There’s good reason to suspect it would have underperformed in China imo, but even like 320 probably gets it over titanic and beyond that no real goalposts.
Didn’t really want to get into the China thing here which is often driven more by weird nationalistic emotions than facts, but since it’s been responded to — yeah, the actual fraud that was found is exhibitors underreporting gross so they can keep more, which artificially deflates BO nums, not inflates them.
I dunno what upcoming competition or holidays/breaks looks like, but Titanic takes 25% average drops and F7 24%, doesn’t really seem too outlandish given:
last week — 1.5% increase (I think your -1.5 should be +1.5, right @Shanks?)
last 2 weeks — 10.7% average effective drop
last 3 weeks — 27.3% average effective drop
last 4 weeks — 40% average effective drop
I mean, optimistically NWH is like 11M this weekend, 8-9M next weekend, 6-7 on SB before adjusting Sun? If Moonfall opens to 11 or whatever it could easily go below that. The hard ask is Jackass, but if it ends up at like a -2 z performance… 👀