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Quigley

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Everything posted by Quigley

  1. Aren't Saturdays and Sundays much higher overseas compared to Friday? I thought a $20M should probably result in a ~$100M weekend OS
  2. To some extent that has to do with the troubled production, since the film was essentially designed from scratch a second time. But yeah, it's a total waste of money.
  3. Indeed... It annoys me so much when they mention market share and omit the percentage drop from a week ago, that I wanna strangle someone. And fine, WB and all other studios are full of propaganda and all that bullsh*t but shouldn't the reporters (i.e. Deadline) be a bit more sensible and give us meaningful numbers like % drops? Is that responsible reporting?
  4. I doubt its failure has anything to do with the release date. The counter-examples are numerous and I won't proceed to list them here (I'll mention one: Frozen). I really do think it's something intrinsic to the film itself. First of all, although the animation is beauitful regarding all the nature scenes, all the living creatures are generally unappealing. All the dinosaurs' design is very simplistic, so are the other animals and the humans. There is also little talking going, which is not enough to make it unappealing (after all Wall-E had very little talking for at least an hour), but when you add that to the fact that nothing interesting or unique really happens in the film, it just adds up to very little. The poor marketing is a reflection of the poor stroytelling, since the film was quite uneventful throughout (and full of cliche "dangers" and moments of "surprise"). I wish I had something better to say but there really is nothing that makes this film stand out.
  5. The film made $478.3M as of Wednesday, so it should cross $500M by Sunday. Including the NA gross, it should be at $775M+ by Sunday WW, becoming the top-grossing film of the year (temporarily of course, but still an amazing feat). http://www.screendaily.com/box-office/batman-v-superman-hits-530m-worldwide/5102160.article?blocktitle=INTERNATIONAL-BOX-OFFICE-NEWS&contentID=40079
  6. If it performs like IM3's 2nd wknd: $56M Like Cap 2: $53M Like FF7: $48M I'm betting towards the lower end. Complete disaster. Might even make less than HP7:P2 ($47.4M)
  7. If UK, China, and Russia are any indication, BvS is crumbling to the ground this weekend and $1B is far out of reach.
  8. New films released this weekend: Suntan [GR] Urok [Bulgarian-language Bulgarian-Greek] 10 Cloverfield Lane Eddie the Eagle Francofonia [French-language French-German-Dutch] El Abrazo de la Serpiente [Colombian] El Golpe Blanco/Der Weiße Putsch [German]
  9. Do we have any Wed estimates for Zootopia?
  10. I don't think I've read such a roaring rant against a film in the recent past. The worst: it's all true.
  11. Wow, Zootopia made on Monday the average daily gross of the weekend (incl. previews)
  12. Disney and Universal had an unprecedented victory in 2015. http://deadline.com/2016/03/universal-pictures-disney-most-profitable-movies-2015-star-wars-minions-jurassic-world-data-1201727739/
  13. Taking into account the following: No significant competition in the coming weeks If it returns to drops of less than 50% by its third weekend (since the 2nd is almost guaranteed to drop much more than 50%) If it makes more than 150,000 admissions in its first 7 days The WOM was mediocre in US but if this doesn't transmit to Greece It could still inch past 300,000 admissions. I agree though that it will be an uphill battle.
  14. Weekend 24-27/03/2016 Ranking Title Weekend admissions % Change from last weekend Total admissions Week 1 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 122,428 N/A 122,428 1 2 Kung Fu Panda 3 32,308 -8.6% 91,037 2 3 Zootopia 17,788 -0.5% 105,861 4 4 London Has Fallen 7,802 -46.6% 109,058 4 5 The Divergent Series: Allegiant 3,549 -59.1% 41,695 3 6 Chocolat [French] 3,291 N/A 3,291 1 7 The Finest Hours 2,924 -44.3% 11,606 2 8 Spotlight 2,601 -50.4% 69,783 5 9 A Perfect Day [Spanish] 1,734 N/A 1,734 1 10 Eva no duerme [Spanish-language Argentinian] 1,679 N/A 1,679 1 Sources: http://cine.gr/article.asp?topic=Box%20Office&id=16472 http://flix.gr/news/box-office-24032016.html http://freecinema.gr/greek-box-office-the-winner-takes-the-money/ http://www.grandmagazine.gr/ngine/article/3000/batman-v-superman-i-epikh-maxi-pou-sarose-kai-to-egxorio-box-office It was exactly three months ago (24-27/12/2015) that 'Star Wars: The Force Awakens' exploded on the scene with 137,000 admissions. Just as unexpectedly (then again, maybe not so much), 'Batman v Superman' owned this frame with a stellar opening from a probably record-breaking 208 screens (!). The most I've seen before is around 160. It should be able to reach 300,000 admissions although the mediocre word-of-mouth and the negative reviews could hold it back significantly. Don't forget that it was also a holiday weekend, so the drop will be quite big next weekend. The opening day mustered up 34,735 admissions, a number that was not matched by any of the following three days, which indicates at least some frontloadedness. Overall, it was the second biggest superhero opening ever, which is nevertheless an impressive result. It reaffirms that Batman is Greece's second most popular superhero after Spider-Man. It will be interesting to see if the inclusion of Spider-Man in 'Captain America: Civil War' will improve its performance at all. It would be wise if they included him in the marketing - at least in Greece - although the reboot has been a complete disappointment. These are the superhero openings above 60,000 admissions: Superhero openings and totals Rank Title Opening weekend Total 1 Spider-Man 3 159,000 366,987 2 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 122,428 - 3 Spider-Man 2 100,000* 385,700 4 The Dark Knight 100,000 339,520 5 Avengers: Age of Ultron 94,250 224,334 6 Deadpool 77,774 217,088** 7 The Avengers 75,755 242,565 8 The Dark Knight Rises 74,530 346,585 9 Iron Man 3 66,278 206,006 10 Iron Man 61,400 146,800 11 Iron Man 2 61,080 150,000 *This is my estimate for the 4-day weekend (Thu-to-Sun). The 5-day opening (Wed-to-Sun) was officially 127,500 admissions and the 3-day weekend (Fri-to-Sun) was around 82,000 admissions. **Still in theaters. Other notes: 'X-Men Origins: Wolverine' may have also earned more than 60,000 admissions. The Athens number is 43,193 admissions. There are no numbers for 'Spider-Man' (2002), but I can only assume it opened significantly higher than 60,000 admissions, given the performance of its sequels. 'Kung Fu Panda 3' and 'Zootopia' also expectedly retained their audiences and it looks like a close race between them for the biggest final tally. 'London Has Fallen', in the meantime, has consistently out-grossed 'Zootopia' during weekdays and by a significant enough margin to compensate for the better performance of 'Zootopia' on weekends. The gap is closing though and this trend should continue. As expected, all non-animated films dropped hard. 'Allegiant' will most likely fail to surpass the total admissions of 'Insurgent' (61,171), while Best Picture-winner 'Spotlight' has come near the end of its run with a disappointing 70,000-admission total. Not much news below the Top 10, except that films dropped precipitously in the presence of BvS. Other newcomers were almost non-existent, but they were limited releases anyway.
  15. If one can judge from the Monday drop, it was very bad in China (worse than Spectre) and in the US ($15M according to Rth) it was worse than Clash of the Titans and G.I. Joe: Retaliation. It was on par with Furious 7. No indication as yet of good legs. More like a precipitous decline. So although $1B is still likely, it is no way guaranteed.
  16. $198.3Μ overseas (as of March 20) and has enough steam left in Japan to cross $200M. Not really a number to celebrate but oh well...
  17. Batman v Superman sold 122,000 admissions for the biggest opening of the year and possibly the biggest 4-day superhero opening ever!!! (can't confirm since I don't have numbers from Spider-Man and Spider-Man 3). More to come soon...
  18. Oh sorry for that. I meant domestically. I haven't found a WW table either.
  19. It's funny how we're using the word "only" to describe a 37% increase. As for April, what films will be released?
  20. How's March looking comapred to last year? And what about Q1 as a whole?
  21. I guess it could happen, but it would have to be very frontloaded.
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