Ent

OK still a $120m will suggest a 60% retention rate from IM3, hence $480-$490M, all things taken into perspective.

It opened in Brasil, Mexico and Russia yesterday.

If memories serves me well IM3 finished around $198M after those 5 days, which included China's take. So a $120/125 M during those 5 days opening without China is very good

But it will face CF less than a week later in that market and in China.

More likely, yes as tommorow already will be bigger than the average friday.

Probably because of the date. Tomorrow is an off day where most shops are closed so people are shopping today for the extended weekend or stay longer in the office. People will also organize a getaway for a long weekend and won't have time to go to the movies today. At least, this could be one of many explanations.

How does it translate in terms of potential final BO in the UK, Heretic ?

It includes Paris outskirts, also named as Ile de France.

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice 4m JACKASS PRESENTS: BAD GRANDPA: $2.80M Monday / $34.86M Domestic Total / 3,336 Locations / $841 Location Avg. #BadGrandpa

Great for Gravity. I think it will end up somewhere around $280M domestically.

Not to get into a who is wrong and who is right, but many different outlets, both in french and english reported those $260+m budget numbers. BOM has the overall towering at $310M. I found this on Wiki (now that it is the bible) which could explain your numbers : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superman_Returns

Box Office Mojo has it at $270 M. I rememberred how back then it was already pointed out how huge the production budget is. I beleive WB's main problem is first and foremost their budget. Same could be said for Green Lantern or even for MOS even if this last one made a profit. Those couple of years they had CBM ambitious projects with a $200+ M budget...the only one was BB with a $150M, hence why it was still a box office hit with its overall $370+M BO worldwide. They should contain their budget and go back to those types of figures for a first movie while increasing it the $200M for sequels of successful movies.

Domestic: $132,141,347 32.6% + Foreign: $273,500,000 67.4% = Worldwide: $405,641,347

Domestic: $364,239,000 40.2% + Foreign: $542,000,000 59.8% = Worldwide: $906,239,000

IM3 made 805 M overseas. CA has to retain 56% of IM3 audience to pull of $450M overseas.

$800 M for IM3 (90% TA retention rate), $600+ M for Thor2 (66% TA retention rate) and $400+ M for CAWS, meaning half of IM3, meaning 45% retention rate from TA.

I definitely think it has a shot at it, basicly over $550 M (that's FF6 level without 3D) but less than IM3 overall.

A day after Gravity isn't really good though. They will share the 3D and IMAX experience. If Gravity breaks out, it will hurt it even more.

LOL. CF isn't more youth friendly that any comic book movie that are by essence four quadrant movies attracting very Young children to teen to mature and old people. CF doesn't come out before 3 to 4 weeks later overseas apart from the UK and Brasil (two weeks later) and doesn't have a broader mass appeal than Thor The Dark World has with families, Young and old. As for The Hobbit2, it doesn't come before 6 weeks later ! How can it even hurt a movie out 6 weeks before it that will finish its run by then ? Fact is, TDW has virtually no serious competition abroad for a month and is the one with the best configuration when it comes to it. It has even China for it alone while CF will share it with Gravity. Plus CF is the one that has the least universal appeal, meaning it won't be big in all markets like the other two. It will be big in LA, in certain markets in Europe a little less in Asia while both the Hobbit and TDW are bound to have a more uneven appeal in most markets. Lastly being caught between the two makes CF more vulnerable and bound to be hurt by The Hobbit2 coming two weeks later. And finally, Marvel's movies don't even need that amount of time to reach gangbusters numbers. Usually two to three weeks in are enough to make the bulk of their final overseas gross..

With the date approaching, i have a feeling this movie will reach $600+ M abroad , which represents a 66% TA retention rate as opposed to the 90% made by IM3.

ITA. And 'Les Intouchables' weren't slam bam style either, yet it literally bombed in the US and did great overseas.

I agree those countries like many in Europe, especially Greece have been hitten hard. Nonetheless not all movies are struck. FF6, for example rose from FF5, which was like 2 years old only. I wouldn't also blame 3D in Japan, considering that WWZ, out more or less during the same period of time did 2 times more and will finish around $19.5 M. As for Italy, i wouldn't blame the crisis for MOS's results considering that with the exception of Green Lantern and maybe another comic book movie released during the last 10 years, out of a dozen ones, none did less than MOS.... not Hulk, not even Fantastic Four 1&2..., all three in 2D......I mean FF is horrendous !

Superman Returns made $11.3 M in Japan, 7 years ago. Japan, Italy, Spain and Portugal are the four markets where 2D Superman Returns made more than 3D MOS. 7 years of Inflation, if taken into account, just increases that discrepancy even more.

You know, this is why it is a clear disappointment to me regardless of the successful overall ww gross. After all WWZ didn't benefit from the biggest OS market input. Discount China from MOS for better comparison and WWZ did better overseas than MOS. This is not a good sign for a superhero movie featuring iconic Superman that benefitted from a stellar campaign plastered with the director's name of the two biggest solo superhero movies before IM3 took the title. You can't use the competition criterion abroad to explain this failure. MOS just didn't appeal to a lot of OS markets that were attracted to TDKR just a year ago, to the point of prefering a movie like WWZ instead. I firmly beleived that introducing Batman in the sequel is a way to win back as soon as possible those markets that did unexpectedly poorly compared to TDKR which didn't even have the 3D incentive, had to share its chinese run with TASM and yet did nearly $300 millions more abroad. Clearly, if MOS had performed universally good not even great, but good in all of the big OS markets, it should have reach $470 M instead of $370 M. Too many markets just underperformed and too many markets had steep drops after the very first weekend, which confirm that disappointment factor in a lot of viewers. It was on pace to bigger gross in a lot of markets and went down quick in many of them, showing poor legs in a majority of them.

How far can it go ?