Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Mulan+AQP, Eric data: March 3 — 14 net tickets March 4 — 20 March 5 — 31 March 6 — 16 March 7 — 15 March 8 — 2 One day is not a trend, but let’s say that I’m very curious about the next few. -
I think oddly enough the covid uncertainty will blunt that effect. Tele is right though, it’s a lesson they’ve already learned many times over.
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It was a bit of an unorthodox stat, especially without a “true” for emphasis. I think the point was to compare more fairly with Thanksgiving Pixar openings which have 0 preview component.
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The estimate is just 37.35 FSS
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brazil Brazil Box Office Thread
Cooper Legion replied to Fullbuster's topic in International Box Office
Amazingly low for Pixar. -
Yes, unfortunately the CFR of 5% suggests that there are probably still many undiagnosed cases. Containment failure at this point seems pretty clear, and health infrastructure failure is following. But Spain/France/Germany/UK/US don’t seem to be learning the right lessons from Asia and Italy. Wishing the best for all Italian members of our little community.
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Indeed, barring a wild Sunday, this take did not hold up. This is the weekend that it should have impacted domestic $$$, guess I just underestimated the obliviousness of US audiences 😬
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A movie could open over the top of the tracking range and be a disappointment. Depends on the tracking.
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Corona exploded in America weeks ago. Testing is exploding this weekend.
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The 2nd half of the year is pretty open tbh. Just pick whatever date they want, and the smaller movies will scurry away in reaction.
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Probably shouldn’t have brought TLK in given summer vs not-summer. Basically it sounds like I underestimated overall legs difference in the market 2020 vs 2010, I wonder what the exact stats on that are.
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I’m also confused about that. Legs are broadly similar to Oz, Cinderella, BatB, and TLK
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BOP’s initial long range tracking was 73/215: http://cms.pro.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2010-01-weekly-anticipation-index-2 Weekend forecast of 82M: http://cms.pro.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2010-03-updated-weekend-actuals
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It made the WW top 5. I mean, what the fuck.
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You think it’s weird now, wait til it’s delayed to July 😛
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How Many Movies Have You Seen in Theaters in 2020?
Cooper Legion replied to Avatree's topic in Lights, Camera, Favorites!
Little Women, Jan something Total:1 -
I believe Sat bumps will suffer across the board as covid awareness is higher than it was on Fri, and Sun drops will suffer across the board as covid awareness is higher than it was on Sat. Not a huge effect in either case, but shaving a couple tenths off most internal multis. Hopefully end up wrong on that though.
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My gut says this is on the A side of A- whereas Cars 2 was on the B+ side of A-. Zootopia has a massive 4.1x True IM, but imo this will be lucky to hit HTTYD3’s 3.6x. 2+9.5*3.6->36. 100 could be tough with covid
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Only other Pixar below A is Cars 2 😬
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Wow, 2018 without the SH movies for them is 350M+ loss with your estimates. 2018 SH profit absolute redonkulous though.
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... because they’ll make an extra 200M more 🤨 ?
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Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
Cooper Legion replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
FWIW young people are actually incredibly safe from the virus. Though they can still engage in spread to vulnerable groups, so minimizing infections in the young is still important. -
With unusually massive error intervals, naturally
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Normal circumstances easily. Actuall circumstances no one can say, but I’m skeptical personally. Maybe 33->80 or something.
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They’ve still got 4/6 infinity IPs in the form of WDAS, LA remake, Avatar, and Marvel Studios
