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Quigley

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Everything posted by Quigley

  1. To be fair, the later in its run, the more likely a film is to out-gross it on its opening weekend
  2. I want to cry... Literally. DreamWorks Animation just announced release dates for Croods 2, Madagascar 4 and Puss in Boots 2. There is clearly no hope left in this world.
  3. There is no such thing as a stupid question, but there are inquisitive idiots. So unless you know that I'm the latter, don't comment on my questions.
  4. That is actually quite high (it's $6.7M by the way). Last week it was also about $6-7M. I would have expected it to drop to $3M this Monday, given the weekend drop. Oh! I think it's because Whit Monday is a holiday in many European and other countries (generally, in many of the countries with a major Christian population).
  5. Not surprised Bay is making a whole new TF trilogy, since people watch movies with this mentality. I think it would be way more beneficial for your physical and mental health, if you sent him the money electronically and went to do some exercise instead of sitting for 5 x 2.5 hours = 12.5 hours inside a movie theater eating popcorn and watching 'Bay's Money-Making Monstrosities'.
  6. Updated overseas total: $501.9M. The film has virtually no chances of out-grossing the worldwide total of Captain America 2 now, although it will cross $700M at least. The prior milestone is being pursued by X-Men: DOFP and although the likelihood of success is high, steep drops in the following weekends (due to the World Cup and Trans4mers) can decrease its chances.
  7. Weekend Actual outside North America is $41.1M. 57% drop ONA total is $421.2M. With Godzilla coming out in China next week, the drop in that market is poised to be huge. 22 Jump Street invades some minor markets, HtTYD2 invades a few major and a few minor markets. However, there is the World Cup to consider, which may result in big drops in some markets (especially Europe and South America). The drop may not be so steep next weekend but still more than 50%. The following weekend sees the release of Transformers in many big markets, so another steep drop (>50%) is expected. http://www.deadline.com/2014/06/intl-box-office-edge-of-tomorrow-no-1-with-82m-fault-in-our-stars-shines-in-brazil-mexico-oz-maleficent-adds-59-7m-x-men-crosses-100m-in-china-more/ BOM predicts that it will reach $220M in NA by the end of its run. That means it needs $490M outside NA to out-gross Captain America 2 worldwide. It's gonna be fun to see if it will succeed or not (although, to be honest, I really hope it doesn't).
  8. Weekend Actual outisde North America is $61.7Μ ($2M above estimate). 41.8% drop The ONA total is $210.1M, ahead of Godzilla. With China and Japan still on the horizon, $300M is locked. $350-400M is a possibility. Way ahead of both Oz and SWATH, but -obviously- way behind Alice as well. http://www.deadline.com/2014/06/intl-box-office-edge-of-tomorrow-no-1-with-82m-fault-in-our-stars-shines-in-brazil-mexico-oz-maleficent-adds-59-7m-x-men-crosses-100m-in-china-more/
  9. I agree with u. I never said that I'm perfect either, but especially truths that are so obvious (like grosses/records posted on trusted box office websites) are difficult to refute, if you have common sense.
  10. Outside North America, the weekend gross ($59.7M) dropped 44% from last weekend's $106.1M, which is a very good drop. Since How to Train Your Dragon won't be relased in South America next weekend and since most of that impressive hold is due to South America, we can hope that next weekend will hold well too, although the World Cup could have an adverse effect on the film's earnings.
  11. The total may be updated in a few months to ~$457M, but that would be it I guess.
  12. Quigley Down Under (you basically asked Google, which always has an answer) But if that was an indirect way of asking whether this movie has anything to do with my username, you need to try harder.
  13. I thought someone said this Saturday is Toho day. If so, it will probably increase this weekend.
  14. No, why do you ask? I just find interest in the Japanese box office cuz it's the third biggest market in the world and cuz many Disney films that I like do particularly well there. I also like that daily grosses are posted cuz relying exclusively on BOM for the past few years to post (supposedly) accurate overseas figures has been unbearable.
  15. Can DOFP get to 700M yuan? I think the Godzilla release will result in another precipitous decrease next weekend, of the order of -60% or more.
  16. Apparently, next Saturday is Toho day so (for better or worse) our hopes can't die away just yet. And honestly, I don't see how either Jolie or Cruise could threaten Frozen. The only recent Jolie film to earn more than $25M in Japan was Mr and Mrs Smith. The only live-action fairytale to earn more than $25M was Alice in Wonderland (which had Johnny Depp). If anything, the Disney factor could help Maleficent get to $30M maybe, but higher than that? Not sure. EoT also doesn't seem to have any hope (Oblivion made $13M last year). Maybe Frozen will lose first place (to Maleficent) when these two are released but I don't see it having a bigger-than-normal drop.
  17. Run outside North America (weeks are Friday-to-Thursday except first week which includes weekday previews): First week: $132.7M Second week: $52.2M (-61%) Third week: $18.4M (-65%) Fourth week (estimate based on weekend figure): $6.7M (-64%) These decreases are ridiculous (and kinda sad). It will still probably reach $300M because of China and Japan, but $350M seems like a stretch.
  18. It was overestimated in this blog, but the official estimate (from Disney) was still way below the actual. I think he was talking about studio estimates.
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