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Jake Gittes

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Everything posted by Jake Gittes

  1. The Breadwinner Coco Lego Batman Loving Vincent and some other movie Man oh man was it dumb for Your Name to try and get a nom last year.
  2. Part A: 1. Will Emoji Open to more than $30M? 1000 No 2. Will Atomic Blonde Open to more than $30M? 2000 No 3. Will The Emoji MOvie make more than Atomic Blonde? 3000 Yes 4. Will Dunkirk stay above at least one of the two biggest new openers? 4000 Yes 5. Will the top 3 all make over $24M? 5000 No 6. Will Wonder Woman drop less than 35% 1000 Yes 7. Will Girl's Trip drop more than 47.5% 2000 No 8. Will Valerian Stay above Despicable Me 3? 3000 No 9. Will Baby Driver have a lower percentage drop than The Big SIck? 4000 Yes 10. Will Transformers drop more than 67.5%? 5000 No 11. Will Inconvenient Sequel have a PTA above $11,000? 1000 Yes 12. Will From the Land of the Moon have a PTA above $14,000? 2000 No 13. Will Apes have a PTA above $3,250? 3000 No 14. Will Underpants Randomly drop less than 10% yet again? 4000 No 15. What emoji will end up best describing the Emoji Movie? 5000 Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Emoji make for its 3 day OW? 23.553 2. What will Dunkirk's percentage drop for the weekend be? 44.6% 3. What will be the difference in PTA between Atomic Blonde and Emoji? $1,235 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Dunkirk 3. Atomic Blonde 5. Spider-Man: Homecoming 8. Valerian 10. Wonder Woman 13. Detroit
  3. If Coco is at least on the level of Brave (which shouldn't be hard) it'll win the Oscar unless some Spirited Away-level non-American film turns up. (The Breadwinner?) But that's doubtful.
  4. Responsibility in the sense that they create the finished movie and put their names on it. They may not be responsible for how people are going to react to the work, but they sure are for the work itself. (Unless it gets taken away from them, which didn't happen here.) And in this case, again, you don't have to "read" a message into the movie - it expresses a clear point of view, starting off as a complex tale about infidelity, and then abandoning the complexity and neatly dividing the characters into good guys and bad guys. It's not subversive or anything - it flatly tells the audience where its sympathies lie. And it isn't knowingly trashy fun - it keeps up a veneer of respectability no matter how dumb and hysterical it gets. It may be a movie for adults, but there's nothing adult about it, which is really what I was saying in my original response. It's a conservative movie that became a hit in a conservative era. Doesn't take a "moral guardian" to recognize this.
  5. Think Villeneuve would be too much like Mendes. They probably want him the most too if it's true. Demange and Mackenzie are the guys who could finally bring some sort of a different energy.
  6. The filmmakers ultimately have the single career woman turn out to be a one-dimensional murderous nutcase and a psycho, and to have the wife conveniently forgive her lying cheating husband for the sake of preserving the family unit. Look, I'm usually the first to roll out the "It's just a specific story about specific characters" argument, but not when the story is so obviously and ridiculously contrived. In this case, not all of the filmmakers may have intended or agreed with the end result - we know that the ending was heavily rewritten, and Glenn Close strongly fought against it - but what ends up onscreen is still their responsibility.
  7. "Make"? No one has to do anything with this one. It's all on the surface.
  8. No big loss that a drama/thriller about middle-aged adults *like this* hasn't been so huge since, given how idiotic and regressive this one is.
  9. At this point the question isn't whether it's gonna be big or not, but exactly how big it's gonna be. The budget should be low enough anyway for it to make it back many times over.
  10. Fences was one of the better nominees this year. Kinda overlooked in general. Among other things it's a much better play adaptation and a drama about the passage of time than Moonlight.
  11. It's weird to me, especially after the first trailer's success, that there's been so little movement (at least officially) on the second film. You'd think they would have cast and started shooting it by now to strike while the iron is hot. It's one big single story so it'd make sense to release them within about a year of each other rather than go for the usual 2-year sequel wait.
  12. Gravity and The Martian both premiered at festivals. Toronto shows basically everything anyway, so if a movie's good, premiering there would be nothing but good publicity.
  13. Well, the category is "Best Picture of the year", not "Best thing this director's ever done". I think very few people would disagree that The Departed was the best movie among the nominees that year. No Country also got really lucky that there was no typical safe "Oscar movie" competing with it, so they had no choice other than to give it to something so dark and ruthlessly unsentimental.
  14. Oh and I still want them to cast Elba in this one as a main villain who's both intelligent and can beat Bond up. At this point it's the only way to get him into a Bond movie and give him a chance to kick ass, so why not use it to full advantage.
  15. Others will appear by that time. With this set for 2019, the first post-Craig movie will probably come no sooner than 2022. And Craig himself didn't get his breakout Layer Cake role until two years before Casino Royale. In all likelihood the next Bond is slumming it in small parts somewhere right about now.
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