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MattW

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Everything posted by MattW

  1. He's part of the main plot, central to keeping to story moving. But I don't know how likely that makes a Chinese release. I enjoyed it very much. If snatch gets a 99/100 (one of my top 10 all time) then I'd give gentlemen about a 90. Very solid, plenty of fun.
  2. Loved it. Out of the thirty two 2019 releases I watched this was my favorite. Interestingly enough my favorite 2018 release was also a WW1 movie.
  3. I don't track regularly so I don't know (i just leech off of everyone else's work here, sorry 😶), more about how poorly Rhythm section is doing, less than a third of a PG13 horror movie which I'd think is one of the most walkup friendly categories.
  4. The local chain has 16 locations in my state, a total of 18 tickets across all theaters for all shows tonight. Hansel Gretel has 60 for comparison.
  5. Huh, the cinemark by me has times listed too: 5pm start time, 3h15m between XD shows so if these are the actual times it's gotta be less than 2h30 long.
  6. Do Chinese people complain that Wandering Earth made over 95% of its total revenue in China? It's almost as if the United states has a different history and unique cultural baggage compared to other countries, and the hollywood blockbusters that make more than 50% overseas are the exceptions, while the ones that make half or less OS are really doing just fine.
  7. 20-21 would have been my guess so 22 is very solid if it ends up there. 14-15 Sunday, 10-11 Monday, 68+ looks good with a shot at low 70s.
  8. I'd say the over/under is closer to 150 than 250.
  9. 2nd weekend drop for American sniper was almost as amazing as ow, 89.3 to 64.6, less than a 30% drop despite opening on a holiday weekend.
  10. 1 Avengers: Endgame $2,797,800,564 2 The Lion King $1,656,313,097 3 Frozen II $1,369,253,192 4 Spider-Man: Far From Home $1,131,927,996 5 Captain Marvel $1,129,729,839 6 Toy Story 4 $1,073,394,813 7 Joker $1,066,549,908 8 Aladdin $1,050,959,216 9 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker $989,677,724 10 Fast & Furious Hobbs & Shaw $760,477,120 11 Jumanji: The Next Level $671,685,553 12 How to Train Your Dragon 3 $521,799,505 13 Maleficent: Mistress of Evil $490,350,650 14 It: Chapter Two $470,288,232 15 The Secret Life of Pets 2 $434,461,580 16 Pokémon: Detective Pikachu $429,685,022 17 Alita: Battle Angel $402,971,268 18 Godzilla: King of the Monsters $383,299,915 19 Once Upon a Time $369,782,459 20 Shazam! $363,664,533 21 Dumbo $353,166,307 22 John Wick: Chapter 3 $325,785,782 Taking out Chinese releases there are 22 that went over 300m, with Knives Out possibly making it. 1b+ 600-1000 300-600 2019 9 2 11 2018 5 6 18 2017 4 11 15 2016 4 8 16 2015 5 5 14 2014 1 12 15 2013 2 8 14 2012 4 7 16 2019 was a very light year for mid-range block busters.
  11. 515+560 is what I come up with. Rogue one is going down.
  12. 480+515 through this weekend, there's a chance it hits a billion but I'd bet against it.
  13. A generous guess for RoS is 453+475 through this weekend, Week 4: 480+510 Week 5: 495+525 Week 6: 505+535 Week 7: 510+540 Total: 520+545 Probably hits a billion the weekend of Jan 19.
  14. It's been a while since I read the book, but my memory is telling me that it's not a very open question.
  15. IGN put out some predictions: https://www.ign.com/articles/2019/12/30/2020-movies-box-office-predictions Projected Domestic Top 20 for 2020: Wonder Woman - $493.6 million Dune - $472.6 million Fast & Furious 9 - $357.8 million No Time to Die - $338.5 million Black Widow $314.8 million Raya and the Last Dragon $296.4 million The Eternals - $286.9 million Mulan - $287.4 million Tenet - $274.3 million Uncharted - $273.8 million Soul - $273.5 million Top Gun: Maverick - $263.9 million Halloween Kills - $230.7 million Ghostbusters: Afterlife - $223.6 million Jungle Cruise - $216.8 million Free Guy - $204.6 million Venom 2 - $203.6 million Morbius - $198.7 million A Quiet Place 2 - $193.2 million Godzilla Vs. Kong - $127.4 million But then later in the piece they also have these which are not in the top 20 list: Birds of Prey - $68.7 million debut, $248.9 million domestic Onward - $38.9 million debut, $158.4 million domestic Scoob! - $36.2 million debut, $145.8 million domestic Bill & Ted Face the Music - $32.6 million debut, $174.2 million domestic The King’s Man - $28.7 million debut, $134.8 million domestic Some of these seem very reasonable. Others not so much.
  16. I'm curious if the lack of big Blockbusters will allow the mid range to fill out, more movies in the 40-120 domestic range. I think 2014 was like that, but I'm not at a computer to check right now.
  17. With the caveat that I'm wrong about pretty much everything.... To me Matrix 4 feels like a 150-250dom movie.
  18. I was thinking yesterday Ep9 worldwide under Ep7 domestic was too much of a reach for a club, but with the way the curve is bending down it might look plausible in a few days.
  19. With a drop today I could see a bit of a bump tomorrow, maybe 28? But it might stay flat like most assume. 525 seems like a reasonable target at this point.
  20. Same weekend as TFA, so theoretically they could each do $62m that weekend (x4=248😏). Probably more like 15-30 each.
  21. The grudge over 20m ow, 50pts to two people
  22. Yeah 5-6 would be plenty good. Wolf of Wall Street did 9m opening day and through Sunday the 5th had made 63m and 116 total dom. Same ratios with a 6m OD is 42 and 75m. And I suspect little women is less OD loaded.
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