James

Holy shit! These posters are beautiful!

So which one is correct?

Wow. That is really great.

WEEKEND BOX-OFFICE And we had yet another huge week for the box office, where the leaders remained the same as last weekend. - Doctor Strange held really well, easing a light 39% and reaching a magnificent $987k. That is the BEST total for any Marvel movie through the second weekend, beating Civil War's $962k. Civil War fell off the cliff afterwards, but that doesn't seem to be the case for Strange. It might actually have a shot at Thor 2's $1.47m Marvel record. Still, it will lose all it's IMAX and 4DX screens this weekend to Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them and those made quite a sizable chunk of it's money. Admission figures are still not available, but my (very precise) estimating is somewhere around 181.500, which is another Marvel record. - Trolls was in second place yet again, but it registered a great hold (-34%) after it's massive opening. It now stands at a superb $596k and with great WOM it should easily become one of the Top 10 biggest animations ever. - Arrival was the biggest debut of the week, with 26.263 admissions and $125k. That is not unexpected, but it still is one of the lower-side of a SF spectacle openings. The debut is a bit above Chappie's and that's not company any SF movie wants to be in. Still, Chappie had horrible legs and Arrival looks to have way better WOM so I think a leggy run is in order. - The Accountant continued it's surprising run, easing only 33% and reaching $421k. $600k is still the target. - Hacksaw Ridge proved it enjoys great WOM, registering the best hold in the entire Top 10 (-26%). The total is $172k. - Inferno was down 32% and now stands at $820k. $1m won't happen, but that's still a damn good total. - Florence Foster Jenkins opens even lower than I thought, with 6.598 adm and $31k. - Shut In was another bomb, debuting to 6.961 admissions and $30k. - Local sensation Doua Lozuri maintained it's string of good holds (-29%) and reached $541k. - And Jack Reacher: Never Go Back had it's first decent drop (-46%), even though that one was still the worst in Top 10. The cume is a good $534k. Top 10 Next week's openers: - Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - Nocturnal Animals - Snowden - The Handmaiden - Inimi cicatrizate (local) And now it's time for history to be made. It's no secret that I'm the biggest Harry Potter geek ever, so I can't fuckin wait to see Fantastic Beasts. It's BO is a different matter though. Here is the history of the franchise in Romania: Harry Potter may seem small in comparison with other franchises, but keep in mind that the market registered a massive growth in the years since the franchise ended, as did the ticket prices. 4 of the 8 Harry Potter titles were in their respective year's Top 10, between the places of #5 and #10. Given the market growth, Fantastic Beasts should have no problem claiming the biggest OW for the franchise (the record is Deathly Hallows Part 2's 43.219 adm) and the biggest total in admissions (also DH2: 150.981). It also has a really good shot at beating DH2 in USD. FB's presales are very strong, but not huge. That might not be an issue though, considering theaters here treat it like a family movie (it actually has a dubbed version, which only animations have). I will predict a 60.000 adm OW for Fantastic Beasts, with the chance of it going higher. Out of the other releases, only Nocturnal Animals has a shot at 10.000 adm. 2016 TOP 20 so far:

I get that, esp in the UK. But the last 3 Potter openings had a pretty stable 1/2 DOM/OS ratio when it comes to WW OWs. Assuming it does 100m in the US, that would mean 300m WW OW. But taking into account ER problems, lets say 250m. The forecasted 200m would mean a 1/1 ratio. The highest ratio ever for DOM in the franchises history is around 32-33%. Potter always was a foreign champion. FB making the same money from OS as from the US would be plain disaster. 250m at least must happen.

That would be a 62% retention rate from DH2. 250m would be a 52% retention rate. This is still a Potter-verse movie. It might have slightly better legs, but it will still be frontloaded. It need to open good. With a 200m OW WW, even 700m is not happening.

Those numbers would be horrendous! On the low end that's not even 1/3 of DH2' WW OW. Considering it lacks only Japan and China, anything under 250m WW for the OW should be considered a failure. It better go over 300m.

Still keeping my hopes for at least £15m on OW. If FB somehow manages a 115-120m in the US and matches Potter's total, I'd be disappointed if it lost so much ground in the UK (in local currency ofc).

Hoping for 700m+ for FB. Too much?

Is that good, Rsyu?

I showed my cousin a bunch of trailer for next year (WW, Kong, JL, King Arthur, AC, Lego Batman plus a bunch of others) and she seemed interested in most of them, but the only one she wants to go to cinema for is this one.

Just saw War Dogs and Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates with a few friends and wow. I never expected to like those movies even nearly as much as I did. War Dogs was marketed all wrong, but it was quite great. I think it is Top 15 for the year for me. Mike and Dave is THE best comedy I've seen in a really long time. Everyone was laughing through the entire movie. Really nice when movies surprise me.

You guys got any presales for FB?

This needs more than that considering the budget. Please stop stanning for this movie! Pleeeeaaaaaase!

I don't this it's going to come anywhere close to 300m OS. My theater was only 50% full on an evening showing. But I do think it will have great legs everywhere. Right now I am hoping for around 250-300m WW.

Just got back from the Arrival... oh man! You just have to see this one for yourself. It's easily the best movie I've seen in cinemas this year. It really hits all the notes perfectly. Amy Adams is terrific and she absolutely deserves an Oscar for this. I have such an appreciation for this because the first thing I though after the movie ended was in how many ways it could've gone wrong. As you may find when you watch the movie, Arrival is so heavily dependent on editing that any small mistake in that department would've fucked the whole movie. That goes to show what an amazingly talented director Villeneuve is. I am so happy right now that he is in charge of Blade Runner. It is really beautiful how everything comes together and every single aspect of this movie contributes to that perfect atmosphere and amazing finale: the soundtrack is not memorable, but it is fitting, the cinematography is breathtaking (that shot with the spaceship you see in the trailers.... holy fuck!), the color palette is also a huge factor. Anyway, I am so glad that the Fall SF tradition continues. I would rate this above Gravity, but behind Interstellar and The Martian. But that means little since I had the last two in my Top 3 of their respective years. Gravity was a so-so for me. Arrival is much closer to Interstellar and The Martian in terms of quality. It is just as heavy as Interstellar, but maybe not as thoughtful. However, I don't really see any way in which it could've been better and that's saying a lot. For the type of film that it is, it's just perfect. A

Seeing this in about 2 hours.

The trailer got great reception on Twitter. Extremely positive. The number of Tweets yesterday was 2/3 of what Rogue One did with it's trailer.

That was a messy, but satisfying trailer. Can't wait to see more.

They are assuming the good holds will continue, but FB will chop it's legs off OS for sure and apparently it is also poised for a huge DOM OW.

Seeing this on Friday and I'm crazy excited because of how excited you guys were. It better be good

I like both franchises (they are dumb fun), but Underworld vastly superior to me.

Yeah, but even so, that number is absolutely ridiculous. Suicide Squad, which was a phenomenon in terms of social media never managed such a feat and for 3 continuous days no less.

What the hell did they do? For the last 3 days, the Resident Evil movie Facebook page gained about 700.000 likes / day, passing today the 10m mark. No, I did not write that wrong. That is more in a day than Doctor Strange gained since the pages's inception (the Strange Facebook page currently has under 700.000 likes).

Yeah. It is not that hard to get estimates, but it's work I didn't have to do before. Also, it kinda messes up everything because those average ticket prices charts and admission charts Cinemagia has are now useless. But I will do the work myself if I have to. I hope this year hits 13m adm.