Jake Gittes

1 1 Boo! A Madea Halloween LGF $16,675,000 -41.5% 2,299 +39 $7,253 $52,019,343 $20 2 2 N Inferno Sony $15,000,000 - 3,576 - $4,195 $15,000,000 $75 1 3 2 Jack Reacher: Never Go Back Par. $9,550,000 -58.2% 3,780 - $2,526 $39,679,177 $60 2 4 4 The Accountant WB $8,475,000 -37.9% 3,402 +70 $2,491 $61,257,172 $44 3 5 3 Ouija: Origin of Evil Uni. $7,070,000 -49.7% 3,168 +1 $2,232 $24,638,625 $9 2 6 5 The Girl on the Train (2016) Uni. $4,270,000 -40.4% 2,758 -333 $1,548 $65,918,480 $45 4 7 6 Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children Fox $3,975,000 -32.6% 2,797 -336 $1,421 $79,879,180 $110 5 8 7 Keeping Up with the Joneses Fox $3,375,000 -38.2% 3,022 - $1,117 $10,779,313 - 2 9 9 Storks WB $2,785,000 -30.4% 1,901 -244 $1,465 $68,244,612 $70 6 10 N Ae Dil Hai Mushkil FIP $2,135,000 - 302 - $7,070 $2,135,000 - 1 11 10 Deepwater Horizon LG/S $2,100,000 -38.2% 2,054 -774 $1,022 $58,360,245 $110 5 12 8 Kevin Hart: What Now? Uni. $1,670,000 -59.4% 1,656 -911 $1,008 $21,898,555 $9.9 3 13 11 The Magnificent Seven (2016) Sony $1,325,000 -42.0% 1,330 -649 $996 $91,210,526 $90 6 14 12 Middle School: The Worst Years of My Life LGF $1,225,000 -43.8% 1,295 -477 $946 $18,450,071 $8.5 4 15 13 Sully WB $940,000 -36.9% 855 -317 $1,099 $122,357,965 $60 8 16 19 Moonlight (2016) A24 $900,826 +124.0% 36 +32 $25,023 $1,471,619 - 2 17 14 Denial BST $597,590 -37.4% 587 -61 $1,018 $2,981,270 - 5 18 16 The Birth of a Nation FoxS $545,000 -40.0% 404 -229 $1,349 $15,072,151 $8.5 4 19 15 I'm Not Ashamed PFR $440,000 -52.5% 516 +11 $853 $1,627,984 - 2 20 18 Desierto STX $300,000 -40.0% 168 - $1,786 $1,598,472 - 3 21 21 Queen of Katwe BV $281,000 -24.9% 238 -81 $1,181 $8,178,219 $15 6 22 32 Certain Women IFC $202,500 +45.0% 90 +49 $2,250 $486,275 - 3 23 27 Finding Dory BV $144,000 -35.0% 165 -18 $873 $485,690,436 - 20 24 47 Kubo and the Two Strings Focus $131,000 +87.5% 176 +74 $744 $47,603,334 $60 11

American Hustle opened to 19m and got to 150, and that's without winning BP. This could open to 13-14m and still make it there.

It doesn't have to in order to hit 100.

We still need to know what @James thinks about these numbers

Don't think that'll be much of an obstacle.

At this point I just hope it goes all the way and opens below Madea's second weekend.

I've been thinking of Manchester By The Sea as a more likely winner there, but I forgot about three actors playing the main dude in Moonlight (not to mention the acclaimed supporting performances). Could end up being between those two. Don't feel like La La Land is a serious contender for that one, people will get high on it but not that high.

BOM and Deadline both reported that it's going wide November 4. Given the numbers it's delivering right now it's definitely smarter not to wait. Then they can expand it again come Oscar noms anyway.

You never go full Doug Liman.

Mr. & Mrs. Smith is really the 21st century Contempt.

Cocaine's a helluva drug.

$30m DOM seems more likely than not at this point.

I picked the wrong week to start derbying.

Trolls isn't opening to Peanuts' 44m and DS isn't guaranteed to out-open Spectre. Add Hacksaw Ridge though and the three of them should combine for over 120.

7. Die Another Day $160.9M 16000 / 13000

All the Pusher films were very commercially and critically successful in Denmark.

You can only say Refn is a one hit wonder if you think Drive was his debut.

TOP 15 ETC PREDICTION TEMPLATE Below is a helpful template to use for making predictions. All Players who use this template for their predictions will receive 10,000 bonus points for making my life easier when I have to score everything at the end of the game. A: Domestic top 15: 1) Rogue One - $592m 2) Moana - $265m 3) Fantastic Beasts - $264m 4) The LEGO Batman Movie - $250m 5) Sing - $238m 6) Passengers - $216m 7) Doctor Strange - $195m 8) Arrival - $155m 9) La La Land - $139m 10) Hacksaw Ridge - $116m 11) Trolls - $107m 12) Fifty Shades Darker - $103m 13) Fences - $93m 14) Allied - $92m 15) Office Christmas Party - $91m B: Top 7 Domestic OW: 1) Rogue One - $154.5m 2) The LEGO Batman Movie - $111m 3) Fantastic Beasts - $92.5m 4) Doctor Strange - $67.2m 5) Moana - $67.1m 6) Fifty Shades Darker - $52.2m 7) Arrival - $45.3m C: Worldwide top 10: 1) Rogue One - $1.3b 2) Fantastic Beasts - $795m 3) Moana - $676m 4) Doctor Strange - $562m 5) Passengers - $490m 6) Sing - $475m 7) The LEGO Batman Movie - $376m 8) Arrival - $352m 9) Fifty Shades Darker - $339m 10) The Great Wall - $300m D: Total Grosses: Top 15 Dom) 2.929 billion Top 7 W/E) 590m Top 10 WW) 5.660 billion E: And the Winner Is…: 1) La La Land (x2) 2) Moana 3) Fences (x2) 4) Arrival 5) Hacksaw Ridge 6) Manchester By The Sea (x2) 7) Moonlight (x2) F: Assassin's Greed: 1) China 2) UK 3) Germany 4) France 5) Russia 6) South Korea Pre-season Questions: A: 100M Fifty Shades Darker B: 200M Doctor Strange C: 300M Moana D: 400M Moana E: 500M Rogue One Each correctly predicted film scores you 15,000 points, get all five correct and receive 25,000 bonus points for 100k total. (This is the only preseason question where there is no penalty for being wrong so enjoy it). 1) Tell me which of these will be the highest grossing film of the winter domestically: 1) Dr. Strange 2) Fantastic Beasts 3) Moana 265m 4) Assassin’s Creed Answer correctly: 12,000 points Answer incorrectly: -5,000 points State that you abstain: 2,000 points Correctly predict the films gross to within 20M and receive a 13,000 point bonus, Predict to within 10M and receive 23,000 points bonus. 2) Tell me which of these will be the lowest grossing film of the winter domestically: 1) Rings 34m 2) Ouija 2 3) Split 4) Resident Evil Answer correctly: 12,000 points Answer incorrectly: -5,000 points State that you abstain: 2,000 points Correctly predict the films gross to within 10M and receive a 13,000 point bonus, Predict to within 5M and receive 23,000 points bonus 3) Will at least 3 films make more than 250M domestically by the end of the game? Yes Answer correctly: 15,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points State that you abstain: 3,000 points 4) Will animated films combine to make more than 700M domestically by the end of the game? Yes Answer correctly: 15,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points State that you abstain: 3,000 points 5) Will at least 3 films make more than 80M OW domestic? Yes Answer correctly: 15,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 6) Will any film with a title containing any of the words Christmas, Santa or Halloween make more than $75M domestic? Yes Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 12,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 7) Will at least 3 of the top 5 domestic films of the winter be non-sequels set in existing film universes (e.g Marvel, Potter and Star Wars)? Yes Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 12,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 8) Will any film from the Ouija, Friday 13th, Ring, Underworld or Resident Evil franchise become the highest grossing film in its respective franchise? No Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 9) Typically on Valentine’s Day (excluding 2016 thanks to Deadpool….) a Romance, Romantic Comedy or Drama has lead chart on Valentine’s Day. Will a Romance, Romantic Comedy or a Drama (as per BOM) be the #1 film on 14th February 2017 (Valentine’s Day)? Yes Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 10) Will any film have an Opening weekend below $10M for have a final gross above $125M by the end of the game? Yes Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 11) Will the Great Wall make over $100M in China? Yes Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 12) Will any film not owned by the greater Disney conglomerate make more than $800M Worldwide? No Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 13)Animated films have had a stellar year. But can it continue… Will an animated film land (domestic gross) in the top 3 films for the game? Yes Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 14)Will Paramount have 3 or more films in the Domestic top 15 list by the end of the game? Yes Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 15)Will any film in the top 15 Domestic have a multiplier below 2.4? Yes Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 16) Will Fifty Shades Darker’s drop from its predecessor be higher than Rogue One’s drop from Force Awakens? Yes Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 17)Thor 2 opened on the same Weekend back in 2011 to 85m. Will Dr. Strange’s opening weekend be larger than Thor (85.1m)? No Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 18)Similar to Tangled, Moana faces a Potter Universe film in its second weekend amongst other competition. Can Moana do what neither Tangled or for that matter, Frozen managed on opening weekend and open to the top spot over thanksgiving (3 day results)? Yes Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 19) Will the same film finish top of both the domestic and Worldwide gross charts? Yes Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 20) Will any film on the Worldwide top 10 list fail to make the domestic top 15? Yes Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 21)Will at least 2 films in the top 15 win Oscars? Yes Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 22)Will Universal have the second highest grossing animated movie domestically of the Winter Game? No Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 23) Will XXX gross more domestically than Riddick ($42M)? No Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 24) Will films starring the cast from Xmen Apocalypse combine to gross more than $275M domestic (Cameos not included)? Yes Answer correctly: 35,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 25) Will any of the top 5 grossing horror films have a second weekend drop below 52.5%? Yes Answer correctly: 35,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 26)We don’t have a worldwide weekend chart this game, however, I thought it would be fun to have a question here. Take the top 5 Domestic Weekends and top 5 international weekends (remember a film can only appear once on each list) and merge the charts into a single chart (this may mean we have a domestic weekend and international weekend for a movie which is ok). Which Chart (Domestic or International Weekends) has more in the top 5 films of the combined chart? Domestic Answer correctly: 40,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 27) Which combination of films will gross the most amount of money domestically during the game? 1) Rogue One, Hacksaw Ridge, Dark Tower, Edge of Seventeen 2) Fantastic Beasts, Arrival, Why Him?, John Wick 2 3) Moana, Sing, Trolls. Rock Dog 4) Dr. Strange, Asassin’s Creed, Inferno, Allied Answer correctly: 40,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 28)Which combination of films will gross the least amount of money domestically during the game? 1) Boo! Madea Halloween, Almost Christmas, Office Christmas, Bad Santa 2 2) Ouija 2, Rings, Underworld, Bye Bye Man 3) Jack Reacher 2, Shut In, Space Between Us, The Lake 4) Billy Lynn’s Halftime Walk, Lion, The Founder, Sleepless Answer correctly: 40,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 29)Which of the following release dates will have the highest combined 3 day weekend gross for new releases on that date? * 1) November 25th (Wednesday releases only count the 3day totals still) 2) December 16th 3) December 23rd (Wednesday releases only count the 3day totals still) 4) February 10th Answer correctly: 40,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 30,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 30) Which of the following release dates will have the lowest combined 3 day weekend gross for new releases on that date? * 1) October 28th 2) December 2nd 3) January 13th 4) February 24th Answer correctly: 40,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 30,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points And Finally… The Jajang Jajang something something questions: 1. Rogue One’s Theatre Count (Opening Weekend) vs Fantastic Beasts Theatre Count (Opening Weekend)? Lower 2. Rogue One’s Opening Day vs Fantastic Beasts Opening Weekend? Lower 3. Rogue One’s Second Weekend vs Fantastic Beasts Opening Weekend? Lower 4. Rogue One’s Second Weekend Drop (%) vs Fantastic Beasts Second Weekend Drop (%)? Higher 5. Rogue One’s first 10 days Gross vs Fantastic Beasts Gross (Total for Game)? Lower 6. Fantastic Beasts highest International Weekend (excludes domestic) vs Rogue One highest International Weekend (excludes domestic)? Lower 7. Fantastic Beasts UK Total vs Rogue One’s UK Total? (in USD please) Lower 8. Fantastic Beasts Australian Total vs Rogue One’s Australian Total? (in USD please) Lower Simple Yes/No Answers: 9. Will Rogue One’s opening weekend be the biggest of 2016? No 10. Will Rogue One make enough (Gross Total) to pass the 3rd biggest film Domestically of ALL TIME (unadjusted)? No 11. Will Rogue One be the biggest film of the Star Wars Universe that still has Anakin Skywalker alive in it? Yes 12. Will both Rogue One and Fantastic Beasts both make the top 10 films of 2016 (ALL 2016 films as per BOM)? No 13. Both the Rogue One Weekend and Fantastic Beasts Weekend have other films opening on the same weekend as these blockbusters. Will the Rogue One Weekend have the highest opening weekend that isn’t Rogue One or Fantastic Beasts? No 14. Will Fantastic Beasts become the lowest opening weekend for a film in the Harry Potter Universe? No 15. Will Fantastic Beasts open amongst the top 8 films of 2016 (including all films to date and any remaining films in 2016)? No 16. Will Rogue One still be in the top 10 on the final weekend of the Game? No A few final questions to really test the thinking….. 17. Which film (Rogue One or Fantastic Beasts) will hold onto the # 1 Daily Rank for the longest? RO 18. In What position will Fantastic Beasts be in (in the Weekend Chart), the weekend Rogue One opens (you have a cushion of 1 position)? 6 19. How many characters will appear in Rogue One that are considered to be main characters or were introduced in the main Franchise films (I will give you a cushion of 1 character)? 3 20. Which film (Rogue One or Fantastic Beasts) will have more # 1 films in various countries around the world (including Domestic) (this is as reported by BOM (Domestic and International))? RO a. As a bonus tell me how many countries have your selected film as number 1 (there is no cushion and if you get it wrong you don’t lose anything as it is a bonus). (also you must get Q20 correct to be able receive a score for part a.)

Except for The Last Temptation of Christ.

Can't have too many people singing the praises of that movie

Arrival The BFG Jackie La La Land Nocturnal Animals Could see any of the last three winning.

Davis and Adams here looks like another healthy dose of category fraud.

"Oh yeah. There's our Oscars"

1 N Boo! A Madea Halloween LGF $28,501,448 - 2,260 - $12,611 $28,501,448 $20 1 2 N Jack Reacher: Never Go Back Par. $22,872,490 - 3,780 - $6,051 $22,872,490 $60 1 3 N Ouija: Origin of Evil Uni. $14,065,500 - 3,167 - $4,441 $14,065,500 $9 1 4 1 The Accountant WB $13,643,132 -44.8% 3,332 - $4,095 $47,538,513 $44 2 5 2 The Girl on the Train (2016) Uni. $7,166,015 -41.5% 3,091 -150 $2,318 $58,798,345 $45 3 6 4 Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children Fox $5,894,943 -34.2% 3,133 -702 $1,882 $74,326,778 $110 4 7 N Keeping Up with the Joneses Fox $5,461,475 - 3,022 - $1,807 $5,461,475 - 1 8 3 Kevin Hart: What Now? Uni. $4,118,255 -65.0% 2,567 - $1,604 $18,949,900 $9.9 2 9 6 Storks WB $4,003,270 -29.6% 2,145 -921 $1,866 $64,632,798 $70 5 10 5 Deepwater Horizon LG/S $3,399,466 -46.9% 2,828 -575 $1,202 $55,045,137 $110 4 11 7 The Magnificent Seven (2016) Sony $2,285,095 -56.4% 1,979 -1,231 $1,155 $89,028,462 $90 5 12 8 Middle School: The Worst Years of My Life LGF $2,178,487 -49.9% 1,772 -1,050 $1,229 $16,888,414 $8.5 3 13 9 Sully WB $1,490,479 -48.3% 1,172 -1,039 $1,272 $120,854,369 $60 7 14 20 Denial BST $954,159 +126.9% 648 +552 $1,472 $1,971,470 - 4 15 N I'm Not Ashamed PFR $927,161 - 505 - $1,836 $927,161 - 1 16 10 The Birth of a Nation FoxS $907,974 -67.0% 633 -1,472 $1,434 $14,173,155 $8.5 3 17 11 Max Steel ORF $680,104 -68.8% 2,034 - $334 $3,431,161 - 2 18 18 Desierto STX $499,743 -2.8% 168 +95 $2,975 $1,145,083 - 2 19 N Moonlight (2016) A24 $402,075 - 4 - $100,519 $402,075 - 1 20 15 Suicide Squad WB $385,211 -46.2% 383 -247 $1,006 $324,271,174 $175 12 21 14 Queen of Katwe BV $374,379 -57.3% 319 -743 $1,174 $7,748,974 $15 5 22 24 The Secret Life of Pets Uni. $297,805 +10.2% 275 -1 $1,083 $366,180,935 $75 16 23 12 Masterminds (2016) Rela. $291,715 -82.7% 520 -1,507 $561 $17,069,540 - 4 24 25 A Man Called Ove MBox $258,275 +28.5% 97 +18 $2,663 $797,995 - 4 25 16 Priceless (2016) RAtt. $257,018 -63.6% 294 -9 $874 $1,158,077 - 2 26 23 Finding Dory BV $221,459 -18.6% 183 -6 $1,210 $485,485,861 - 19 27 17 Don't Breathe SGem $178,947 -73.6% 257 -355 $696 $88,577,905 $9.9 9 28 22 Snowden ORF $169,546 -44.9% 156 -187 $1,087 $21,204,796 $40 6 29 21 Bridget Jones's Baby Uni. $153,710 -57.2% 172 -218 $894 $23,928,850 $35 6 30 N American Pastoral LGF $149,038 - 50 - $2,981 $149,038 - 1