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James

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Everything posted by James

  1. This movie has so much to live up to. The previous two years we had Interstellar and Martian, both the top of their year for me or close to it.
  2. Not saying it will happen, but there's a chance Sully outgrosses this. Out of curiosity, has anyone predicted that?
  3. Lol people, stop kidding yourselves. Seriously, the book was a phenomenon. It will make 100m DOM and OS is a lock for 300m. Japan + Europe will make sure of that.
  4. Mark my words: this will be huge! I seriously doubt it matches RO, but OS, with this, Assassin's Creed and Sing releasing so close to each other, RO will lose a huge chunk of it's audidience. SW7 had basically no major competition. Those 3 titles will easily combine for at least 1B OS.
  5. Wow. This looks sweet! I was planning to see RO as my Christmas movie, but this looks way better!
  6. Actually the OS total has been updated to 406m, while the WW one is at 719.7m. And yeah, 750m is where it will land.
  7. Side note but I just watched Warcraft and it isn't a bad movie. It was pretty entertaining. But it had the potential to be a great one. They took some risks with killing some characters and Travis Fimmel did well with what he was given. All in all though, it was a mess. I really hope we get a sequel though.
  8. I don't think it hits 50m, but if it does then we could have our first movie in the 200-300m area this year. Also, it would basically lock WB for a 2B+ year DOM.
  9. People are overpredicting Mag7 and underpredicting Storks. I think both of them will cross 40m, but barely.
  10. I'm seriously starting to wonder if SS could make a run at 330m. 320m seems to be locked. And Sully is gunning for that 150m. Who expected that two weeks ago?
  11. Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days 1 (1) Sully Warner Bros. $2,780,372 -11% 3,525 $789 $48,541,351 7 - (4) Suicide Squad Warner Bros. $350,396 -2% 3,103 $113 $309,072,332 42 - (6) Bad Moms STX Entertainment $207,015 -14% 1,888 $110 $108,244,928 49 - (7) The Light Between Oceans Walt Disney $203,217 -13% 1,500 $135 $10,400,776 14 - (10) Kubo and the Two Strings Focus Features $162,700 -8% 2,335 $70 $41,731,974 28 - (9) War Dogs Warner Bros. $162,484 -19% 1,781 $91 $40,650,185 28 - (14) Pete’s Dragon Walt Disney $128,187 -9% 2,685 $48 $70,764,525 35 - (13) Jason Bourne Universal $117,530 -17% 1,510 $78 $159,309,915 49 - (-) Florence Foster Jenkins Paramount Pictures $105,020 -9% 1,062 $99 $26,162,682 35 - (-) Star Trek Beyond Paramount Pictures $76,577 -10% 748 $102 $156,933,686 56 If anyone is interested. That's a 21% week-to-week drop for SS Also, I'm starting to think 25m will happen for Sully this weekend.
  12. What the hell?? A movie makes almost 1m admissions in a day and people don't talk about it? At the rate this is going this wil hit about 3m adm this weekend, which is almost a 100% increase over the last weekend. So what total is it gunning for? 15m adm? Does it have a chance at the title of highest grossing/most attended movie in the market? Also, I see Age of Shadows is distributed by Warner in SK. They are having such a great year.
  13. Does that include previews? Or it didn't have any? Ether way, it seems like pretty weak. Looking at Ice Age, that burned some demand by opening on a Tuesday, but even with bigger increases the best Dory can hope for is around $3.5m for Thu-Sun. So 12-13m total is likely.
  14. I think this looks like another 300m WW movie made on a dime for WB. Seriously, their horror franchises are booming with this, TC and Lights Out. I'm getting excited for IT in 2017.
  15. WEEKEND BOX-OFFICE Sorry for being late (again!), but I just couldn't bring myself to write an entire analysis. The box office is just boring this time of year. - Sully took first place, but I seriously overestimated it's potential. It opened with 18.394 admissions and $97k, which is way weaker than Bridge of Spies (32.084 admissions). It is, however, a bit stronger than Captain Phillips (17.557 adm) and Gone Girl (16.826 adm). WOM also seems to be strong which, combined with it heavily appealing to adults, should assure a lighter fall than other movies, now that the schools are back in session. I wouldn't dismiss $500k just yet. - Mechanic: Resurrection continues to defy expectations. It now reached $582k and should end it's run somewhere around $750-800k. - Suicide Squad had another nice hold (-36%) and is now just shy of 400.000 admissions and $2m. It will win the year unless Rogue One surprises. - The Secret Life of Pets surpassed the 200.000 admission border (209.455) and it will comfortably end up with over $1m. - Ben-Hur is also doing ok, closing in on $500k. - I.T., Ratchet and Clank, Sieranevada and Hands of Stone all bombed. - Ice Age: Collision Course went past $1.1m. - And The Legend of Tarzan reached it's final milestone: $800k (great result or it!). Next week's openers: - Nerve - Bridget Jones's Baby - #Selfie 69 (local) - Truman Nerve should win the weekend and it is the only movie that has a shot at 20.000 admissions (which is a bit depressing). It's presales are ok. Bridget Jones's Baby should go over 10.000 admissions methinks. I always see spots for it on TV. Back in 2014, the first #Selfie movie debuted with around 12.000 admissions and had superb legs, finally reaching over 100.000 adm, making it one of the most successful local movies in recent memory. I doubt the sequel will match those legs, but an opening over 10.000 adm should happen. Truman will end up with less than 5.000 adm.
  16. The first movie was so so so so bad. But I am excited for this one. What is wrong with me???
  17. Just updated I wonder how much they contributed to the budget.
  18. I was thinking of a little analysis for the movies released Summer 2016 (May - Aug) studio by studio. The numbers are till present day because I'm to lazy to remove the 11 days from September. But you can get a pretty good idea. It will be something like: DOM / OS / WW / Budget; and the Studios will be ranked from top to bottom by WW earnings. Disney - Captain America: Civil War: 408 / 744 / 1.152 / 250 - Finding Dory: 483 / 462 / 945 / 200 - Alice Through the Looking Glass: 77 / 218 / 295 / 170 - The BFG: 55 / 110 / 165 / 140 - Pete's Dragon: 67 / 29 / 96 / 65 Total: 1.090 / 1.563 / 2.653 / 825 Disney spent the most from all studios this summer, but they also had the biggest revenues thanks to their 2 big franchises. Warner Bros - Suicide Squad: 303 / 378 / 681 / 175 - The Legend of Tarzan: 126 / 230 / 356 / 180 - The Conjuring 2: 102 / 217 / 319 / 40 - Me Before You: 56 / 144 / 200 / 20 - Lights Out: 66 / 71 / 137 / 5 - Central Intelligence: 127 / - / 127 / 25 (Universal distributed OS) - War Dogs: 38 / 23 / 61 / 40 - The Nice Guys: 36 / 21 / 57 / 50 - Batman: The Killing Joke: 3.7 / - / 3.7 / - Total: 858 / 1.084 / 1.942 / 535 So a great summer for WB most of the money came from low budget movies. Now, you could argue that the huge number is because of the big number of releases, but why would that matter if those releases are successful? The only movie that lost money for sure is The Nice Guys. War Dogs still has territories to open to so it will likely break even. And after the home video release Tarzan will also likely break even. Warner also had the best Total revenue / Budget ratio out of all studios (x3.6). Universal - The Secret Life of Pets: 360 / 407 / 767 / 75 - Warcraft: 47 / 386 / 433 / 160 - Jason Bourne: 157 / 224 / 381 / 120 - The Purge: Election Year: 79 / 30 / 109 / 10 - Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising: 55 / 52 / 108 / 35 - Central Intelligence: - / 87 / 87 / 25 - Popstar: 9 / - / 9 / 20 - Kubo and the Two Strings: - / 6 / 6 / - Total: 707 / 1.192 / 1.899 / 545 Universal also had a good summer, their only flop being Popstar and that was quite cheap to make. 20th Century Fox - X-Men: Apocalypse: 155 / 388 / 543 / 178 - Ice Age: Collision Course: 63 / 327 / 390 / 105 - Independence Day: Resurgence: 103 / 280 / 383 / 165 - Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates: 46 / 25 / 71 / 33 Total: 367 / 1.020 / 1.387 / 481 So not good and not bad for Fox. Sony / Columbia - The Angry Birds Movie: 107 / 239 / 346 / 73 - Ghostbusters: 127 / 98 / 225 / 144 - Sausage Party: 91 / 14 / 105 / 19 - The Shallows: 55 / 44 / 99 / 17 - Money Monster: 41 / 52 / 93 / 27 - Don't Breath: 61 / 9 / 70 / 10 - League of Gods: 0.14 / - / - / - - My Best Friend's Wedding: 0.07 / - / - / - Total: 482 / 456 / 937 / 290 For all the shit they get, Sony is actually doing pretty well. Yeah, they have no big franchises, but they seem to be able to manage with small budget movies. Probably the only movie that lost them money this summer was Ghostbusters. Sony spent the least out of all major studios. Paramount - Star Trek: Beyond: 156 / 138 / 294 / 186 - TMNT: Out of Shadows: 82 / 162 / 244 / 135 - Ben-Hur: 25 / 29 / 54 / 100 - Florence Foster Jenkins: 25 / 17 / 42 / 19 Total: 288 / 371 / 659 / 440 Now that's what call a disaster. Sony might's missed 1b WW for the Summer, but at least they kept their budgets under control and managed to make good profit. Paramount on the other hand Like seriously, I bet they are in the red for all the movies released in the last 4 months. Lionsgate - Now You See Me 2: 65 / 263 / 328 / 90 - Nerve: 38 / 17 / 55 / 20 - Mechanic: Resurrection: 17 / 18 / 35 / 40 - Hell or High Water: 18 / - / 18 / 12 - Cafe Society: 10 / 10 / 20 / 30 Total: 148 / 308 / 456 / 192 So yeah, pretty bad. But Lionsgate sells the OS rights so the overall image is not really as clear as it seems. Overall, this shows the bigger and bigger difference between the Top 2/3 and the rest of the studios.
  19. With a 36m OW and the fantastic WOM it's having I'm thinking 150m is in the cards for Sully. And maybe 250m+ WW. Another huge success for WB.
  20. Ok, don't laugh at me for not knowing, but from what movie is the gif in your description? It looks strangely familiar.
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