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Tomorrow opens Robin Hood, Widows and Instant Family. Is a battle of which one will bomb harder!

Opening weeks for Disney-Pixar Animated releases (2010-present) Title (Month/Year): Opening Week | Total Admisson Incredibles 2 (6/2018): 351.187 | 1.832.467 Cars 3 (7/2017): 336.731 | 690.803 Toy Story 3 (6/2010): 275.046 | 1.417.316 Monsters University (6/2013) 265.100 | 1.368.981 Cars 2 (7/2011): 248.821 | 795.441 Zootopia (2/2016): 244.448 | 948.022 Brave (7/2012): 242.604 | 687.394 Frozen (1/2014): 236.341 | 933.330 Finding Dory (6/2016): 223.757 | 1.510.182 Moana (1/2017): 216.287 | 1.138.144 Big Hero 6 (12/2016) 211.081 | 968.015 Inside Out (6/2015): 193.572 | 1.578.130 Tangled (12/2010): 182.441 | 755.249 Coco (11/2015): 147.737 | 2.241.155 Good Dinosaur (11/2015): 140.298 | 716.587 Wreck it Ralph (12/2011): 134.939 | 598.977 In blue end-year releases. You see the pattern right? I don't know why Disney insist on releasing its animated movies here in November/December. They tend to have stronger legs than usual but this year December is packed. I expect Ralph 2 to open around Tangled.

Weekend Placement's, November 22st to 25th Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday 1 Bohemian Rhapsody Ralph Breaks the Internet Ralph Breaks the Internet Ralph Breaks the Internet 2 Ralph Breaks the Internet Bohemian Rhapsody Bohemian Rhapsody Bohemian Rhapsody 3 Fantastic Beasts 2 Fantastic Beasts 2 Fantastic Beasts 2 Fantastic Beasts 2 4 Smallfoot First Man First Man First Man 5 First Man Smallfoot Nutcracker Nutcracker As expected, Ralph 2 did win the weekend. However, early signs point that it will not be able to match the standard Disney Opening that is 200k+. It will improve significantly over Ralph 1, but that has the lowest opening of any Disney or Pixar animation. It's an Ant-man and the wasp-like situation when while it beat the first movie by a significant margin, it still ends underwhelming by the brand standards.

Week from November 15th to 21st. Admission Gross in CLP Change Total Admission Total Gross Week # 1 Bohemian Rhapsody 164.255 518 M -25% 505.251 2,300 B 3 2 FB: The Crimes of Grindelwald 162.236 698 M New 175.491 759 M 1 3 Smallfoot 23.587 61 M -16% 576.083 1,538 B 7 4 The Nutcracker 22.510 63 M -33% 116.401 371 M 3 5 Venom 11.732 34 M -59% 657.356 2,297 B 8 6 The Girl in the Spiderweb 9.614 29 M New 9.614 29 M 1 7 Life Itself 9.226 28 M New 9.226 28 M 1 8 Halloween 4.295 13 M -82% 206.674 660 M 5 9 Overlord 3.795 11 M -81% 24.150 72 M 2 10 Dry Martina 2.034 6 M New 2.034 6 M 1 While Fantastic Beasts won the weekend, BR had better weekdays and won overall in a photo finish. Not in gross though. Fantastic Beasts 2 beat FB1 by 23% counting previews and grossed $1,134M USD. Bohemian Rhapsody has crossed 3M USD and has plenty of steam left. Those two movies were the only ones doing significant numbers. Smallfoot had another nice hold but reaching 600k admissions is just a bridge too far. Nutcracker had it first not terrible drop and crossed 100k admissions. Every other holdover entered "end of run" stage with monstrous drops. New releases bar FB2 bombed and limited local movie Dry Martina was tenth.

Openers this weekend were led by Argentina ($321K/218 locations/No. 3) which came in bigger than Big Hero 6 (+25%) and Trolls (+57%). Portugal made $295K at 83 for No. 2 and in line with Coco. Turkey opened to $265K from 277; Romaniabowed to No. 1 with $218K from 80 to land 34% above Moana, 38% bigger than Coco and 168% over Sing. Don't know what DL is smoking for the Argentinian comps but sure is one hell of a drug. (Or they adjusted by ER which is the most idiotic thing you could do in Argentina). Anyway, the opening is lower than Smallfoot and Teen Titans, despite that the market was clearly screaming for animation. Brazil drop is awful and it will likely end up in the viticiny of Smallfoot (5-6M USD). Europe continues to open on par with Sing and holds seems strong. This movie is going to be totally euro-dependent because is totally bombing on Asia and LA. (with the possible exception of Mexico as Purple Minion has said, we'll see)

And Japan proper weekend is just 8M. So the real drop is more like 52%

Japan is more like +$14M. (8M for the proper weekend) So it almost did in 3 days what the first one did in 5. Impressive. But I don't think legs are going to be pretty

Until right now? France, Rusia, Japan. A lot of minors had bigger OW than FB1 but who knows how it is holding (until we see Deadline spin tomorrow I suppose). The problem is the legs going forward.

Twelfth hours ago was 2pm on Japan, maybe it was falling 44% at that time (There's a site that track admissions every 20 minutes on two thirds of the market). In the end it ended falling 31% from Friday at the usual locations.

Corpse: Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald has done very, very well today. It began the weekend in pre-sales about 13% ahead of its predecessor, but kept building on that number as the day progressed and has come in almost 30% higher. The film also opened on 1,009 screens this weekend, making it only the third film to ever open on 1,000+ screens. It's the second highest screen count ever (but first in seating & showtimes), behind only The Amazing Spider-Man (1,092) and ahead of Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (1,002).It seems very likely now to debut higher than the first film, even if it would experience an abnormal Sunday decrease; and honestly... while it's still a long shot, it does have a slight chance of hitting ¥1 billion over the weekend frame. And I do mean a long shot -- it'd have to increase or remain flat on Sunday, at the very least, and match/exceed the original's average ticket price. Still, I feel confident in saying a ¥900 million+ opening weekend is looking good.I'll have the Biggest Saturday Results list that I always post when a potential ¥1 billion+ opener debuts up a bit later when final numbers are in. I didn't really expect Grindelwald to come near this list, so it's a nice little surprise

Don't be silly, that would be over $100M less than Beauty and the Beast.

I don't know if I would read that much on it. Moana has a better score on Yahoo than Frozen and it did $200M less. Coco has even higher score than Moana and grossed less in Yen. Really there isn't much of a correlation. Likely will have worse legs than the first one but Yahoo isn't Maoyan

Placements Thursday 22nd : Ralph 2 opened second. Without knowing BR hold last week is hard to know if it is bad or "just good", but November has consistently delivered the worst openings from both WDA and Pixar. On top of that, from the showtimes that I checked yesterday, it must have barely defeated FB2 and that doesn't spell that good It will probably win the proper weekend (if it doesn't then it would be troubling) but the problem is that while November releases usually have strong legs (Good Dinosaur did 6,27x its OW) this year December is packed and have both Grinch and Spiderverse. Ralph is very unlikely to stay on theaters past New year that was something the Good Dinosaur was able to do. On other notes, is kinda ridiculous that Smallfoot (4th) held better against Ralph than Nutcracker (6th) considering it lost most of its screens to Ralph but that's just how this market works. However, the numbers must be very weak. And yes, that is First Man on 5th place, interestingly its release isn't limited but it isn't exactly wide either. In any case, not being able to defeat the 9th Thursday of an animated flick with fewer screens is pathetic.

I think they will. All that China money is too tempting to not to do it.

Top ten movies of 2018 so far. All movies exhibited through the year (Admissions) Avengers Infinity War: 2.334.956 The Incredibles 2: 1.832.467 Jurassic World Fallen Kingdom: 1.466.065 Hotel Transylvania 3: 1.333.710 Coco: 1.295.692 (2.241.155 total) The Nun: 1.042.883 Black Panther: 880.137 Jumanji: 776.288 (875.377 total) Ferdinand: 753.835 The Meg: 740.354 Only 2018 Releases. Avengers Infinity War: 2.334.956 The Incredibles 2: 1.832.467 Jurassic World Fallen Kingdom: 1.466.065 Hotel Transylvania 3: 1.333.710 The Nun: 1.042.883 Black Panther: 880.137 Ferdinand: 753.835 The Meg: 740.354 Venom 657.356* No Estoy Loca: 589.236** *Still on release **Local movie. For the rest of the year Bohemian Rhapsody and Ralph 2 are locked to enter the top ten. Besides those, Aquaman, Fantastic Beasts 2, Bumblebee, and Spiderverse all have a chance to enter the "2018 release date" list, though obviously not all will make it.

I'm curious about how Avatar 2 will do in Latin America. If you look at the numbers of Avatar 1 the latin american ones are easily the least impressive (It still did very good, but, like Ice Age/Maleficent range good). Besides the ER are so bad compared to 2010 that is not even funny (though they could improve, but who knows, doesn't look likely with the trade war) Luckily for Avatar Latin America was a tiny part of its gross (relatively speaking).

Weekend Placement's, November 15th to 18th Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday 1 Bohemian Rhapsody Fantastic Beasts 2 Fantastic Beasts 2 Fantastic Beasts 2 2 Fantastic Beasts 2 Bohemian Rhapsody Bohemian Rhapsody Bohemian Rhapsody 3 Smallfoot Smallfoot Smallfoot The Nutcracker 4 The Nutcracker The Nutcracker The Nutcracker Smallfoot 5 Venom Venom Venom Venom As expected, in the end Fantastic Beast was able to defeat Bohemian Rhapsody and is looking to a strong result. It was even able tu put FB1 on the top ten through double features! The rest was more of the same tough Smallfoot being (mostly) third on its 8th weekend is kinda impressive. Will be destroyed by Ralph but it had a good run regardless.

You clearly haven't spent much time on the International Boards, do you?

They already excluded it when doing the comparison.

The Grinch also flopped

That's only because in 2014-2015 all ER went to trash. ER now is hardly worse than say, 2016

Well, If people actually looked at the OS numbers instead of cherry picking the ones that suit its doomsday narrative (And even China isn't looking as bad as yesterday) they would realize that sub 700M is a joke unless it has BvS WOM

Week from November 8-14th Admission Gross in CLP Change Total Admission Total Gross Week # 1 Bohemian Rhapsody 218.918 735 M -21% 505.251 1,782 B 2 2 The Nutcracker 33.475 101 M -45% 93.891 308 M 2 3 Venom 28.784 85 M -55% 657.356 2,263 B 6 4 Smallfoot 27.952 78 M -46% 552.496 1,476 B 7 5 Halloween 23.959 72 M -59% 202.379 647 M 4 6 Overlord 20.355 61 M New 20.355 61 M 1 7 FB: The Crimes of Grindelwald* 13.255 61 M - 13.255 61 M - 8 Contra el Demonio 6.208 18 M -65% 51.474 153 M 3 9 The Siren 5.194 15 M -73% 25.134 77 M 2 10 Peppermint 4.758 14 M -53% 58.054 170 M 4 Great hold for Bohemian Rhapsody. It's unusual (though not unheard o) for non-family movies to post numbers like that. It has grossed around $2,6M USD. If it holds as well as in the rest of the world it could make a run for 1M admissions but it will be tough. Nutcracker hold could be worse, especially given that the weekend fell close to 60%, but is barely ahead of Smallfoot 7th week. BTW, now Smallfoot is the undisputable WBA champion, has grossed $2,16M USD. I think Chile is the eleventh largest market OS which is a huge overperformance. And as I said, Venom now starts its collapse, it won't reach 700k but it's not a bad result, not at all. FB2 two-day previews (one showing per screen each day) sold 13k tickets. Is really hard to compare but is good result nevertheless. Doing a very rough estimate based on BR previews, FB2 could open 26% higher than the first one. On its proper opening day it was second to Bohemian Rhapsody, but given the number that BR is doing, it could land second and still have a healthy increase. And maybe it can take the throne on Saturday on Sunday, given that HP fandom obviously skews younger than BR.

In Chile, it did 13,255 admissions on its two-day previews. The first one did 1,151 on previews but those were more limited. I honestly don't know what to compare it to, but if I apply the ratio of Bohemian Rhapsody previews, adjusting for the fact that it was two days, I get 170k admissions for opening week, which with previews included is a 26% improvement over FB1

Actuals on USD from last Weekend (November 8-11) TW Movie Studio Weekend Gross Change Screens Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week 1 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $834,876 -33.7% 201 +22 $4,154 $2,407,744 2 2 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms Disney $119,352 -58.0% n/a - n/a $422,434 2 3 Venom (2018) Sony $101,771 -60.8% 58 -10 $1,755 $3,311,666 6 5 Halloween (2018) UPI $83,726 -64.1% 64 +1 $1,308 $931,504 4 6 Overlord PPI $67,950 - 61 - $1,114 $80,974 1 Good hold for Bohemian Rhapsody coming from the holidays, everything else crashed and Overlord bombed. In other news, Fantastic Beast's limited previews were seventh on Wednesday. I've never seen previews reported on daily placement's before and is weird that it wasn't reported on Tuesday that had bigger previews (from what I can tell, following Chilean box office is very artisanal) In any case, FB1 OW was around 650K USD and given that BR has held well around the world it could open second and not be a terrible result but let's hope for a strong run that boost the overall box office (which accumulates a fairly anemical growth of 1,38%)