I’m still thinking it’s a three-way race between Get Out, Lady Bird and Three Billboards. Three Billboards probably takes the SAG, if it ends up losing that’s a big shot to its chances.
Doubt any of them win the DGA, but a Gerwig or Peele upset isn’t impossible. If that upset does happen though, then Get Out or Lady Bird is the definite winner.
WGA will only say if Lady Bird or Get Out is in a better situation for the win since Three Billboards wasn’t eligible.
PGA Winner id say is the frontrunner, especially if BAFTA winner matches up.
Globes is really just a glorified critics circle so I don’t put tons of stock in it as none of HFPA can vote for the Oscars. It just helps drive a narrative.