Jake Gittes

I think it follows TS3 and does $44-45m.

1) What film finishes number 3? 3000 The Heat 2) Will WHD open to more than 38.5 mill? 2000 Yes 3) Will The Heat open to more than 42.5 mill 2000 No 4) Will Monster's University have BOTH a Friday increase of more than 35% and a Saturday increase of more than 30%? No 5) Will WWZ fall less than 55.5%? Yes 6) Will MOS decrease more than 50%? No 7) Will any film in the top 12 have a Friday increase of more than 52.5%? Yes 8) Will NYSM fall more than 30%? No 9) Will TITE have a Saturday increase of more than 20%? Yes 10) Will either WHD or Heat increase by more than 2.9% on Saturday? No 11) Will WWZ and NYSM combine to make more than MOS, The Purge, TITE and FF6? Yes 12) Will The Heat get at least an A- Cinemascore? No 10/12 3000 11/12 5000 12/12 7000 Bonus 1: What will the top 10 cume be for the weekend? 4000 $201.078m Bonus 2: What will The Heat and WHD combine to gross? 4000 $82.177m Bonus 3: If you add up the % drops of WWZ and NYSM, what do they add up to? 5000 79.840% Bonus 4: What finishes in spots: 6 This Is the End 7 Now You See Me 10 The Internship 13 Iron Man 3 14 Before Midnight INDIVIDUALS Will STID have the best Saturday increase in the top 12? Yes Will MOS decrease more than 6% on Thursday? No Will Iron Man III fall more than 40%? Yes

31 38 Pain and Gain Paramount 26 -24 -48.0% 10 Don't you FUCKING DARE do this Paramount

I post late 'cause I wait for the theater counts

It's a fucking miracle that I managed to hold on in the top 20 after only scoring 10k this week

MU: Yes

Not sure if trolling...

I wouldn't say I disliked Amour, but in my view it's one of the more overpraised films I've seen in recent years.

Yeah, this. It's now only $68k away from $49.4m, if it expands in one of the next two weekends a lot of people here are fucked. Or, if Paramount just pulls it out of theaters right now, I'm fucked... but what the hell, I'll take my chances.

I think the score is absolutely great. Listened to it numerous times. Doesn't make the rest of the movie any less horrible. I can think of other, less extreme examples when I thought a film's score was much, much better than the movie itself - like Tron Legacy, The Book of Eli, The Phantom Menace, Attack of the Clones, Dead Man's Chest, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, 1492: Conquest of Paradise (one of my top 10, if not top 5 favorite film scores, yet the movie is a misfire in nearly all other ways). So yeah I definitely disagree that it's a great score that makes a movie great.

Does The Last Airbender qualify in your eyes?

The closest I've come to this was probably with Irreversible, but even in that case, three years after my first viewing I'm starting to feel like watching it again. Nearly all of my other favorite films I wanted to see again immediately after the first viewing.

At least WOM seems to be keeping Before Midnight afloat. $10m is not totally dead yet.

DM2 is in August

I always thought the big final scene of TDK was kinda underrated. Eckhart's monologue there is fantastic.

... yeah.

They usually aren't, and even this time I still think expecting over $10m was fairly reasonable. MOS just seriously underperformed. Or maybe I'm just biased in favor of that site, since I actually write for it. Including the weekly US box office reports.

Scott Pilgrim would be one of the highlights in any year.

1) Will the first place film make at least 10 mill more than the second place film? Yes 2) Will MU open to more than 65 mill? Yes 3) Will WWZ open to less than 50 mill? Yes 4) Will MOS drop less than 55%? Yes 5) Will MOS's Saturday drop less than 45% from last Saturday? Yes 6) Will WWZ make more than 2 mill at midnights/sneaks? Yes 7) Will any film in the top 12 besides Bling Ring have a Friday increase of more than 105%? No 8) Will Bling Ring make more than 3.5 mill? No 9) Will MU fall less than 5% on Sat? No 10) Will WWZ drop more than 25% Sunday? Yes 11) Will NYSM fall less than 38%? Yes 12) Will TITE have a Friday increase of more than 65%? No 13) Will WWZ and MU combine to make more than 100 mill? Yes 14) What film finishes in first? Monsters University What finishes in spots 2 Man of Steel 3 World War Z 7 The Purge 8 Star Trek Into Darkness 9 Epic Bonus 2: Whats the combine gross of MOS and TITE? $67.308m Bonus 3: What % does MOS drop? 3 decimal spots plz. 52.398%

Finally just saw it. Had a gigantic smile on my face nearly all the way through. A wonder of a movie.

I think MOS will be close to or even over $10m, or at least hit TDKR OW numbers. I mean, it's a superhero 3D tentpole playing on 1700 screens. If it has a PTA less than $5k that'll be absolutely embarrassing.

Francis Ford Coppola directed some softcore porn back in early 60s as well

Don't see how that decreases his chances. To the contrary, if his work is as good as the buzz from Cannes suggests, it'll only contribute to the buzz and make people pay more attention to him. He might not be a deaf actor (like Marlee Matlin who won in 1987), or play a mute character (like Samantha Morton, nominated in 2000) or be acting in a silent movie (like Dujardin), but I still think his apparent ability to impressively pull off a 90-minute near-silent one-man act could only be an advantage. Plus he's a certified, widely beloved and respected Hollywood legend who hasn't won yet, I bet the Academy would jump at the chance to reward him. The only thing that's holding me back from thinking of him as the top contender at this point is that the movie is gonna be distributed by Roadside Attractions, who's had some success getting films nominated before (Winter's Bone, Margin Call), but who knows how well they'll sell All Is Lost. If Fox Searchlight, Focus or SPC was behind Redford, I'd go for him over Di Caprio right now.

AE is the only one I'm not certain about (yet). I just have this nagging feeling that Sony is going to fudge it with some WHD money, which might put it just a bit over $62m by July 8. At least we'll be able to see how hard it falls this coming weekend before the deadline.

That's the spirit.