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I meant it playing well for Hollywood was something that was predictable. I don't remember a second of the actual film haha.

If it's momentum continues to build it could definitely get director. I'm not confident anyone besides Innaritu (gross) is locked there. In also not sure The Matian is still a lock for best picture, but somehow feel more comfortable about Scott. Regardless, McKay deserves a nod. The whole reason this film is even in the conversation is because of his vision.

When do these happen?

The Big Short could win. Like, I'm close to calling it the frontrunner. Trumbo and Mad Max are looking more likely by the day. Hateful Eight had like a 2% chance. They aren't sending out screeners and it isn't supposed to be that good. A little concerned about Bridge of Spies. Brooklyn is still in the race. The Globes not going for it is super expected and predictable. It doesn't mean much. It is still probably ahead of Room. I think either Carol or The Big Short are going to swoop up and win. There is real passion behind these films unlike Spotlight which just got notice out of needing a front runner.

Sure it is a weak year but I don't think anyone will watch The Revenant and say "this is the best male leading performance of the year." Trumbo happening is awful, but predictable. In fact I was just at guild screening and I heard these two old ladies RAVING about it. Got a huge eye roll from me.

Bale is so supporting. They only did that at the Globes because the race was desolate. Tom Hardy is godawful in The Revenant. The worst of H is hammy tendencies multipled by ten. It was like he was in a whole different movie. He won't happen. If Fox had any sense they'd push Poutler who is great-- cast standout even ahead of Leo. It seems like it'll be Rylance, Stallone, Elba and some combination of Bale, Tremblay, Shannon, Keaton and Ruffalo for the last two spots. Praying for no Ruffalo!

Bookmark this: Cranston wins come February. It'll be harder for him to get a nomination than a win. It perfectly fits the surprise nomination that builds momentum in the last moments when Leo seems safe. It won't be a big deal though, no one will see Leo's performance in The Revenant as the performance that should win him the Oscar. I've seen it, ps. He isn't even the standout. Samuel L. Jackson isn't happening. He won't pick up a single precursor, isn't the standout and the film isn't supposed to be that good. Besides, his placement is supposedly borderline. The last spot is between Damon and Carrell. Leaning towards Carrell because it looks like the stronger film and they are all hella campaigning.

What fifth spot? Lawrence isn't missing. She is getting career best notes and it is still a decently received DOR movie. It'll play well to the Academy. There just isn't a better option unless Mara's fraud isn't accepted, which it will be. And Charlize won't hit a single precursor and hasn't gotten a mention from a critic group. Why even bring her up?

British critics are eating this shit up.

SAG only had three screenings before ballots were due. They had much more for The Revenant.

I saw this at a guild screening today and kind of loved it. It definitely has that rushed, award season editing issue, but it almost works. If anyone is curious to know more, let me know. Lawrence is safe as hell haha. Even in fourth no one is going to bump her out. I'm still thinking his could land in best picture and should even out in the seventies on Rotten Tomatoes once the regional critics review it. It'll be devicive because it is a little weird, but I definitely don't think a lot of critics know what DOR was going for either.

OW Prediction: 260 million Dom Prediction: 1.05 billion WW Total: 2.8 billion

Apparently Ramirez being colead is wrong. He isn't getting a push either, I don't see him happening. Also, this is so Leo's to lose. It'll be a career award.

I hated the movie so much, but I have to be perceptive. I'd have it at 8th or 9th-- Ahead of Room and stuff like Steve Jobs. I doubt Spotlight gets a lot of attention with the one-two hit of Carol and MMFR. The highbrow critics are already praising those two. I can see NBR and DFW or Denver going the way of Spotlight though. I actually am thinkin Creed might take NBR because they are so in love with WB.

It has been quiet lately because Vikander and Redmayne have been busy with other projects. Now that they aren't, it is going to be hugely promoted. There have already been a shit ton of SAG screenings. 1. It's reviews are about the same, if not better than The Theory of Everything on its opening weekend. It's Metacritic score is sitting at 69 but has been going up recently. 2. It's going to be better received than Les Miserables which got an easy BP nom and Hooper even had some director traction. (DGA embraced IIRC.) 3. Hooper is an Academy fave. 4. Eddie proved last year that he loves to campaign and has just started his campaigning for this film. The only people who are willing to show more face are Vikander and Hooper. 5. It is a baity topic, presented in a conservative, pretty fashion-- something The Academy loves. 6. Box office is doing well. Bigger PTA than The Theory of Everything. 7. It'll score two acting noms and a few below the line noms.

The Danish Girl is definitely still happening Imo.

What a great list! Carol, The Assassin, Cemetery of Splendour and Arabian Night are all in my top five of the year!

You didn't fall into it because it isn't a trap! I've been describing this film as averageness perfected. It does everything about it level higher than it needed to, but it's charm and wit add so many layers to it. I have to say Emory Cohen may be my supporting actor pick of the year. I'd argue he is the glue of the whole thing more than Ronan. He is so cute and charming that he made me wish I were gayer than a gay man because I wanted to love him in more ways than possible.

This is the worst of the franchise for me.

Are you joking? It is a series low and the definition of a dissapointment.

The is the English-language film of the year so far. I loved this more than I've loved a movie in a long time.

I think Steve Carrell is in-- he is fantastic. It also seems like a screenplay nod kind of film. Plus, there are five reviews out. There is no consensus.

I loved this. Hugely unique in editing and the way it tells its narrative. L. O. V. E. Also, entirely horrifying.

Hi. Just got back from Carol. That isn't dark. Don't really have an update, but no one is saying Carol is dark. Cold and distant, maybe, but even that is soooo wrong. PS I loved Carol.

Your commentary is so useless. We can all go read RottenTomatoes, how about you actually watch a movie?