The Fast and the Furiosa
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Everything posted by The Fast and the Furiosa
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Wouldn’t it be better to comp to the preview number to tonight’s sales? The difference in internal multiplier during the weekend will come from walkups, but not necessarily tonight
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Wednesday Numbers | 06/21/2018
The Fast and the Furiosa replied to oMeriMombatti's topic in Numbers and Data
I’d argue Jurassic World simply because it’s a main installment potentially dropping >50%, at least domestically. Solo is the bigger bomb, but at least they still have Episode 9. Where do you go from here if you’re Universal? -
I like this one, but I was wondering if you guys had the one I posted. Paints an interesting picture in where those presales are broken down on the weekend
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There are a lot if you go digging, let’s try this one. http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/fandango_report.txt Talk about no context, I’ll list comps soon Jurassic Thurs - Currently 29757 All below are final: Title - Fandango Number - Fandango Multiplier Pacific Rim - 12004 - 195.77 Ready Player One (Wed) - 23711 - 158.15 A Quiet Place - 19822 - 216.93 Avengers - 205794 - 189.51 Deadpool 2 - 89599 - 207.59 Solo - 67148 - 209.98 Ocean’s 8 - 15977 - 244.10 Incredibles 2 - 64617 - 286.30
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Has anyone posted the daily breakdown link for those Fandango sales?
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Jurassic World 2 Incredibles 2 ocean’s 8 Tag Solo Deadpool 2 Superfly Hereditary Avengers Adrift
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This I agree with, but not nearly as drastic as say, Incredibles 2. Multiplier will be in between DP2 and I2 for sure, not exactly helpful as that’s a large range
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Yeah that is very typical
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Starting off like 0-3 lit a fire under me
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Don’t have an exact number for Sunday night, but it’s probably running at around 70% of I2’s presales for Thursday/Friday
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At least Disney’s “fudgery” can be explained by either expansions or Drive ins. Can’t say that about Spectre/Passengers
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Father’s Day Sunday isn’t the problem, it’s true Friday. Dory did 4.93x the previews for True Friday. With 16 mil previews, can’t see how it tops Infinity war’s equivalent (would be well over 64 mil). Can’t really use conventional multipliers when you break new territory
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Solid range based on some numbers I’m looking at
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How does it compare in terms of # of shows? 4 seems pretty impressive for the numbers it got
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THE Incredibles 2 | June 15, 2018 | NO SPOILERS!!!!
The Fast and the Furiosa replied to Neo's topic in Box Office Discussion
I think a movie with talking sea creatures had a “little” more kid appeal than the Incredibles did. -
Someone has actually gone through and done this. Not my info to give though. Let’s just say I’d be surprised at anything more than a tiny bump in boost since it’s very spread out over several titles
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Should be @mathemetrics
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Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby
The Fast and the Furiosa replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
Sure, but it’s not gonna drop 55% either. Civil War didn’t even drop that badly -
Damn these actuals
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The chances of an underestimated Sunday from Disney are pretty high. I think it gets there
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It’s only one site though. The-Numbers didn’t do it and neither did pro.boxoffice
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To play devil’s advocate, it does have to deal with the most frontloading Thursday preview wise than any of the other Memorial Day openers. The drop with no competition is worrisome, but can at least partially be attributed to that.
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I’m the opposite on this one. Gotten a lot of noise in the college sector at the very least
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I believe there are only 3 films in the 10-20 mil preview range with a sub 7x OW multiplier (mostly due to low Friday’s) Mockingjay 2 Hobbit 1 Deadpool 2 So a 6x (84.6 mil 3 day) would set a low by a wide margin. Closer to 7 than 6 I say
