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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    No, the OD will probably just miss 😛
  2. Cooper Legion
    It’s a new group that usually releases a forecast for each weekend the Thursday before based on presale data. I think thet’ve been pretty accurate so far, though I don’t follow closely. This week they basically said “the Captain Marvel data is a way outside the data we’ve been working with before so our algorithms produce a weird and too wide range, no official forecast. But off the record, here’s what those algorithms would have given.”
  3. Cooper Legion
    Almost 4 AM, I think there should be a rating pretty soon. Yes.
  4. Cooper Legion
    Senpai noticed us 😛
  5. Cooper Legion
    I’m in complete agreement with BOP, if you told me to put a 45M range somewhere rounded to the nearest 5s that’s exactly where Ikd put it. Rolling tracker up to 60.8, but the linear projection from same point Fandango yesterday is 72k and I think that should mostly increase throughout the day.
  6. Cooper Legion
    From that same source, on reddit
  7. Cooper Legion
    We can continue over here, @Darth Lehnsherr. Seems like Fury could technically reappear, but in a very different capacity. Coulson likewise, though there’s baggage with the movies having not touched on his being alive at all in the past 6 years. Maria Rambeau could I suppose appear again, in a very different capacity. Talos could be part of it, but they’re trying to find somewhere far away to live, whereas the sequel will probably have Earth components again. The main easy ones to return seem like Goose, Yon-Rogg, maybe the Supreme Intelligence, Monica but as an adult (I think this will be a big part of it).
  8. Cooper Legion
    Wanted to 👍 for first sentence and for second. Emote system won’t support multi-reacts, so here we are.
  9. Cooper Legion
    By the way, is this not missing IM3? R$110, right?
  10. Cooper Legion
    I got greedy over the last week, know this is too big but can't help myself. Gimme that R$150 Brazil, and I'll keep you in my heart always.
  11. Cooper Legion
    Man, and to think I edited my post from 25-35 to 30-35 because I didn't want to look like some crazy optimistic fanboy 😅
  12. Cooper Legion
    Disney is smart confirmed.
  13. Cooper Legion
    Google has had the blatantly wrong runtime for 10 months. I do blame them. Frequently 😕
  14. Cooper Legion
    30-35 I'd guess. Could still use another several hours to hone in.
  15. Cooper Legion
    IW only 2:29, but yeah, relevant factor. Watch Endgame come in 3:05 and beat CM screenings anyway 😛
  16. Cooper Legion
    Yesterday: Some of these are way too high, some are way too low, some are summer, some franchises particularly walkup friendly or not, theaters not exactly the same, 2 days left, etc. Use with caution. Still, figured people would be interested in the numbers anyway, so there they are. Today: Throw out two lowest and two highest gives average 24.75 vs 25.23 yesterday. Same caveats apply, with an additional warning that CM seems like it may be a bit stronger in Sac than nationally.
  17. Cooper Legion
    10 page day
  18. Cooper Legion
    Really funny that weave reached a point where you can have reactions like Incidentally, “I liked that a lot, not in my top 8” is what I’m expecting my reaction to be as well.
  19. Cooper Legion
    ASIB made 1.35M in Tuesday and Wednesday previews. Its Fandango numbers today aren’t just presales, but some active same day showings.
  20. Cooper Legion
    I was kind of in disbelief of yesterday’s sales, but today didn’t just keep track, it actually picked up a lot relative to the only other comps of the same size. No clue what is going on any more, just going to strap in, watch numbers, and enjoy the ride.
  21. Cooper Legion
    France OD is in the last few pages, seemed pretty solid. And Chile presale data looked really strong.
  22. Cooper Legion
    Most MCU sequels increase by more than 12% though. I don’t see much point speculating about FFH until after Endgame though, could have a huge influence for the positive or negative.
  23. Cooper Legion
    2PM+linear extrapolation from OD timing leads to a pretty unreliable number. I wanted to do the math cause I just like multiplying stuff, but for a good estimate we really need another half dozen hours or so I think.
  24. Cooper Legion
    Exactly what I was assuming, but prompt expert confirmation is much appreciated. So that 265k, -42.5% should serve as more of a lower bound than the expected value.
  25. Cooper Legion
    According to Feasby’s doc, yesterday’s 14:20 was 32.5% of the final day sales across all chains, so 86 would project a full day of 86/.325=265k. -42.5% or so. However, not sure if that 32.5% of final day will be great estimate.
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