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KP1025

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Everything posted by KP1025

  1. KP1025
    Corpse says it has no competition for all of May and June. The biggest film that can challenge it is Pirates 5, which releases July 1.
  2. KP1025
    Those massive bumps.
  3. KP1025
    Look at that BatB WOM kicking in. I think casting Emma Watson definitely helped in Japan.
  4. KP1025
    Very good weekday numbers because of Monday holiday and continuing Golden Week in Japan. Will be interesting to see how F8 holds this weekend in China given the opening of GOTG2.
  5. KP1025
    Nice. F8 increased to #2 spot with actuals, although Conan not too far behind. BatB looking incredibly strong, and without question Japan will be the highest OS market for the film. I think over $100 million is very likely, although the drop after Golden Week will be more telling of its potential.
  6. KP1025
    How much more can F8 make with one additional month of showings? Can it crawl to $400 million?
  7. KP1025
    Only in Japan can a mega blockbuster like F&F debut at #3. BatB and Conan might be #1 and #2 for a while.
  8. KP1025
    Assuming similar holds to past few weeks, it has about $15 million left just from remaining weekends. That brings it to around $495 million. Remaining weekday grosses will probably bring it over $500 million or close enough for Disney to push over the mark. We don't know how it will drop after losing theaters, so this is a best case scenario.
  9. KP1025
    If it follows the same weekly drops, it will finish around the $950 million OS mark. It might be lower since GOTG2 is cutting the legs in many markets.
  10. KP1025
    I think BATB beating F8 is locked. BATB is headed to around $1.25 billion assuming around $100 million from Japan (very likely given its performance so far), while F8 is looking to settle around $1.2 billion. Beating Frozen will be the more interesting one to watch over the next few months.
  11. KP1025
    According to members in the China forum, this won't be released in China (not sure if quota issue or something else). Along with not getting a release in Japan, Boss Baby is missing out a huge chunk of the Asian market.
  12. KP1025
    I always wonder why this wasn't fudged past $300 million.
  13. KP1025
    Corpse thinks it will do less than F7 and closer to F6. I think $20-25 million is a good estimate.
  14. KP1025
    It has good reviews in China but evidently still very frontloaded with weak legs. Dropped about 70% from last week. Tuesday and Wednesday grosses are estimated at $5 million and $4.64 million respectively.
  15. KP1025
    If Avatar 2 keeps the same market share as the original, it would make $1 billion alone in China by 2020. Unlikely but I don't want to say impossible either. A more reasonable prediction would probably be $600-700 million, as I don't see how it doesn't at least become the highest grossing film in China again. A few years ago, Cameron was in China discussing a possible co-production with Chinese studios. If this happens, will likely gain some additional benefits like better release date, screen retention, extended run.
  16. KP1025
    I think that is one of the reasons. Aside from Shin-Godzilla, no kaiju film (local or otherwise) has reached blockbuster status (5 billion yen) in recent memory. Corpse also mentioned that they don't particularly care for Western adaptations of Japan-inspired source material. Probably why Ghost in the Shell is bombing so hard in Japan and why I think Power Rangers is going to suffer the same fate.
  17. KP1025
    There are quite a few films that I expected to play well in Japan but ended up disappointing. You would think that being the birthplace of kaiju that films like Kong or Pacific Rim would be more popular.
  18. KP1025
    It really had an incredible performance in China. Avatar almost tripled the next highest grossing film in China at the time, and it was China's highest grossing film until 4 and a half years later (Transformers 4). Avatar alone was nearly 14% of China's total box office in 2010!
  19. KP1025
    It dropped about 58% from last weekend (currently rank #13), so probably around the $330-340K range. Its total is about $17 million now.
  20. KP1025
    According to @Olive, Power Rangers' OW in South Korea was $433,946.
  21. KP1025
    According to members in the China forum, it doesn't even have a date yet so probably no release (if it hasn't been scheduled by now, it likely won't be). Japan for sure won't get a release date like every other DWA film since Madagascar 3.
  22. KP1025
    I wonder if we'll see another Tangled in how long it takes Disney to drag over a milestone.
  23. KP1025
    Japan usually follows South Korea rather closely in terms of what breaks out or flops, so this is not a good sign.
  24. KP1025
    I think the Japan opening guarantees BatB will finish #2 WW over F8, which is looking at a ceiling around $1.2B right now.
  25. KP1025
    Are Conan films usually very frontloaded? After such a huge opening to make only 6-7 billion yen seems unusual for a leggy market like Japan. Agree about BatB too. I think it definitely has a shot at being the highest grossing live action Disney film.
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