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charlie Jatinder

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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder

  1. not an expert on the region but I feel 10M should be done.
  2. UK had much higher inflation than Italy. Am not really focussing on gross, even local currency but admits. That said, I was expecting 30%+ drop in France, Germany, Italy and Spain for full run as most films have not come closer to Avatar performance. UK on other hand we had TFA beating A1, probably Skyfall and Spectre as well, NWH and EG getting close to it. So was expecting a smaller drop in UK to be around 10M admits vs 11.5M of first one. That's why was thinking of 1.5M+ weekend admits. but guess UK will also be dropping 30%+
  3. SUN big drop ofc but not as bad as it could have been. Just -37%. Normally would have expected flat. 1.85M weekend.
  4. Was thinking around 16-17M with SUN dropping big due to WC final, which in the end it didn't, so around 18-19M. Ok this is fair point. Spain and Italy admits for A2 are similar to A1, France would have been +12-15%, Germany is +30%. UK A1 admits would be 1.05M, so A2 is similar. So UK faired similar to Spain and Italy while France and Germany improved.
  5. 32M seems a lot but since it was free to stream, not really. Big cricket matches generally get around 20M but they are behind the paywall.
  6. Top markets in terms of admits as of SUN US - 9M ($125M) China - 6.6M India - 6.5M Mexico - 2.9M Korea - 2.8M Brazil - 1.8M France - 1.8M Germany - 1.3M Indonesia - 1.2M Italy - 1.15M
  7. Just 1-1.1M admits. Awful weekend. Hopefully can gets some super legs to a face saving 6-7M final number. In comparison other Big 5 France - 1.7M 5-days, real value without France in WC final and semis around 2M Germany - 1.35M 5-days, 1.18M 4-days weekend Italy - 1.14M 5-days, 970K 4-days weekend Spain - 0.97M 3 days Generally UK would be double of Italy and 40-50% higher than France. Comparable UK performance would be around 2M weekend admits.
  8. can you provide more context? my bo tweets are usually very simplified due to character limit, sometime too much.
  9. My first take on A2 is turning out to be accurate than the one I had after NWH last year. So NWH was indeed special.
  10. The numbers you have are correct. edit: TGM OD is 141k THU. 83k is WED previews. 153k is nwh @altglascontainer
  11. BOI has given ₹127 crores NETT, that is likely what Disney numbers be. This will be ₹153cr GROSS ($18.5M) i.e what Disney will report. MON looks like ₹22cr GROSS. Full run likely ₹425cr GROSS ($52M).
  12. Football is big in East India, Kerala and main cities. In sheer volume, India will likely be among top football following countries. In % of total population, be very low, probably 15% ish.
  13. First somewhat good day of the run today. Will be 275K+ PSM however remains awful.
  14. yeah as of now EUR13.85 ATP, which should remain there. At current ER its $14.9, can go over $15 if ER improves.
  15. Going by Sing 2, it won't be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl302024193/?ref_=bo_tt_gr_1 Because even if it was, it is not giving comps result as it should. It gives false impression that sales are close to Minions 2, which it isn't.
  16. No idea why you still insist on using comps including EA a month earlier. It's not normal EA a day/two before THU which can impact THU numbers. Without EA comps were coming a lot more realistic and I believe trend will make a lot more sense.
  17. SUN fine here as well, not much drop. 1.33M 4-days 175 143 262 420 330 Think 6M+ is safe, probably 6.5-7M target.
  18. I am done estimating Disney films numbers. IMO weekend should be 40.5 43.5 49 // 133 NETT and ~173 GROSS including 3D charges. It's dumb how they don't put extra 3D charges in GROSS.
  19. 2.7M Sunday. So no WC impact, or very little. 1 AVATAR - LA VIA DELL'ACQUA (AVATAR - THE WAY OF WATER) 14/12/2022 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 2.689.648 303.446 8.87 ATP. Weekend €9,960,514 as of now with 1,129,905 admits. 4.5M admits shall be done, for €40M.
  20. At this point more countries have 4-days weekend. All of LATAM All of Middle East Most of Europe + France & Belgium have 5 days All of South East Asia & ANZ
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