Cooper Legion

Captain America: Civil War BV $1,153.3 $408.1 35.4% $745.2 64.6% 2016

In terms of MCU comps for this first set of weekdays I want to throw out anything pre-Avengers, since the fan dynamics were different and Discount Tuesday was less of a thing — that gets rid of 5 movies from phase 1. Also want to ignore the summer releases, which have very different weekdays — eliminates 4 in SMH, GotG, and the Ant-Mans. Want to ignore BP since it opened to President’s Day 4-day and Thor 2 since it opened on a Veteran’s Day 4-day. Finally I want to ignore any movie that had a top 5 OW, since they tend to have a first couple weekdays with spillover, as you can see in the very soft Tues bump — I was shocked to remember that this criteria eliminates Avengers, Iron Man 3 , Age of Ultron, Civil War, and IW! All that’s left is Winter Soldier, GotG2, Doctor Strange, and Thor Ragnarok, which had Monday drops of: Winter Soldier — -73.5% (+12% Tues when Discount was less pronounced) DS — -70.6% (+23.3%) GotG2 — -74.8% (+22.7%) Ragnarok — -74.3% (+31.2%) Just for kicks, the DOM total of it had the same Monday multiplier as those 4+BatB: Winter Soldier — 153.4+10.8*26.48=439 DS — 153.4+10.8*23.77=410 GotG2 — 153.4+10.8*24.67=420 Ragnarok — 153.4+10.8*23.32=405 BatB — 153.4+10.8*24.33=416

t-654m to destination

I mean, it’s a prequel. A lot of the reaction to Captain America 1 was also focused on how they would fit him into Avengers and further movies. Heck, a lot of the reaction to Black Panther was about how he’d fit into IW, and Doctor Strange, and Ragnarok, and GotG2. That’s how it goes with the TV series model of movies.

10.8 is good, basically a 72% drop, same as BatB. BatB’s +32% first Tuesday would give 14.25, but expecting it below that — and hopefully above the 13.2 that GotG2’s bump would give.

This guy. Based in India, has access to numbers, often shares them.

It’s totally normal for a daily thread to get started from estimates, in the past it happened most weekdays the first week after a blockbuster opening when Rth dropped by. Charlie’s late in the day numbers are also pretty reliable, so I think a lot of daily threads the past 2-3 weeks or so have been started based on them.

Those would have been bad, but were so early I’m not sure if estimate is even the right word. Must have been based mostly off presale data for Monday, which can tell you something and I don’t mind getting the super early guesses at all but they come with way larger confidence intervals than a number around 10 PM Eastern.

10 to 11 is a good Monday. Not awe-inspiring, not concerning in any way.

About $28M. Mojo has 28.3, but they don’t handle during run exchange rate changes correctly

It appears that all Kevin needs for a Billie now is 80% RT, 150 OW, 400 DOM

7.4 isn’t crazy frontloaded or anything considering the Endgame factor. I think the appetite was there for 165+ if it was widely received as being in the top third of MCU movies compared to the “good, but 40th-50th percentile” reactions I’ve seen a lot of. In the end this is a very strong debut for a new character, and it really went bonkers overseas. Can’t complain too much about being some % short of sky high hopes.

DOM and OS estimates were highly conservative as always, so of course actuals would increase for both. Was hoping to see a bigger increase, but the raw OS numbers are still spectacular.

I’m not sure exactly how much spring break is in play, so ignoring it when setting my acceptable minimum. GotG2 did a 9.9M after a 39M Sunday, and while it is a sequel I do put some stock now in CM potentially being frontloaded by the Endgame connection.

9.5+, but hoping some schools being off for Spring break can lead to more.

Good Guy Disney giving Porthos a couple weeks of much needed

It’s an inescapable part of an MCU weekend thread. Only surprise is that it took so long, but maybe it happened for a first time in the previous pages and I just missed it 😛

Ah, it’s that time of thread again. S tier Infinity War, Winter Soldier A+ tier Civil War, Guardians of the Galaxy, Iron Man A tier Ragnarok, Ant-Man and the Wasp, Black Panther A- GotG2, Ant-Man, Avengers, Homecoming B+ Captain America: The First Avenger, Captain Marvel, Doctor Strange B Ultron, Thor, Iron Man 3 B- Iron Man 2, The Incredible Hulk, Thor 2

Current estimates have it 500k short of HTTYD after Sat, no? Close enough it could change with actuals.

Weekend actuals will probably put it over 18B WW too.

This is actually incoherent. 0 MCU fans went apeshit in 2008. There weren’t any MCU fans in 2008. There wasn’t an MCU in 2008!

Yeah, the hullabaloos when Endgame wins that weekend will be truly epic

Less than 150 pages, dissapointing indeed. Ah well, this is just the appetizer before the Weekend Thread to end all Weekend Threads.

Saw it twice, 0 Elsa

Eh, Fandango booking charge certainly isn’t counted toward US BO. I don’t think it happens in any big markets aside from China.