big Short (2015) Too Big to Fail is an HBO movie and clearly on slightly lower level as far as the overall feel and flow of it, but I still enjoy it. Margin Call and The Big Short are some of my favorites.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
MattW replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
12/13/2019 Jumanji: The Next Level $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $50,000,000 -29% $225,000,000 – $275,000,000 Sony / Columbia I don't see why this will have legs that are so much better than the hobbit movies. Hobbit 2 opened on Dec 13 and didn't have a massive opener the following week and got a 3.5x multi. I full expect Jumanji to be in the 3-4 range, 60/240 is a best case scenario, 50/175 seems much more likely. As a number of other people have said opening the week after TLJ in 2017, esp given the latter's disappointments, is what gave it the edge. This one opening before TRoS is all downside.