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James

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Everything posted by James

  1. If it lands in that range I will truly be disappointed. It is blowing Deadpool out of the water on all fronts right now, it has a PG-13 rating and 3D. I seriously can't imagine it opening that low.
  2. Oh yeah, I forgot about that. What are people expecting for Pete? Opening in the weekend after SS seems stupid to me. I imagine kids will force their parents to take them to SS and parents will rather choose that than stay through Pete imo. Maybe 30m OW? I really haven't followed it.
  3. I doubt 500m will happen for Dory with SS coming in 2 weeks. That has 4-quadrant blockbuster written all over it.
  4. Of course it is. The merchandise for this is huge. And I don;t think a sixth one will drop that much. Honestly, the marketing for this one was lazy as fuck. Fox relied entirely on the brand name and that was big enough to carry it to 450-500m. And let's say it drops to 300m on a 100m budget. It is still making money. So why not? It's not like Fox has so many big franchises right now.
  5. Good for Beyond. 60m still in play. It just gets better and better for Lights Out. The midnight/OD ratio is the same as The Shallows. If it follows that movie for the rest of the weekend it will end up with 22-23m. But I think it can push for 24-25m and maybe 70-80m total. I am very interested to see if it beats Purge 3. And even better than Deadline estimated for Tarzan. A 40% weekend drop is on order. It is headed for 130-140m. And that number for Ice Age should guarantee 20m. Not impressive by any means, but is is an animation so it should get at least a 3x multi. 60-70m will happen methinks.
  6. That's a great number for Lights Out. Your 60m club will be a success @Baumer Also, if that Deadline number holds that 42% weekend drop will be the best one yet for Tarzan. Isn't Beyond supposed to have eaten into it's audience?
  7. Lol, no it won't. That would be 355m and it will do way past that.
  8. And this one will end up with 450-500m on a 100m budget. That is a huge success, not even counting post-theatrical revenue and merchandise. I love it how people let their bias get in the way of seeing that.
  9. I really don't get why we always get excited for this early update. Most of us can make that guess work and with better math than Deadline
  10. Wait, Legendary? I thought this was a WB movie. Or it will be like with Godzilla? IP at Legendary but WB distributing.
  11. Is it too late to think Tarzan will have a leggy run? It looks to be holding decent with all this competition and losing screens.
  12. That is a pretty simple way to look at it. Of course it is good for studios to have billion dollar franchises, but when we talk yearly BO and especially when we talk DOM, that franchise is just a small of the business (unless you talk SW). For example, according to Deadline, WB made more (excluding merchandise) profit from Conjuring than from The Hobbit 2 (a 960m movie). I really don't get it why we even have this argument. A look at the yearly grosses is enough to show which studio is bigger.
  13. I love that poster. I think I am more excited for this than for anything else coming out of SDCC.
  14. First of all, it will have 2 this year - SS and FB. Second - why are we talking about billion dollar franchises? Studios want money. It doesn't matter if a movie hits a billion or not as long as it makes them. WB is really good at turning huge profits from small budget movies (Conjuring, Lights Out, CI, MBY, Lego etc.). So yeah, they are bigger because their business model is better.
  15. Lol, did you just say that Uni is bigger than WB? The only year they were ahead of WB was last year and that was because they had all their big franchises crammed there. 2016 looks to be ending up with half of what they did last year (and a bit more than half of WB will do this year).
  16. I'm just happy that Beyond did well so we can get another Star Trek. Also, I was right about Lights Out. Another hit for WB. They had a fantastic Summer, and if the rest of the year performs as I think it will they will hit 2B DOM this year.
  17. Considering it is already at 135m OS, after a 53m OS weekend and still has China + some other markets to open, I'd say 400m OS is all but locked. Add in 60-80M DOM and you have a 460-480m total on a 100m budget and thats not even counting DVD/Blu + TV + merchandise. Even with the huge fall it will still be insanely profitable. Fox would be dumb not to make another one.
  18. I just want my V number and the lower FTSBF number.
  19. Oh, yes. Fuckin yes! Thank you! I am already a much happier person!
  20. BvS is in the 2.000-4.000 adm range since the end of May. Those are some ridiculous legs
  21. Ohhh, so it made the same as IO. I though you meant the Sun-Mon drop. That's awesome then. If it hits 6.9m like IO that means a 40-41% drop. I think it might still beat IO's total.
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