Wrath

I don't think I've missed a week, but I'll answer them just in case I'm wrong about that. 1. Will Kin open to more than $4M for 3 day? 1000 NO 2. Will Kin open to more than $6M for 3 day? 2000 NO 3. Will Searching make more than $3.5M? 3000 YES 4. Will Searching make more than $5M? 4000 YES 5. Will Searching make more than one of the Openers in a higher theatre count? 5000 YES 6. Will Meg increase? 1000 NO 7. Will Slenderman stay above AXL? 2000 YES 8. Will Will at least 7 of the top 12 increase on Sunday? 3000 NO 9. Will Teen Titans Drop less than 10%? 4000 YES 10. Will Mamma Mia have a PTA more than $1,000? 5000 YES 11. Will Mission Impossible have a bigger weekend pecentage drop than christopher Robin? 1000 YES 12. Will The Equallizer cross $100M ON Saturday? 2000 NO 13. Will Happytime Murders stay in the top 3? 3000 NO 14. Will anything in the top 15 drop more than 20%? 4000 YES 15. Will Spaghetti rig the Boffys so that Survivor wins best forum game ? 5000 Probably. Its just the kind of pasta-like move I'd expect from Spaghetti. Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: No Part B FOR YOU!!!!!!!!!!!! NO NO NO!!!!! Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. MI:F 6. Happy Time 8. Searching 11. Kin 14. EQ2 16. AM&TW

The funny thing is that I thought the exact same thing when putting in my answers. When I read through the rules this afternoon before scoring it, my first reaction was “Wait, what? Thats not how I remembered this...” Which is why I make sure to reread the SotMs again before scoring them.

See? Told ya. POTUS has Furiosa now. Should have tanked that last week.

Ok, one last one for today. SotM 11 - A day at the Races, again 6 head-to-head movie match-ups, where you have to pick the winner and can bet up to 10k on each contest. If you're wrong, you lose twice what you bet (I believe every person bet 10k on every contest they entered, so losing was -20k. If I missed someone betting less than 10k, let me know). If you're right, you win your wager times a multiplier assigned to each competitor, ranging from Ant-Man at 1.3 to The Meg at 5.0. The matchups were: 1. Equalizer 2 vs Mama Mia 2 - Won by Mama Mia 2 (1.4) 2. Hotel Transylvania 3 vs Ocean's 8 - Won by HT3 (2.4) 3. MI:F vs Ant-Man - Won by Ant-Man (1.3) (there's no way MI:F is catching it this week) 4. Uncle Drew vs Hereditary - Won by Hereditary (1.6) 5. The Meg vs Sicario 2 - Won by The Meg (5.0, many points were won here) 6. Skyscraper vs Bookclub - Won by Bookclub (3.7, a few lucky folks won a bunch of points here as well) People were mostly correct in their wagering, so while no one got 6/6 (would have been worth 154k) the people who played it safe tended to get left behind. Scoring: aabattery - 121k bcf26 - 121k Jake Gittes - 121k kayumanggi - 121k Simionski - 121k Deja23 - 104k Zeesoh - 104k chasmmi - 97k Sheik - 97k That One Guy - 97k WrathOfHan - 97k Fancyarcher - 85k baumer - 84k Wrath - 80k Chewy - 67k JJ8 - 64k grey ghost - 50k Infernus - 38k glassfairy - 30k Empire - -42k

NOTHING IS OVER UNTIL WE SAY IT IS! And that'll be Monday. 1. Will Operation Finale open to more than $4M for 3 day? 1000 YES 2. Will Operation Finale open to more than $6M for 3 day? 2000 YES 3. Will Ya Veramos open to more than $900k? 3000 YES 4. Will Ya Veramos open to more than $1.3M? 4000 YES 5. Will any new entry enter the top 3? 5000 YES 6. Will Crazy Rich Asians drop less than 5%? 1000 NO 7. Will Happytime stay above Mission Impossible? 2000 NO 8. Will Mile 22 stay above Alpha? 3000 NO 9. Will Blackklansman Drop less than 10%? 4000 NO 10. Will The Meg have a PTA more than $2,650? 5000 YES 11. Will AXL have a bigger weekend drop than The Spy Who Dumped Me? 1000 NO 12. Will Incredibles cross $600M? 2000 YES 13. Will Slenderman stay in the top 12? 3000 NO 14. Will something in the top 12 in more than 2000 theatres increase more than 40%? 4000 NO 15. Will I ever be free of Summer and Winter Games? 5000 Well, won't they be gone for like 18 minutes after the scoring and announcing is done? That doesn't count? Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Operation Finale make for its 3 day? 9.2M 2. What will Crazy Rich Asian's percentage change be? -8% 3. What will Christopher Robin's PTA be for the Weekend? 2,000 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Meg 4. MI:F 7. Mile 22 9. BlacKKKlansman 12. I2 15. Slenderman

More SotM scoring! SotM 10 - Antman wins the summer You had to pick one of three movies (Solo, Deadpool 2, and Incredibles 2) and then pick a country in which you thought that movie would underperform Ant-Man and The Wasp. The more money the movie made (while still losing to AM&TW) the more points you got. If it beat AM&TW, then you lost points based on how much money the movie made. Abstaining was worth 3k. A couple points. The scoring said you got 1k points for every 2m the movie made. So, if a movie made 11m, and it underperformed AM&TW, then you got 5k points (since it made 2m 5 times, but not enough for a 6th). However, if a movie made less than 2m, while still underperforming AM&TW, I rounded it up to 1k (I'm looking at you, Malaysia and Taiwan). Picking Solo in China, Mexico, South Korea, and Brazil was popular. It turned out to be a safe but underwhelming strategy because Solo made very little money in Brazil, Mexico and South Korea ($10.3M total across all 3 countries). The best picks were Solo in China (which almost, but not quite, everyone picked), I2 in China (the single best pick of the ones made, and fairly popular), DP2 in South Korea (the second best pick of those made, found only by chasmmi which gave him the highest score of everyone who didn't pick I2 in China), and Solo in France (a surprisingly good choice, made only by JJ8). I2 in South Korea would have been a really good pick as well, but no one picked it. The worst pick (which a handful of people went for), was Solo in the UK, because Solo actually outperformed AM&TW and therefore cost you points. Scoring: JJ8 - 39k baumer - 36k Infernus - 36k Simionski - 36k ZeeSoh - 36k aabattery - 35k Sheik - 35k Wrath - 35k glassfairy - 29k Fancyarcher - 22k Deja23 - 21k chasmmi - 19k Jake Gittes - 14k bcf26 - 12k captainwondyful - 12k Chewy - 12k Empire - 12k MrPink - 12k WrathOfHan - 12k MovieMan89 - 11k kayumanggi - 5k That One Guy - 5k 24Lost - 3k

WK19 cashout

Next up... SOTM 9 - Its All Just Extrapolation From Here... Incredibles 2 JW:FK Tag Each had a number of final DOM totals worth various points. You had to pick a slot for each movie. If its final DOM total was higher than the slot value, you got the points for the slot, but if you were wrong (and the DOM total was less than the slot value) then you took a penalty instead. If you got a positive score for all 3, your total got bumped up 50% and, if necessary, rounded up to the nearest 1000. Ok, this one is pretty certain, but not QUITE 100%. Incredibles 2 is at $597M and slot 10 (which 2 people picked) is at $600m and it made just under $3m last week. This is the final week of the competition, so I don't think it'll get there, but its not impossible. I scored it as though it falls short, but MovieMan89 and Panda will be pretty psyched if it suddenly perks up and gets over that finish line. JW:FK is technically within striking distance of slot 7 ($415M) but no one predicted that (Empire was the most aggressive at slot 6) so it doesn't matter. Tag is in the same boat as Incredibles 2, and more broadly (albeit shallowly) impactful. Its about $500k away from $55M which would reach slot 3. Its still in the theaters, but only just barely, so I think its extremely unlikely to get there. But if it does, a good half-dozen people picked slot 3, which didn't cost them a lot of points in penalties, but it did cost them the +50% bonus which I'm sure they'd prefer to get. So, we'll see. Abstain was worth 3k but no one abstained. Anyway, as things stand now, the scores go: Wrath 59k bcf26 57k WrathOfHan 54k kayumanggi 47k Deja23 41k Fancyarcher 41k Infernus 41k That One Guy 41k ZeeSoh 41k Jake Gittes 39k Sheik 39k baumer 35k captainwondyful 30k 24Lost 27k aabattery 26k Empire 25k JJ8 21k chassmi 18k Chewy 18k glassfairy 17k MovieMan89 -21k Panda -31k

Ok, I got bored so I went looking for easy ones to score. Which means whatever I get done, there's a real chance someone else may have done it. In which case we can just think of this as being me double-checking some other person's work. First off... SOTM 8 - Milestones Black Panther $700M Avengers $675M Incredibles 2 $450M Deadpool $300M Solo -$200M Ocean's 8 $125M Blockers $60M Overboard $50M Basically, would the 8 movies above hit their milestones, YES/NO, and then ranked the score for each one. A significant number were really, REALLY close, but all 8 did indeed eventually hit their milestones. Abstain was worth 3k, getting them all right was worth 90k, and if you said "NO" to any, you basically got 90k minus double the value of the one(s) you said "NO" to (since you both didn't get the points AND had them subtracted from your total. Scoring goes: aabattery 90k bcf26 90k captainwondyful 90k Deja23 90k Empire 90k glassfairy 90k grey ghost 90k kayumanggi 90k MrPink 90k Panda 90k Simionski 90k Wrath 90k WrathOfHan 90k ZeeSoh 90k FancyArcher 88k Chewy 86k Infernus 86k MovieMan89 86k That One Guy 86k baumer 82k JJ8 78k Sheik 78k Chasmmi 74k Jake Gittes 62k 24Lost 3k FancyArcher didn't put a Yes/No on their 2k guess, so I treated it as a single question Abstain and subtracted 2k. However, I just realized you weren't allowed to do that, so marking it wrong and scoring it as 86k might be the better result. I leave it to the judges to decide.

I feel like scoring a SOTM or two, but don't want to double up if anyone else is doing them. Anyone have some of them already done, or are about to start on some?

Hah. This game is so much fun.

On the bright side with AXL, at least a pile of money that small was pretty quick to count.

Its funny that $2.78m is simultaneously an awful number yet also dramatically better than anyone expected.

That is a crazy good hold for Crazy Rich Asians. Unexpected home runs like that are always fun. Pity about Freah off the Boat, though at least Randall Park’s career is going ok, too. I liked the parallel someone mentioned a while back with My Big Fat Greek Wedding. Really fun, solidly executed movie about a relatively underserved group ends up making huge bucks.

No one’s getting 15/15, but bcf26, Infernus and I (and possibly others, I just know of us 3) are going to go 14/15. bcf25 needed Teen Titans to make top 15, while Infernus and I needed Skyscraper.

Those are good, and 12-15 will be something like: 12) Crazy Rich asians 13) Equalizer 2 14) The Meg 15) First Purge thats almost certainly our top 15.

Anyone else having trouble putting in predicts?

Wk18 - Yes

1. Will Happytime Murders open to more than $12M? 1000 YES 2. Will Happytime Murders open to more than $16M? 2000 NO 3. Will A.X.L open to more than $1.5M? 3000 YES 4. Will A.X.L open to more than $2.0M? 4000 NO 5. Will Pappilon have a higher PTA than both the other big new openers? 5000 NO 6. Will Crazy Rich Asians stay at Number 1? 1000 YES 7. Will SLenderman stay above Hotel Transylvania? 2000 NO 8. Will The Meg cross $100M ON Saturday? 3000 YES 9. Will Mission Impossible Drop less than 40%? 4000 YES 10. Will Christopher Robin have a PTA more than $1,850? 5000 YES 11. Will Blakklansman have a bigger weekend drop than Antman? 1000 NO 12. Will Alpha drop more than 30% Sunday? 2000 YES 13. Will Mile 22 increase more than 45% on Saturday? 3000 NO 14. How many films will have a weekend above $10M? 4000 3 15. How many happy endings will Happytime Murders have? 5000 All of them. All the happy endings.   Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000  Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Happytime Murders make for its 3 day? 12.75M 2. What will Ant Man's percentage change be? -38% 3. What will The Meg's PTA be for the Weekend? 2,900  Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Crazy Rich 2. Happytime 4. MI:F 6. Mile 22 9. BlackKKlansman  11. EQ2

The weird thing to me is that they actually seem to be promoting this. Saw trailers for it over the weekend before both Ant-Man&Wasp and The Meg, plus I've seen a little bit of marketing other places as well. Its not like they're breaking the bank on it, but I feel like any amount above $0 is a mistake.

Ooh, exciting finish! #1 - POTUS thumps 8wombi nailing down 1st place and a bye. #2 - 8wombi lost, but not in embarrassingly bad fashion, and thus comes in 2nd and has the other bye. #3 - Wrath beats Gambit, coming in 3rd and facing the 6-seed in the first round. #4 - Now it gets interesting. Gambit lost and Furiosa won, tying them at 10-7. However, Furiosa has the average % score lead and thus wins the tie-breaker, so Furiosa is 4th and faces the 5th seed who is... #5 - Gambit! Gambit is 5th, so Furiosa vs Gambit is one first-round matchup. #6 - Now, the big one. Furiosa won, which means Morphin lost. If ZeeSoh managed a win against JJ8, ZeeSoh would tie Morphin in record, and win the average % score tie-breaker, taking the 6th slot. #7 Even with the loss, ZeeSoh remains in 7th. #8 Even with the win, JJ8 remains in 8th. #9 FancyArcher wins their match against DAR and comes in 9th. #10 DAR comes in 10th, in easily the most competitive top-to-bottom Derby league. As a final note, I'll say that POTUS probably made a mistake winning the final week. Because if seedings hold during the first round, he'll now get Furiosa in the second round. If he'd lost, he'd have gotten me instead. When in doubt, take the path of least resistance.

Iconic? Huh? i agree that its a book, but its hardly big in popular culture (american, anyway. It might be big elsewhere). On wikipedia, just about all the references to it in the last 10 years are about this movie, and there aren’t many before that. Also, 3.8/5 review isn’t very good.

On the other hand, I’ve seen commercials built around “Pippin vs The Meg”. Pippin is the little swimming dog. I agree that Statham’s not a serious draw on his own, but he was just perfect for this movie in how it presented itself as well as being excellent in the movie overall. I’d say he was surprisingly good at the humor but we already knew that from Spy. Overall, the kid just kills it, but she and Statham particularly worked well together.

Just saw it. That was totally fun.

Iirc, 1/3 of Americans of Asian descent live in CA.