DAJK

BC UPDATE (THURSDAY, 10PM PST) Just a super quick analysis since I have a lesson I need to get ready for my Grade 10s in the morning. Hunger Games - not as walkup friendly as I was hoping, however it did scrape by Captain Marvel in local comps. Going to guess 5M previews on the nose, 40-44M weekend. Thanksgiving - not great. That being said, as @Eric Gray Baird mentioned, Thanksgiving was over a month ago in Canada. Well behind Saw X and most other big horror comps this year. Going to go with 700k previews, since I recognize that my area is likely under indexing. 7-10M weekend. Next Goal Wins - I don’t even know what the theater count for this is. It didn’t do terribly here, but not great either. Maybe my expectations were just SUPER low. Going with 350k previews and 4M weekend.

I’m with @keysersoze123 BOSS is selling pretty well everywhere I look. Can’t really see it missing 5M either, I’d go 5.5 tbh. Thanksgiving is pretty disappointing tonight, could see it barely scraping by 10. Next Goal wins isn’t doing as… terribly as I thought it might. 4-5M could happen as long as audiences don’t hate it.

Friend of mine who I love to death but who also can get pretty annoying in their love/defence of the MCU said that it’s a pretty huge success because it’s “more successful than Morbius, and that movie was like a cultural phenomenon everyone was talking about it.”

For some good news this weekend, I just saw The Holdovers and it’s probably topped Oppenheimer as my favourite movie of the year. Go see it.

Going to watch The Marvels tonight. What do I need to be caught up on content-wise in the MCU?

Been super busy on practicum, so haven’t been able to do in-depth analyses, but quick checks and comparisons to old data are showing me the same thing. Picking up, but not significantly, I’d wager 6-6.5 for now.

Had it not been for the strikes and Dune moving… November 2023 would have had a sci fi based on a classic SF novel, followed by a Marvel sequel, followed by a Hunger Games movie, followed by an original Disney animation. Oh, and throw in a comedy flop (Next Goal Wins), an expanding Oscar hopeful (Holdovers), and an R-rated low budget (Thanksgiving). Wait… is that not November 2013? Enders Game, Thor, Catching Fire, Frozen, Delivery Man, Dallas Buyers Club, Homefront… throw in Free Birds as the comp for Trolls 3 and… wow, history really does repeat itself huh?

Good drops all around this weekend, FNAF notwithstanding (although it’s OS drop was pretty great).

Thought it would be 200.

I want to say I have faith this can outgross Killers Of The Flower Moon, but part of me still is worried this is going to pull Last Duel numbers.

CJohn always gotta find a way to spin the numbers in a bad light Deadline’s first 7M update… BOMB! 40M OD… silence. BUT KILLERS DROP IS AWFUL AND RENFIELD BOMBED.

Good cinemascore. Fans liking it will likely lead to repeat business, since that is the core audience for this anyways. I’m a high school teacher and many of my students are going multiple times just so they can see it with different friends. Anecdotal sure, but that’s solid for a movie like this. Also I know it’s just one data point and our tried and true trackers like @Porthos @keysersoze123 @M37 @XXR's Eras Tour and others can probably provide better, more accurate data, but across the handful of British Columbia theaters I track, this thing blew up tonight. Wouldn’t be surprised in the slightest if Friday total (including Thursday) landed in the low-40s. The theatres I track suggest a true Friday somewhere in the range of 28M (low end) to 33M (high end). We’ll see where this thing lands.

Not sure about the other trackers, but Freddy’s is POPPING tonight around here. Even if I wanted to see it in town, I couldn’t because every single show today was sold out. Every single one. This really feels like the biggest horror event since It (2017) bar none.

Freddy’s still selling pretty well locally. Not sure what other MTC trackers are seeing but given regional comps I don’t see this missing 10M unless ATP is insanely low.

My dad really wants to see Freelance lol. Not very often that happens with a movie I never heard of.

Re tracking, I started back in 2015 when I started working at a local theatre. I kept track of sales at that theater, and used those comparisons to make predictions for upcoming releases. Over time I added more theaters to my usual tracking. Over time, the other amazing people in this thread made the system better, gathering more and more data and using those regional comparisons to predict opening weekends based on presales, something I was never able to do using just a few handful of theaters.

FNAF tickets are only on sale for Thursday around here (weekend won’t go on sale until late tonight/tomorrow). And there are two things that are blowing me away. 1) the sheer number of tickets being sold. You would think this is a Marvel movie in the 2016-2019 era. 2) the PACE is not letting up! This didn’t have a big first day and then taper off. Sales are steady, and the numbers keep going up and up and up.

Just got out of Killers. Good movie, but you can REALLY feel the runtime, and I wonder if that’ll impact WOM.

FNAF is rated 14A in British Columbia. Ain’t no “kid priced tickets” being bought unless parents are taking their kids.

The way the world treated Jennifer’s Body back in ‘09 still makes me mad to this day. If it were released in 2023 sure it probably still wouldn’t have grossed much but would have a high RT score (80s easily) and wouldn’t be the butt of a ton of jokes. Great film, hoping for the same here. I see Diablo Cody I’m on board.

Does anyone know why exactly tickets are non-refundable? I can't think of a logical reason why that would be explained other than *cue Mr. Krabs voice* MONEY!

Wow October 11, 1989 sure was a popular day in the maternity ward for BOT members. Happy birthday all you silly (very real, definitely not bot or spam accounts) geese! Hope it's a good one!

If it doesn’t get the Oct record I would consider it a disappointment for a number of reasons. I actually really like @Eric MacNeil’s sentiment about how it doesn’t really madder how much profit billionaire studios and CEOs make, and what the budget was. What I care about is movie theaters: ticket sales leading to concession sales that keep the exhibition industry alive. When this was announced, it filled a gaping void in October, and was an excellent sign for theaters. While 100M would be nothing to scoff at, and would certainly make Taylor a pretty penny, she still is in that category of “mega millionaires/billionaires who I couldn’t care less how much profit they make.” Same with Tom Cruise for example, him personally earning 100M+ from Maverick is a “good for him” from me and little else. All I really care about is keeping the exhibition industry alive, I couldn’t care less how much money these billionaires make in profits.

Yea the new app sucks and makes tracking 1000x harder. Up until Nov 2022 the website made it super easy to track multiple theaters at once, but then it changed. Awful change, and I know a lot of people at the company who hate it too lol.

Hahahahaha I can almost guarantee you it is not If so, I would love to be on the internet you are on, seems like such a nice place