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BadAtGender

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Everything posted by BadAtGender

  1. Well, if you're going to use language like "never" I'd expect you to mean "no film has ever done this" not "no film since 1993 has done this." I'm not psychic, so I don't know if you mean something besides the words on the page. So, yeah, I'm seriously going to look at your language choice as given and apply that to what you're saying. You said "never" and that's incorrect. As it stands, it looks like the legs for the film will turn out to be in the same range as Toy Story 3's. With a same OW/Final ratio, it'll end up in the 930-940m range. Which is kinda fitting, since it's also a well loved property that came back after a long, quiet period.
  2. I'm pretty sure every OW record holders up to Jurassic Park had a better multiplier than that. JP was past a 7.5. Since then, yeah, it's been a lower ratio.
  3. Does the Arclight have the Christie 6p as their projector choice, too? It's really sweet looking, although I'm no sure whether it or IMAX's laser setup is better, since IMAX always tends to be in 3D nowadays and the Cinerama (not a dome up here) leans towards 2D.
  4. I haven't broken it out in a while, but I decided to look at TFA through my KISS weekly box office projector. Short explanation, it just looks at the last full week (so, running through last Thursday) and applies a constant percentage drop from there on out for four months. Then you can figure out what percentage drops it needs for a given benchmark. Under this, after the 118.4m week it had, it would need a sustained 34% drop each week to hit 1b. At 35% it comes up about $10m short. $950m happens with 39% drops. $925m with 43% drops. And $900m needs 47% drops. However, we already know the weekend and the Monday number, so we're probably looking at a new full week (ending this Thursday) in the $54-55m range, a drop of about 54%. Plugging that in instead and the thresholds raise dramatically. Now it needs 23% drops to hit $1b, 30% drops to hit $950m. 35% drops for $925m. And 42% drops for $900m. It's a deliberately stupid projection system. It makes no account for calendar issues like holidays. While this week's drop is going to be big, next week's should be quite solid, because Monday will be much bigger than yesterday's $3m, and Sunday could also see a bit of a bump.
  5. Oh, I'm up against @Water Bottle this week. And @Telemachos next week.
  6. Not commonly: http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/whats-the-average-age-difference-in-a-couple/
  7. Sisters (having great legs) Revenant (Huge opening, GG wins, and Oscar Noms coming up) Alvin 4 (slim, but there's an outside shot) Bridge of Spies (really depends on the Oscars) Joy (highly unlikely, since the Awards chances are shot, but if it turned into some sort of dark horse choice?) The Big Short (if it turns out to be the big winner, yeah, it'll have a great late run) Spotlight (the story for it has fallen, and even with an Oscar run, it's probably too far. Still, slim outside shot) Brooklyn (same deal as Spotlight) Because so many of them are probably continent not just on Oscar noms but also big wins, not all of them can do it together. TBS, Spotlight, Brooklyn, BOS, and Joy all probably need a BP win to get there. Revenant probably only needs Best Actor, but could get there even without that. For the other films: Sisters seems like it can hold on. Alvin needs a really good hold this coming weekend. Unlikely, but possible, if Norm of the North really underwhelms and doesn't take the family audience.
  8. Well, all of them have pretty straightforward storylines. That tends to be pretty much a given for films that become uber blockbusters. But I'm curious about you singling out its chick flick nature. From your phrasing, you seem to indicate that because it appealed to women, it's somehow worse of a film. And that's, well, a bit sexist, but also not logically sound.
  9. *checks results* Writing's on the Wall beat See You Again? Fuck this noise. *checks out again*
  10. Titanic>Avatar>TFA>Avengers>JW But why stop at the top 5? If we add in the rest of the top ten: Star Wars>TDK>Titanic>TDRK>Avatar>TFA>Avengers>AOU>TPM>JW Top 15? TLK>ET>Star Wars>TDK>Titanic>POTC:DMC>TDKR>Avatar>CF>TFA>Avengers>AOU>TPM>Shrek 2>JW Top 20? TLK>ET>Star Wars>TDK>Titanic>SM1>POTC:DMC>TDKR>Avatar>JP>IM3>CF>THG>TS3>TFA>Avengers>AOU>TPM>Shrek 2>JW Top 25? Frozen>TLK>ET>Star Wars>TDK>Titanic>SM1>FN>POTC:DMC>TDKR>Avatar>JP>IM3>CF>THG>TS3>DH2>TFA>Avengers>AOU>TPM>ROTS>Shrek 2>JW=ROTF And so on and so forth. The point is, JW is a terribad movie. (Also it looks like the first film on the all time domestic chart that I haven't seen is Passion of the Christ.)
  11. Did... I forget entirely about the Star Wars SOTM? I think I remember reading it, but... oops.
  12. I seem to remember the Uzi tumbling down the stairs was an homage to a similar scene in something else.
  13. I feel like the good fortune I had over the past few weeks is going to come to an end.
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