dxmatrixdt
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Everything posted by dxmatrixdt
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I predict slightly less than John Wick's numbers. 14 opening weekend / 42 domestic total -
This is going to be a great test for R-rated comedy sequels and if good reviews can pull it to respectable numbers.
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Weekend Prediction thread 9/27-9/29 Play the Derby
dxmatrixdt replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
atm, (bold may see significant changes) Happy Death - 20 Blade Runner - 14 Foreigner - 14 It - 6 Mountain - 5.5 American - 5 Kingsman - 5 Pony - 4.75 Ninjago - 4 Victoria - 4 Marshall - 4 Marston - 3 Sexes - 2 Flatliners - 1.33 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
dxmatrixdt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Good # for Foreigner. I expect 20M OW. -
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I recommend the director's cut of Mimic. You can order it for 3 bucks on vudu. It is top 25 worthy. It only adds about 6 minutes more and that six minutes goes towards minor character development, but it makes the movie feel more serious. Also, I am having the hardest time finding Spawn (director's cut) for rent. Everywhere wants me to buy the whole thing. Ahh!! and Princess Mononoke is nowhere to rent.
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WHat about something like Spice World where it is released international first. Or most recently, Underworld: Blood Wars released mostly around the world before January.
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the first direct to video horror movie I ever rented on VHS
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
dxmatrixdt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
good. that is the way it should be. -
Should make another 2M WW and Japan is still left!!!!
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Blade Runner (1982)
dxmatrixdt replied to Dementeleus's topic in Review That Movie! (Spoilers Allowed)
what is with the sound affect when he is in his apartment with the brunette? It sounds like Cloud City when they are near the carbonate machines... did anyone else catch this? I felt like I have heard the same sound in another film too.... -
Blade Runner Domestic Total Adj. Gross: $83,397,000
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I wonder if the weekend analysis articles are going to put a spin on it. Harrison Ford's biggest OW for a non Star Wars or Indiana Jones film since Cowboys and Aliens. (on the high end of Harrison Ford's range but below Air Force One) Ryan Gosling's highest OW by far. Dennis Villenueve largest OW
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I just cannot believe that Blade Runner was more preview frontloaded than Alien Covenant by a whole integer factor
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I see it dropping 40% at worst tomorrow Thursday - 4M Friday - 8.7M Saturday - 11.26M Sunday - 6.756M = 30.72 million weekend, $7,569 PTA. I predict 13.358 second weekend (-56.5%) at worst.
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http://deadline.com/2017/10/blade-runner-2049-ryan-gosling-box-office-bomb-1202184297/ There were rumors on Saturday morning from rivals that Alcon Entertainment/Sony’s Blade Runner 2049 via Warner Bros. was going to drop below $30M for the weekend. Business hasn’t gotten that bad yet, and Saturday night’s ticket sales now point toward a $31.3M opening at 4,058 theaters. Estimates for the film have dropped from $45M on midday Friday, to $36M last night to where we are now. As expected, Blade Runner 2049 is frontloaded with Saturday seeing an estimated $11.26M, -11% decline from Friday’s $12.6M (which includes $4M Thursday previews). 11.26 Saturday = +29.4% jump from real Friday # 20th Century Fox/Chernin’s The Mountain Between Us is now looking at a second place slot with $10.1M after a $4.1M Saturday, +17% from Friday. +31.2% from real Friday # New Line/Warner Bros.’ ever-powerful It is looking at $9.59M per industry estimates in third, -43% for a running cume of $304.8M by EOD Sunday. Saturday made $4.35M, +62% over Friday. And Lionsgate/Hasbro’s My Little Pony isn’t anything to be rearing about. Rival distributors were nodding over its potential double-digit results, especially for a little girl movie. But the pic is proven to be more niche than anything else with a $8.8M three-day, well below mid-teen tracking estimates and news of its solid advance ticket sales. Saturday’s business looks to be coming in at $3.49M, +18% over Friday. Ouch. +30% over real Friday
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the pull of Harrison Ford and Ryan Gosling + excellent reviews
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Then I think this does 30M - 33M weekend.
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Here is an endurance tester:
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what is the source for that Saturday number, anyway?
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jeeeze. I would have had it lower in the derby but I ended up putting it at 45M because that was minimum that forecasters were expecting. Whatever. It will be a success in the long run just for being made well on a critical and technical level.
