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The Fast and the Furiosa

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Everything posted by The Fast and the Furiosa

  1. 37-40 mil Friday with previews looks dead on looking at that Fandango data. Maybe we can cut the middle man in deadline soon enough
  2. Yeah ive been looking at this chart http://www.boxofficereport.com/previewgrosses.html. Hard to be uber frontloaded in the teen preview range. Mockingjay2 was the most frontloaded at 6.4ish. Solo has a inflated Sunday to work with at the very least
  3. Yes, but we know that the % of online sales vs actual gross goes down the longer you stay in the theater. So it’s not 100% comparable
  4. It has happened on this weekend before (albeit, with smaller openings like A:C and Fury Road). 20-25% drop wouldn’t surprise me, but it has been on the weaker side of the jumps so far
  5. Rough luck based on opponents lol
  6. MT is good for tracking trends, but shouldn’t be taken as an absolute at face value
  7. That would redefine how we think of these megaopeners since nothing has even gotten passed 70 mil Sat (adjusting for inflation is wonky because of 3D share differences). Would love to see it happen and would happily be wrong if it’s the case. Historical precedence as of now is, your FSS is capped at maybe 200 mil and the previews make up the rest
  8. Yes, but there is a difference between TFA/BP/JW and the rest on that list, having kids out of school the following Monday. A Sunday like TA is what I have if Saturday is around 70 mil
  9. Hmm not as certain on this. You can make an argument for a slightly better True Friday and Saturday, but it’s gonna lag behind Sunday as well as whatever the difference in preview money is. 235 mil is a great target for this
  10. Previews: $38,100,027 Friday: $61,000,027 Saturday: $70,020,027 Sunday: $57,250,027 Opening weekend: $226,370,108
  11. I’m surprised too. I don’t live near them, but the prices are hard to beat for a double feature
  12. Isle of dogs has been underwhelming for sure, but we have some really good holds for the old releases. The calm before the storm. Troopers I thought could crack double digits for the weekend, but more like 11 mil and not 15! When in doubt, I'm putting comedies around 17 million and calling it a day. Traffik, geez idk what I had it at before the preview. Around 3 mil I suppose.
  13. A decent amount of the remainder is drive ins, which not all of them open until May. That’s why the highest theater counts are usually in the thick of summer. As far as why films don’t break DM3’s theater count record? Small 1-2 screen theaters in small towns don’t care about the big action tentpole films. Films for younger play much better in those areas while the megaopeners we come to know would be in a multiplex in a different town
  14. I’m hesitant to call Rampage a pure family film. The age breakdown on Pacific Rim Uprising was much closer to that (55/45)
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