Barnack

Which, the new 18.9M predicted one ? yes, around what I would have made (a bit worst legs than JW2 was the most likely scenario imo). I was talking about that article before 1:00 PM: https://deadline.com/2020/02/sonic-the-hedgehog-birds-of-prey-will-ferrell-downhill-valentines-day-box-office-1202860119/ Birds of Prey ends the week with $42.1M at 4,236 locations. The Harley Quinn movie’s second four-day weekend is expected to be around $23M-$25M, off 25%-30% from the pic’s three-day total. That was quite optimistic from deadline, the second update. 2nd Update: Warner Bros. Birds of Prey will take 2nd place with a 4-day of $18.9M in weekend 2, 3-day of $15.3M (-54%) off a 2nd Friday of $5.9M. 11-day total is heading toward $61M. Seem to have been made more seriously using sales data or something, that quite the drop in just a couple of hours difference.

Deadline are expecting the 4 days weekend drop to be between 25% and 30%, that sound extraordinary good, John Wick 2 a movie with a multiplier over 3.0x had a 37.6% drop. Could make sense, maybe BOP is much younger audience than the usual R affair and will not play weekdays heavy. That much more what the precedent and the weekdays numbers point at, I am really not sure where their previous idea of $23M came from, but it was way too optimistic and will make those numbers look worst than they are.

Well considering I never put a bet on anything in my life, I really not know, not sure if I would have created an account and took the time for 100:1 (even the 10:1 I was probably underestimating it)

To who ? Because it really does not, imo. One of the most surprising turn of event for me, really blindsided by it, I would have needed a 10:1 line to bet a Sonic above BoP domestic I think.

Going for a large number and pushing those that work seem part of their DNA and success story, specially in the context that you give the filmmaker a lot of responsibility/freedom, I imagine you can pump a lot of them a year.

Not sure what is the distinction, it is available on multiple VOD like Amazon as well, not like the usual Netflix title: https://www.amazon.com/Creep-2-Mark-Duplass/dp/B076MMQDYV?tag=decider08-20?tag=decider08-20 But you get the large point, the % of Blum production that actually work at the box office isn't necessarily higher, they just cost less when they fail (and can get very high when they work) Did: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keeping_Hours Made is cost back ? Those ? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Don't_Let_Go_(2019_film) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curve_(film) Maybe.

I feel it exist an non-hypocritical position against the worst animal exploitation without being vegans, (much easier than being against hunting but no problem with all the meat you can find in a grocery store). But yes the nature of the animal, tend to create quite the different reaction (for an example think a lot of people emotional reaction to fur coat while having no feeling at all if they see leather vest or shoes), at least in Okja we are talking of animals with very different emotional level, subbising very different life. unlike a cow and the average fur animal that are in the same ballpark.

By at least 2 factor: 1) Total quality of life of the being if compared 2) We can reasonably assume the level of emotional development of the being suffering being by many scale less evil (like we would consider less evil making suffering an accarian or a mosquito than a human or monkey) Has a bonus_ Not necessary relevant to the movie, but in general, the ecological impact by how efficient the food chain is if you compare both scenario is also by level of magnitude better.

Would be a record but not by much (so possible)

Not sure how much it is either true or the strength of is model, he test the movies and many of them are not released, because he know that it is not the case (and make it's track record look way better than it is), the low budget make it easier (arguably possible even) to act like that. A good percentage of Blumhouse production (including horror one) made $0 at the box office: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Blumhouse_Productions_projects#Released_films We just do not remember Blum Creep 2 even with the Duplass names involved: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Creep_2 Ended up a VOD release. Blumhouse produced 79 feature film since 2007, of those: 22 made less than 1 million at the box office (27.8%, that would not be the case if people could easily be convinced to see anything horror) 19 made between 1M to 20 million (24%) With about 48% working well and making above 20M at the world BO, not that different that other non-Disney studio track record. (53to 56% of Sony Classic release turned a profit if a remember correctly), is hit. The fact is failure are so small that we never heard of them for almost all of them make the model look way more robust/good than it is in reality.

Some market have them (france, germany, korea) https://www.blu-ray.com/movies/Parasite-4K-Blu-ray/246518/ Probably more chance that universal will do it than Criterion (which existence for title like that make very little sense to me, what the point of doing a criterion release of Parasite, why is universal not letting Hoo put that content on their release, maybe it was because they wanted that very early release)

Tracking firm call/reach online movie goers every 3 days or so and sell that pooling information to people. you can read a bit about it: https://slate.com/culture/2005/07/the-secretive-research-group-that-helps-run-the-movie-business.html A studio will receive something that will historically look like this For example the 27 april 2014 the tracking for the upcoming Godzilla movie (may 16 release) looked like this: Godzilla(05/16/2014) cat: TT : M- : M+ : F- : F+UA : 09 : 11 : 10 : 07 : 06TA : 83 : 87 : 93 : 74 : 81Def: 49 : 60 : 55 : 37 : 40FC : 14 : 19 : 20 : 08 : 10 Category being unaided awareness (does the polled person on the phone knew about that movie coming up when asked about movie coming up) Total awareness (when asked did you heard a Godzilla movie is coming up) Definite interest First choice (if they go see an upcoming movie, that would be their first pick) TT: % of people m-: % Among male under 25 etc.... Studio have a bank a comparable they build (same genre, release pattern, pg-13/r-rated and so on) from those they build model that give them a OW range from the metric above, that can look like Original Sci-Fi R-rated: 3M+12.5xUnaided awareness+5.5xFirst Choice Family movie PG: 4.5M + 17MxTotal Awareness There is a lot of room on what you put as comparable in the model you construct and many movie will be multigenre, so sometime you will see different prediction from the same tracking raw value, will Deadpool play like R rated action, usual SH, a date movie for St-Valentine weekend, R-rated Seth Rogan type comedy...... Every upcoming movie are including in the tracking (and all studio see all the tracking and I imagine trade magazine/movie chain that are interested in buying them) but sometime studio will pay for a special command from time to time, say an event super heroes releasing in a very long time but that people already know about, they can start tracking every month 1 year's in advance. Now they also track social index and other more modern affair as well: https://deadline.com/2015/10/psb-research-in-talks-to-acquire-nrg-nielsen-1201562190/

-53% on a holiday weekend do sound harsh, since 2013 movies in reach of a the top 5 with a -45% or worst drop that weekend: Jupiter Ascending: -49.6% 50 shades darker: -56.5 John Wick 2: -46.7% 50 shades freed: -55% Cold Pursuit: -45.8% Outside the 50 Shades, strong sunday make it really hard for that to happen, but looking at JW 2 -47% with 2.2M previews that started at 7 PM. If we compare those 2 (both r-rated) JW2 FSS 1 weekend: 28.236M 2 weekend: 16.216M %drop: 42.5% A similar drop for BOP 1 weekend: 29.01M 2 weekend: 16.68M That 1 million above box office pro if it achieve the exact same FSS-FSS drop of JW2, a movie with excellent leg, but that could a challenge considering both movies daily drop has of now days: JW2 / Prey Sunday.: -29.3% / -35.6% Monday.: -66.9% / -72.5% Tuesday: +78.2% / +56.5% In absolute Sunday.: $8.06M / $7.81M (97%) Monday.: $2.67M / $2.16M (81%) Tuesday: $4.76M / $3.38M (71%) BOP Made 86.5% of JW2 the last 3 days, that could be a $14M weekend if their weekend follow that, a in-between between pessimistic/optimistic scenario give you $15.3M.

Even if the books finally end during the early 2020s ?

And many of those are quite old already....

I feel a lot of it will be Lord of the rings, Marvel, DC, Star Wars again, will see for Avatar-Potter-Games of Thrones

For the foreign film that get in (and the people making them) it must be almost always quite the big deal.

Will see how much it legs out (despite being out on bluray I think ?), could calm down the Oscar are irrelevant talk (or the logic that if the movie that win is small that make the award irrelevant, instead of being the best way for them to have actual relevance)

Outside Fast 9 what could beat it, Mulan, Wonder Woman, Minions, Venom 2 ? Would it not be of the Fast 9 trailer reaction, it would be a quasi favorite to do so.

Dark Knight extend the capacity and explore a little bit how different would use it (and if the audience, i.e. the population would agree with it). But it does not take that much place in the movie (versus how much place a movie like Her give to the Sci-fi) or necessarily go that interesting on it. Seem to be clearly a what if the french socialist revolution set in modern day Gotham no ?

Outside being they flirt a lot on the genre if not fully embracing it, Dark Knight for example exploring what people thinking of themselves as good will be tempted to do with the will come soon global spying on citizen capability. http://web.isanet.org/Web/Conferences/ISSS Austin 2014/Archive/a0c45e32-283d-4c38-80f2-b1b43a13be9e.pdf Dark knight rises is the exploration of the socialist revolution (lot of sci-fi are what if social/political change). Punisher and Kick-Ass are 2 good one.

If it would have some level of plausibility, it is not like telekinesis could ever happen with an human brain, even with new skill. But are Star Wars Human even Homo Sapiens Sapiens to start with (That would make no sense...), it is set in a complete fantastic world in a fantastic time with about no link with our reality. But I am not sure that matter much, the importance is about exploring the theoretical consequence of something (that could be impossible or an metaphor of something possible without being possible by itself imo), Star wars isn't interested in that. That not what I remember, from what I remember those were particularly reactive to the force, like water molecule are when you microwave something, not the force. Midi-chlorians were intelligent microscopic life forms that lived symbiotically inside the cells of all living things. When present in sufficient numbers, they could allow their host to detect the pervasive energy field known as the Force.

And a lot of them are in the subgenre of the fantasy: Fantasy is a genre of speculative fiction set in a fictional universe Making the conversation quite absurd if we take the extreme large embralla of Sci-fi that would englobe all of them, the answer being obviously both in that case. I was using an more restrictive definition, the one the poster used that I quoted.

The made up worlds, the impossible ship doing impossible stuff , the sound in space, the little bear with small finger making complex tool, a lot of the fantasy isn't really usual paranormal. Fantasy is always paranormal no ? And I imagine could always go into some soft sci-fi category if we want too. Going with the actual creator opinion on something isn't spectacularly contrarian, space Opera-fantasy is a really common genre. I have no doubt, do most people would ever got interested in a is something space-opera fantasy or Sci-fi, read about the difference and form an opinion ?

They tend to be magic spaceships not an attempt of future technological possible spaceship too, it is not at all about imagining the consequence of a technological or social advancement/change, even in a metaphorical way imo. The presence of a robot do not make something sci-fi or not sci-fi automatically. If it does under your definition sure, that make it de facto sci-fi without any possible debate about it. But I am not sure the c'mon is necessary it is not like the debate isn't common with I think most people putting it in the fantasy than Sci-f category if they have the choose between the 2. https://www.google.com/search?q=is+star+wars+sci-fi&rlz=1C1CHBF_enCA733CA734&oq=is+star+wars+sci-fi&aqs=chrome..69i57j0l7.2823j0j1&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8 https://medium.com/media-cake/the-definitive-answer-to-is-star-wars-science-fiction-or-fantasy-97d0042f644c I’m going to answer the question of whether Star Wars is science fiction or fantasy definitively. Star Wars is a fantasy set in space. And that include some of the most important people opinion about it, George Lucas himself: https://www.esquire.com/entertainment/movies/a32507/george-lucas-sundance-quotes/ "Star Wars really isn't a science-fiction film, it's a fantasy film and a space opera."