Ent

What are the projections for the absolute final numbers for both movies ?

Thanks to Juni, Sonic and Leyla for your replies ! So China and Russia are currently underwhelming and will end up to an absolute total of $60M maximum ($35 M for China and $25M Russia), is it right ?

What does it look like ? $25 -$30 M total ?

After TDK, TDKR may lose (after actuals) the only record left for a Nolan's Batman

Fans overeacte too much too quickly. It didn't even drop that much. I mean it had more chances to drop anyway considering past trends and the rule of thumb of sequels following movies that open with a $350+ M opening weekend. Spider Man2 opened with $88 M following Spider man with $114M...that's a 23% drop ! It just had even more terrific legs than its predecessor to minimize the bleeding and ended up reducing that percentage to a less than 8% drop ultimately ! If CF had to open at 77% from its predecssor, it will open at ....$117M ! So everything is fine. It's more a case of THG overgrossing helped by ideal circumstances with no real competition for two months. Things are now balancing itself a little bit.

Thor is a super hero movie. Since 2012 they all do relatively well. From TA to TDKR to TASM to IM3 to MOS...even The Wolverine reached $40 millions. Add to that, it is a by product from TA somewhat related to IM3 too.

I am bumping what i have said in August.

How far can it go ? $40 M ?

How bad is it ? Can it recover ?

Either Gone with the Wind or Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs

Part of it is frontloadness like many sequels of popular movies experience. Now, it's all about how legs will be to determine if it was more about frontloadness or a real rise in the audience and popularity.

It sure had a positive effect on BOTH grosses since CF probably benefitted from that holliday as well to gross more than it would have without it.. Both grosses were probably inflated and they'll drop bigger next weekend.

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice 3m LAST VEGAS: $0.673M Monday / $47.21M Domestic Total / 3,237 Locations / $208 Location Avg. #LastVegas

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice 1m THE BEST MAN HOLIDAY: $2.43M Monday / $32.54M Domestic Total / 2,024 Locations / $1,200 Location Avg. #BestManHoliday

Oh, ok !

The Hobbit1 made $43M, so The Hobbit2 is likely to repeat or pass that number.

Exhibitor Relations ‏@ERCboxoffice 1m The #1 flick for the 2nd week in a row is THOR: THE DARK WORLD, however, estimates were off nearly $2M: $36,586,016

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice 3m THE BEST MAN HOLIDAY: $30.11M Weekend Actual / $30.11M Domestic Total / 2,024 Locations / $14,875 Location Avg. #BestManHoliday

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice 9m LAST VEGAS: $8.44M Weekend Actual / $46.53M Domestic Total / 3,237 Locations / $2,607 Location Avg. #LastVegas

Where do you see it finishing ?

FF6 was really frontloaded !

There is a good chance but it will still be a juggernaut and end up above $500M domestic.

lol. It will. Ant Man will be released 15 weeks after TA2. TA1 stayed 22 weeks and was still airing when TASM and then TDKR were released. Again, that's the right time for Disney to expand it during Ant Man release and bump this movie results at least during its OW.

Ant Man will have the rare advantage to be released while TA2 is still in theaters though. Disney could very well play the double features and re-expansion of TA2 with Ant Man's own release. This can give an unusal bump to it if the link to TA2 aftermath is well established and advertised while TA2 is still in theaters.

We will see. With Thanksgiving, TDW may end up above it after this coming weekend. So again we will see as different times of the year gives different opportunities to generate cash. That's why i prefer to see how it fares compared to Skyfall released during the same period of time and draw projections.